Forced vital capacity trajectories and risk of lung transplant and ILD-related mortality among patients with rheumatoid arthritis-associated interstitial lung disease

We aimed to determine the prevalence and outcomes for forced vital capacity percent predicted (FVCpp) decline among patients with rheumatoid arthritis-associated interstitial lung disease (RA-ILD). We identified patients with RA-ILD in the Mass General Brigham Healthcare system. RA-ILD diagnosis was determined by review of high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) imaging by up to three thoracic radiologists. We abstracted FVCpp measurements, covariates, lung transplant, and ILD-related death from the medical record. We employed a relative FVCpp decline cutoff of > 10% within 24 months. We also used a group-based trajectory model to obtain patterns of change from RA-ILD diagnosis. We then assessed for associations of each FVC decline definition with risk of lung transplant or ILD-related death using multivariable logistic regression. We analyzed 172 patients with RA-ILD with a median of 6 FVCpp measurements per patient over 6.5 years of follow-up (mean age 62.2 years, 36% male). There were seven (4%) lung transplants and 44 (26%) ILD-related deaths. Ninety-eight (57%) patients had relative decline of FVCpp by > 10% in 24 months. We identified three trajectory groups of FVCpp change: rapidly declining (n = 24/168 [14%]), slowly declining (n = 90/168 [54%]), and stable/improving (n = 54/168 [32%]). The rapidly declining group and FVCpp > 10% had adjusted odds ratios (aOR) for lung transplant/ILD-related death of 19.2 (95%CI 4.9 to 75.5) and 2.8 (95%CI 1.3 to 6.1) respectively. Over half of patients with RA-ILD had declining FVCpp. The different trajectory patterns demonstrate the importance of FVC monitoring for identifying patients at the highest risk of poor outcomes. Key Points • Over half of patients with RA-ILD had declining FVCpp over a median of 6.5 years of follow-up. • The rapidly declining FVCpp trajectory group had stronger associations with lung transplant and ILD-related death compared to those with FVCpp decline by > 10%. • Clinicians can employ FVC monitoring to proactively treat patients who are at risk of poor outcomes.