A supervised machine-learning approach for the efficient development of a multi method (LC-MS) for a large number of drugs and subsets thereof: focus on oral antitumor agents

Objectives: Accumulating evidence argues for a more widespread use of therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) to support individualized medicine, especially for therapies where toxicity and efficacy are critical issues, such as in oncology. However, development of TDM assays struggles to keep pace with the rapid introduction of new drugs. Therefore, novel approaches for faster assay development are needed that also allow effortless inclusion of newly approved drugs as well as customization to smaller subsets if scientific or clinical situations require.

Methods: We applied and evaluated two machine-learning approaches i.e., a regression-based approach and an artificial neural network (ANN) to retention time (RT) prediction for efficient development of a liquid chromatography mass spectrometry (LC-MS) method quantifying 73 oral antitumor drugs (OADs) and five active metabolites. Individual steps included training, evaluation, comparison, and application of the superior approach to RT prediction, followed by stipulation of the optimal gradient.

Results: Both approaches showed excellent results for RT prediction (mean difference ± standard deviation: 2.08 % ± 9.44 % ANN; 1.78 % ± 1.93 % regression-based approach). Using the regression-based approach, the optimum gradient (4.91 % MeOH/min) was predicted with a total run time of 17.92 min. The associated method was fully validated following FDA and EMA guidelines. Exemplary modification and application of the regression-based approach to a subset of 14 uro-oncological agents resulted in a considerably shortened run time of 9.29 min.

Conclusions: Using a regression-based approach, a multi drug LC-MS assay for RT prediction was efficiently developed, which can be easily expanded to newly approved OADs and customized to smaller subsets if required.