Concordance between humans and GPT-4 in appraising the methodological quality of case reports and case series using the Murad tool

Background: Assessing the methodological quality of case reports and case series is challenging due to human judgment variability and time constraints. We evaluated the agreement in judgments between human reviewers and GPT-4 when applying a standard methodological quality assessment tool designed for case reports and series.

Methods: We searched Scopus for systematic reviews published in 2023-2024 that cited the appraisal tool by Murad et al. A GPT-4 based agent was developed to assess the methodological quality using the 8 signaling questions of the tool. Observed agreement and agreement coefficient were estimated comparing published judgments of human reviewers to GPT-4 assessment.

Results: We included 797 case reports and series. The observed agreement ranged between 41.91% and 80.93% across the eight questions (agreement coefficient ranged from 25.39 to 79.72%). The lowest agreement was noted in the first signaling question about selection of cases. The agreement was similar in articles published in journals with impact factor < 5 vs. ≥ 5, and when excluding systematic reviews that did not use 3 causality questions. Repeating the analysis using the same prompts demonstrated high agreement between the two GPT-4 attempts except for the first question about selection of cases.

Conclusions: The study demonstrates a moderate agreement between GPT-4 and human reviewers in assessing the methodological quality of case series and reports using the Murad tool. The current performance of GPT-4 seems promising but unlikely to be sufficient for the rigor of a systematic review and pairing the model with a human reviewer is required.