Short-term forecasts of Monkeypox cases in multiple countries: keep calm and don't panic

J Med Virol. 2023 Jan;95(1):e28159. doi: 10.1002/jmv.28159. Epub 2022 Sep 29.

Abstract

We propose a parametric regression model for incidence indicators based on the use of the Richards' curve (a generalized logistic function) to analyse the current Monkeypox epidemic data for the most 10 affected countries worldwide. At present, results show that the outbreak is under control in most countries.

Keywords: biostatistics and bioinformatics; epidemiology; poxvirus; seasonal incidence; statistical inference; virus classification.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Disease Outbreaks
  • Epidemics*
  • Humans
  • Mpox (monkeypox)* / epidemiology