Background: New guidelines propose a minimum 5-year survival of 60% for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with living donor liver transplantation (LDLT). This study aimed to evaluate the 5- and 10-year survival rates after transplantation for the expanded criteria for HCC.
Methods: This single-center retrospective cohort study included 208 patients who underwent LDLT for the expanded criteria (the largest tumor diameter of ≤10 cm, any tumor number, and alpha-fetoprotein [AFP] level of <1000 ng/mL) and analyzed 5- and 10-year overall survival (OS) and recurrence risk (RR) rates.
Results: With a median follow-up of 65.1 months (IQR, 19.1-80.2), the 5- and 10-year OS and RR rates were 67.0% and 61.0% and 20.5% and 22.5%, respectively. The largest tumor diameter of >6 cm (hazard ratio [HR], 3.7; 95% CI, 1.7-8.2; P = .001) and AFP level of >400 ng/mL (HR, 4.0; 95% CI, 1.8-9.0; P = .001) were predictors of recurrence. Patients outside the Milan criteria (MC) were grouped into low- and high-risk HCC based on tumor size and AFP level. For low-risk HCC (tumor size of <6 cm, any tumor number, and AFP level of <400 ng/mL), the 5-year RR was comparable to the MC and increased the transplant pool by 35.7% (P > .5). The median number of tumors and the rate of microvascular invasion in the high-risk group, low-risk group, and MC were 2.0 (1.0-3.2), 4.0 (2.0-5.0), and 1.0 (1.0-2.0) (P < .001) and 72.2% (13/18), 44.0% (22/50), and 22.8% (32/140) (P < .001), respectively.
Conclusion: The expanded criteria met the benchmark for 5-year survival. LDLT for the low-risk HCC in the expanded criteria was associated with an acceptable RR.
Keywords: Alpha-fetoprotein; Hepatocellular carcinoma; Living donor liver transplantation; Recurrence.
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