Circulating small extracellular vesicles microRNAs plus CA-125 for treatment stratification in advanced ovarian cancer

Background: No residual disease (R0 resection) after debulking surgery is the most critical independent prognostic factor for advanced ovarian cancer (AOC). There is an unmet clinical need for selecting primary or interval debulking surgery in AOC patients using existing prediction models.

Methods: RNA sequencing of circulating small extracellular vesicles (sEVs) was used to discover the differential expression microRNAs (DEMs) profile between any residual disease (R0, n = 17) and no residual disease (non-R0, n = 20) in AOC patients. We further analyzed plasma samples of AOC patients collected before surgery or neoadjuvant chemotherapy via TaqMan qRT-PCR. The combined risk model of residual disease was developed by logistic regression analysis based on the discovery-validation sets.

Results: Using a comprehensive plasma small extracellular vesicles (sEVs) microRNAs (miRNAs) profile in AOC, we identified and optimized a risk prediction model consisting of plasma sEVs-derived 4-miRNA and CA-125 with better performance in predicting R0 resection. Based on 360 clinical human samples, this model was constructed using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and logistic regression analysis, and it has favorable calibration and discrimination ability (AUC:0.903; sensitivity:0.897; specificity:0.910; PPV:0.926; NPV:0.871). The quantitative evaluation of Net Reclassification Improvement (NRI) and Integrated Discrimination Improvement (IDI) suggested that the additional predictive power of the combined model was significantly improved contrasted with CA-125 or 4-miRNA alone (NRI = 0.471, IDI = 0.538, p < 0.001; NRI = 0.122, IDI = 0.185, p < 0.01).

Conclusion: Overall, we established a reliable, non-invasive, and objective detection method composed of circulating tumor-derived sEVs 4-miRNA plus CA-125 to preoperatively anticipate the high-risk AOC patients of residual disease to optimize clinical therapy.