Once-weekly semaglutide versus placebo in adults with increased fracture risk: a randomised, double-blinded, two-centre, phase 2 trial

Background: Previous studies have indicated that glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) may enhance bone formation and have neutral or beneficial effects on fracture risk. We evaluated the effect of the GLP-1RA semaglutide on the bone formation marker Procollagen type I N-terminal propeptide (PINP) in adults with increased fracture risk.

Methods: This randomised, placebo-controlled, double-blinded, phase 2 clinical trial was conducted at two public hospitals in Denmark. We enrolled 64 men and women with increased fracture risk based on a T-score < -1.0 at the total hip or lumbar spine and/or low-energy fracture within three years of recruitment. Participants were randomised (1:1) to receive once-weekly subcutaneous semaglutide 1.0 mg or placebo. The primary outcome was changes in plasma (P)-PINP from baseline to week 52. Primary and safety outcomes were assessed and evaluated for all participants. This trial is complete and registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04702516.

Findings: Between March 24 and December 8, 2021, 55 (86%) postmenopausal women and nine men with a mean age of 63 years (SD 5.5) and BMI of 27.5 kg/m² (SD 4.5) were enrolled. There was no effect on changes in P-PINP from baseline to week 52 between the two groups (estimated treatment difference (ETD) semaglutide versus placebo 3.8 μg/L [95% CI -5.6 to 13.3]; p = 0.418), and no difference in P-PINP levels between groups at week 52 (semaglutide 64.3 μg/L versus placebo 62.3 μg/L [95% CI -10.8 to 15.0]; p = 0.749). The secondary outcomes showed higher plasma levels of bone resorption marker Collagen type I cross-linked C-terminal telopeptide (P-CTX) in the semaglutide group than in the placebo group (ETD 166.4 ng/L [95% CI 25.5-307.3]; p = 0.021). Compared to placebo, lumbar spine and total hip areal bone mineral densities (aBMD) were lower in the semaglutide group after 52 weeks ((ETD lumbar spine -0.018 g/cm³ [95% CI -0.031 to -0.005]; p = 0.007); ETD total hip -0.020 g/cm² ([95% CI -0.032 to -0.008]; p = 0.001). Treatment differences in femoral neck aBMD were not observed ([95% CI [-0.017 to 0.006]; p = 0.328). Further, body weight was lower in the semaglutide group than in the placebo group after 52 weeks (ETD -6.8 kg [95% CI -8.8 to -4.7]; p < 0.001). Thirty-one [97%] in the semaglutide group and 18 [56%] in the placebo group experienced at least one adverse event, including four serious events (two in each group). No episodes of hypoglycaemia or deaths were reported.

Interpretation: In adults with increased fracture risk, semaglutide once weekly did not increase bone formation based on the bone formation marker P-PINP. The observed increase in bone resorption in the semaglutide group may be explained by the accompanying weight loss.

Funding: Region of Southern Denmark, Novo Nordisk Foundation, and Gangsted Foundation. Novo Nordisk provided the investigational drug and placebo.