Mortality of alzheimer's disease in Italy from 1980 to 2015

Objective: To evaluate mortality for Alzheimer's Disease (AD) in Italy over more than three decades (1980-2015) and discuss the possible role of general and specific contributing factors.

Methods: Mortality data were extracted by the Italian National Institute of Statistics: crude mortality rates were computed for sex and age, considering the whole country and its five main geographical sub-areas. Rates were standardized in two ways: directly (annual mortality rates AMRs) and indirectly (standardized mortality rates, SMRs). SMRs were then used to evaluate geographical differences; to study mortality trend, AMRs and joinpoint linear regression analysis were used.

Results: Considering the entire period and the whole country, mortality rates were similar for females and males and for geographical regions, with the exception of the older age groups where mortality for AD in females slightly prevailed. In these older patients, a steep increase of mortality was seen starting from the current century. The increase in male mortality mirrored the national trend in North-West and Central Italy, but not in North-East, South, and the Islands, where it did not surge until the mid to late 1990s.

Conclusions: the general increase of mortality is in line with international data and it reflects the increasing prevalence of the disease, likely due to increasing longevity, and to improvements in diagnostic accuracy. In addition, the accuracy of death certificate compilation could account for both geographical and temporal differences. Currently available drugs for AD do not seem to have an impact on mortality rates.