Diagnosis accuracy of waist-to-height ratio to predict cardiometabolic risk in children with obesity

Background: Waist-to-height ratio (WHtR) predicts abdominal fat and cardiometabolic risk. In children with obesity, the most adequate cut-off to predict cardiometabolic risk as well as its ability to predict risk changes over time has not been tested. Our aim was to define an appropriate WHtR cut-off to predict cardiometabolic risk in children with obesity, and to analyze its ability to predict changes in cardiometabolic risk over time.

Methods: This is an observational prospective study secondary to the OBEMAT2.0 trial. We included data from 218 participants (8-15 years) who attended baseline and final visits (12 months later). The main outcome measure was a cardiometabolic risk score derived from blood pressure, lipoproteins, and HOMA index of insulin resistance.

Results: The optimal cut-off to predict the cardiometabolic risk score was WHtR ≥0.55 with an area under the curve of 0.675 (95% CI: 0.589-0.760) at baseline and 0.682 (95% CI: 0.585-0.779) at the final visit. Multivariate models for repeated measures showed that changes in cardiometabolic risk were significantly associated with changes in WHtR.

Conclusion: This study confirms the clinical utility of WHtR to predict changes in cardiometabolic risk over time in children with obesity. The most accurate cut-off to predict cardiometabolic risk in children with obesity was WHtR ≥0.55.

Impact: In children, there is no consensus on a unique WHtR cut-off to predict cardiometabolic risk. The present work provides sufficient evidence to support the use of the 0.55 boundary. We have a large sample of children with obesity, with whom we compared the previously proposed boundaries according to cardiometabolic risk, and we found the optimal WHtR cut-off to predict it. We also analyzed if a reduction in the WHtR was associated with an improvement in their cardiometabolic profile.