Purpose: To evaluate the prognostic value and the clinical impact of preoperative serum cholinesterase (ChoE) levels on decision-making in patients treated with radical nephroureterectomy (RNU) for clinically non-metastatic upper tract urothelial cancer (UTUC).
Methods: A retrospective review of an established multi-institutional UTUC database was performed. We evaluated preoperative ChoE as a continuous and dichotomized variable using a visual assessment of the functional form of the association of ChoE with cancer-specific survival (CSS). We used univariable and multivariable Cox regression models to establish its association with recurrence-free survival (RFS), CSS, and overall survival (OS). Discrimination was evaluated using Harrell's concordance index. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to assess the impact on clinical decision-making of preoperative ChoE.
Results: A total of 748 patients were available for analysis. Within a median follow-up of 34 months (IQR 15-64), 191 patients experienced disease recurrence, and 257 died, with 165 dying of UTUC. The optimal ChoE cutoff identified was 5.8 U/l. ChoE as continuous variable was significantly associated with RFS (p < 0.001), OS (p < 0.001), and CSS (p < 0.001) on univariable and multivariable analyses. The concordance index improved by 8%, 4.4%, and 7% for RFS, OS, and CSS, respectively. On DCA, including ChoE did not improve the net benefit of standard prognostic models.
Conclusion: Despite its independent association with RFS, OS, and CSS, preoperative serum ChoE has no impact on clinical decision-making. In future studies, ChoE should be investigated as part of the tumor microenvironment and assessed as part of predictive and prognostic models, specifically in the setting of immune checkpoint-inhibitor therapy.
Keywords: Biomarker; Cholinesterase; Decision curve analysis; Upper urinary tract urothelial carcinoma; Urothelial neoplasm.
© 2023. The Author(s).