Development and externally validate MRI-based nomogram to assess EGFR and T790M mutations in patients with metastatic lung adenocarcinoma

Objectives: This study aims to explore values of multi-parametric MRI-based radiomics for detecting the epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutation and resistance (T790M) mutation in lung adenocarcinoma (LA) patients with spinal metastasis.

Methods: This study enrolled a group of 160 LA patients from our hospital (between Jan. 2017 and Feb. 2021) to build a primary cohort. An external cohort was developed with 32 patients from another hospital (between Jan. 2017 and Jan. 2021). All patients underwent spinal MRI (including T1-weighted (T1W) and T2-weighted fat-suppressed (T2FS)) scans. Radiomics features were extracted from the metastasis for each patient and selected to develop radiomics signatures (RSs) for detecting the EGFR and T790M mutations. The clinical-radiomics nomogram models were constructed with RSs and important clinical parameters. The receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the predication capabilities of each model. Calibration and decision curve analyses (DCA) were constructed to verify the performance of the models.

Results: For detecting the EGFR and T790M mutation, the developed RSs comprised 9 and 4 most important features, respectively. The constructed nomogram models incorporating RSs and smoking status showed favorite prediction efficacy, with AUCs of 0.849 (Sen = 0.685, Spe = 0.885), 0.828 (Sen = 0.964, Spe = 0.692), and 0.778 (Sen = 0.611, Spe = 0.929) in the training, internal validation, and external validation sets for detecting the EGFR mutation, respectively, and with AUCs of 0.0.842 (Sen = 0.750, Spe = 0.867), 0.823 (Sen = 0.667, Spe = 0.938), and 0.800 (Sen = 0.875, Spe = 0.800) in the training, internal validation, and external validation sets for detecting the T790M mutation, respectively.

Conclusions: Radiomics features from the spinal metastasis were predictive on both EGFR and T790M mutations. The constructed nomogram models can be potentially considered as new markers to guild treatment management in LA patients with spinal metastasis.

Key points: • To our knowledge, this study was the first approach to detect the EGFR T790M mutation based on spinal metastasis in patients with lung adenocarcinoma. • We identified 13 MRI features that were strongly associated with the EGFR T790M mutation. • The proposed nomogram models can be considered as potential new markers for detecting EGFR and T790M mutations based on spinal metastasis.