Predictive values of four nutritional indices for adverse outcomes in patients with hypertension

Background: Malnutrition, evaluated by nutritional indices, is reportedly related to a poor prognosis in patients with hypertension. However, clinical evidence on which index is more suitable for predicting a kidney prognosis is limited, and it has not been evaluated in hypertension. The aim of the present study was to investigate and compare the predictive values of four nutritional indices: Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (GNRI); Prognostic Nutrition Index (PNI); Triglycerides × Total cholesterol × Body weight Index (TCBI); and the controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score.

Methods: A retrospective, cohort study of 1255 hypertensive patients under care in the Fukushima Cohort Study was conducted. The primary outcome was kidney events, defined as a combination of a 50% decline in eGFR from baseline and renal failure requiring dialysis therapy or kidney transplantation. Kaplan-Meier analyses and multivariate Cox regression analyses were conducted to examine associations between the four nutritional indices and kidney events. The area under the curve (AUC) values of the receiver-operating characteristic curves were also examined to compare the predictive values of these nutritional indices.

Results: Lower GNRI, lower PNI, and higher CONUT score were significantly related to a higher risk of kidney events. GNRI (AUC = 0.729, 95% confidence interval 0.681-0.777) and PNI (AUC = 0.710, 95% confidence interval 0.665-0.756) had significantly higher AUCs for kidney events than the TCBI and CONUT score.

Conclusions: GNRI and PNI showed greater predictive values for kidney events than other nutritional indices in patients with hypertension.