Basal and one-month differed neutrophil, lymphocyte and platelet values and their ratios strongly predict the efficacy of checkpoint inhibitors immunotherapy in patients with advanced BRAF wild-type melanoma

Background: To evaluate the capability of basal and one-month differed white blood cells (WBC), neutrophil, lymphocyte and platelet values and their ratios (neutrophils-to-lymphocytes ratio, NLR, and platelets-to-lymphocytes ratio, PLR) in predicting the response to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) in metastatic melanoma (MM).

Methods: We performed a retrospective study of 272 BRAF wild-type MM patients treated with first line ICI. Bivariable analysis was used to correlate patient/tumor characteristics with clinical outcomes. Variations between time 1 and time 0 (Δ) of blood parameters were also calculated and dichotomized using cut-off values assessed by ROC curve.

Results: At baseline, higher neutrophils and NLR negatively correlated with PFS, OS and disease control rate (DCR). Higher PLR was also associated with worse OS. In multivariable analysis, neutrophils (p = 0.003), WBC (p = 0.069) and LDH (p = 0.07) maintained their impact on PFS, while OS was affected by LDH (p < 0.001), neutrophils (p < 0.001) and PLR (p = 0.022), while DCR by LDH (p = 0.03) and neutrophils (p = 0.004). In the longitudinal analysis, PFS negatively correlated with higher Δplatelets (p = 0.039), ΔWBC (p < 0.001), and Δneutrophils (p = 0.020), and with lower Δlymphocytes (p < 0.001). Moreover, higher ΔNLR and ΔPLR identified patients with worse PFS, OS and DCR. In the multivariable model, only ΔNLR influenced PFS (p = 0.004), while OS resulted affected by higher ΔWBC (p < 0.001) and lower Δlymphocytes (p = 0.038). Higher ΔWBC also affected the DCR (p = 0.003). When clustering patients in 4 categories using basal LDH and ΔNLR, normal LDH/lower ΔNLR showed a higher PFS than high LDH/higher ΔNLR (20 vs 5 months). Moreover, normal LDH/higher Δlymphocytes had a higher OS than high LDH/lower Δlymphocytes (50 vs. 10 months).

Conclusions: Baseline and early variations of blood cells, together with basal LDH, strongly predict the efficacy of ICI in MM. Our findings propose simple, inexpensive biomarkers for a better selection of patient treatments. Prospective multicenter studies are warranted to confirm these data.