Two methods of evaluating mandibular trabecular pattern in intraoral radiographs and the association to fragility fractures during a 47-year follow up

In this longitudinal cohort study, we explored the association of fragility fractures to sparse trabecular bone pattern in intraoral radiographs using two methods, a visual and a semi-automated. Our aim was to study both sexes and to include younger age-groups, during a follow-up time of 47 years. The cohort consisted of 837 men and women aged 18-65 years, with intraoral radiographs from 1970-1971. The trabecular pattern was assessed in the mandibular premolar region with a visual and a semi-automated method. Data on fragility fractures were acquired from the Swedish National Patient Register for 47 years of follow-up time. Sparse trabecular pattern was found in 2.2% of the cohort using the visual method, and 18% were deemed at 'risk of osteoporosis' using the semi-automated method. A total of 132 individuals suffered at least one fragility fracture during the follow-up period. We found no significant association between fractures and sparse trabecular pattern using either method. This study shows that visual assessment, as a predictor of future fractures, may not be a suitable method for individuals of all ages and sexes. As for the semi-automated method, there is still very limited evidence for its fracture predictive ability.