Incidence of Carotid Blowout Syndrome in Patients with Head and Neck Cancer after Radiation Therapy: A Cohort Study

Carotid blowout syndrome (CBS) is a rare yet life-threatening complication that occurs after radiation therapy (RT). This study aimed to determine the incidence of CBS in patients with head and neck cancer (HNC) undergoing contemporary RT and to explore potential discrepancies in the risk of CBS between nasopharyngeal cancer (NPC) and non-NPC patients. A total of 1084 patients with HNC who underwent RT between 2013 and 2023 were included in the study. All patients were under regular follow-ups at the radio-oncology department, and underwent annual contrast-enhanced computed tomography and/or magnetic resonance imaging for cancer recurrence surveillance. Experienced neuroradiologists and vascular neurologists reviewed the recruited patients' images. Patients were further referred to the neurology department for radiation vasculopathy evaluation. The primary outcome of this study was CBS. Patients were categorized into NPC and non-NPC groups and survival analysis was employed to compare the CBS risk between the two groups. A review of the literature on CBS incidence was also conducted. Among the enrolled patients, the incidence of CBS in the HNC, NPC, and non-NPC groups was 0.8%, 0.9%, and 0.7%, respectively. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed no significant difference between the NPC and non-NPC groups (p = 0.34). Combining the findings for our cohort with those of previous studies revealed that the cumulative incidence of CBS in patients with HNC is 5% (95% CI = 3-7%) after both surgery and RT, 4% (95% CI = 2-6%) after surgery alone, and 5% (95% CI = 3-7%) after RT alone. Our findings indicate a low incidence of CBS in patients with HNC undergoing contemporary RT. Patients with NPC may have a CBS risk close to that of non-NPC patients. However, the low incidence of CBS could be a potentially cause of selection bias and underestimation bias.