Validation and discussion of clinical practicability of the 2022 graded prognostic assessment for NSCLC adenocarcinoma patients with brain metastases in a routine clinical cohort

Front Oncol. 2023 Mar 20:13:1042548. doi: 10.3389/fonc.2023.1042548. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

Introduction: The goal of this analysis is to validate the 2022 graded prognostic assessment (GPA) for patients with brain metastases from adenocarcinoma of the lung and to discuss its clinical practicability.

Methods/material: 137 patients with adenocarcinoma of the lung were included in this analysis. The disease specific GPA for NSCLC, Lung-molGPA and the GPA for NSCLC adenocarcinoma were calculated. Overall survival was calculated for each GPA group. Additionally, expected and actual OS in the prognostic groups of the GPA available at the time of the patients' diagnosis was compared.

Results: Median overall survival (OS) from diagnosis of brain metastases was 15 months (95% confidence interval (CI) 9.7-20.3 months). The median OS in the three individual prognostic groups was 7 months for GPA 0-1, 16 months for GPA 1.5-2, 33 months for GPA 2.5-3 and not reached for GPA 3.5-4 (p<0.001). Median survival times for the individual groups were similar to those published in the original GPA publication. Regarding the expected and actual OS when using the available GPA at the time of diagnosis there was an underestimation of survival of more than 3 months for all except the worst prognosis group.

Conclusion: We were able to validate the 2022 GPA for NSCLC adenocarcinoma patients with brain metastases in a similar cohort from a non-academic center. However, the practical applicability regarding the expected median OS might be limited due to the constantly evolving treatment landscape and the consecutive improvement in overall survival.

Keywords: adenocarcinoma; brain metastases; lung; overall survival; prognosis.

Grants and funding

This work was supported by a personal grant of the corresponding author (C.Schröder) from the “Filling the gap” program of the University of Zurich, Switzerland.