Objective: To test the ability of the 2015 modified version of the European Network for the Study of Adrenal Tumors staging system (mENSAT) in predicting cancer-specific mortality (CSM), as well as overall mortality (OM) in adrenocortical carcinoma (ACC) patients of all stages, in a large-scale, and contemporary United States cohort.
Methods: We relied on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database (2004-2020) to test the accuracy and calibration of the mENSAT and subsequently compared it to the 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system (AJCC).
Results: In 858 ACC patients, mENSAT accuracy was 74.7% for 3-year CSM predictions and 73.8% for 3-year OM predictions. The maximum departures from ideal predictions in mENSAT were +17.2% for CSM and +11.8% for OM. Conversely, AJCC accuracy was 74.5% for 3-year CSM predictions and 73.5% for 3-year OM predictions. The maximum departures from ideal predictions in AJCC were -6.7% for CSM and -7.1% for OM.
Conclusion: The accuracy of mENSAT is virtually the same as that of AJCC in predicting CSM (74.7% vs 74.5%) and OM (73.7% vs 73.5%). However, calibration is lower for mENSAT than for AJCC. In consequence, no obvious benefit appears to be associated with the use of mENSAT relative to AJCC in US ACC patients.
Keywords: adrenocortical carcinoma; external validation; prognostic model; staging system.
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