Personalized prediction of immunotherapy response in lung cancer patients using advanced radiomics and deep learning

Background: Lung cancer (LC) is a leading cause of cancer-related mortality, and immunotherapy (IO) has shown promise in treating advanced-stage LC. However, identifying patients likely to benefit from IO and monitoring treatment response remains challenging. This study aims to develop a predictive model for progression-free survival (PFS) in LC patients with IO based on clinical features and advanced imaging biomarkers.

Materials and methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted on a cohort of 206 LC patients receiving IO treatment. Pre-treatment computed tomography images were used to extract advanced imaging biomarkers, including intratumoral and peritumoral-vasculature radiomics. Clinical features, including age, gene status, hematology, and staging, were also collected. Key radiomic and clinical features for predicting IO outcomes were identified using a two-step feature selection process, including univariate Cox regression and chi-squared test, followed by sequential forward selection. The DeepSurv model was constructed to predict PFS based on clinical and radiomic features. Model performance was evaluated using the area under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and concordance index (C-index).

Results: Combining radiomics of intratumoral heterogeneity and peritumoral-vasculature with clinical features demonstrated a significant enhancement (p < 0.001) in predicting IO response. The proposed DeepSurv model exhibited a prediction performance with AUCs ranging from 0.76 to 0.80 and a C-index of 0.83. Furthermore, the predicted personalized PFS curves revealed a significant difference (p < 0.05) between patients with favorable and unfavorable prognoses.

Conclusions: Integrating intratumoral and peritumoral-vasculature radiomics with clinical features enabled the development of a predictive model for PFS in LC patients with IO. The proposed model's capability to estimate individualized PFS probability and differentiate the prognosis status held promise to facilitate personalized medicine and improve patient outcomes in LC.