Computerized tomography features acting as predictors for invasive therapy in the management of Crohn's disease-related spontaneous intra-abdominal abscess: experience from long-term follow-up

Background: Decision-making in the management of Crohn's disease (CD)-related spontaneous intra-abdominal abscess (IAA) is challenging. This study aims to reveal predictive factors for percutaneous drainage and/or surgery in the treatment of CD-related spontaneous IAA through long-term follow-up.

Methods: Data were collected, including clinical manifestations, radiography and treatment strategies, in Chinese patients with CD-related IAA in a tertiary medical center. Univariate and Multivariate Cox analysis were conducted to identify predictors for invasive therapy.

Results: Altogether, 48 CD patients were identified as having IAA through enhanced CT scans. The median follow-up time was 45.0 (23.3, 58.0) months. 23 (47.9%) patients underwent conservative medical treatment, and 25 (52.1%) patients underwent percutaneous drainage and/or surgical intervention (invasive treatment group). The 1-, 2-, and 5-year overall survival rates without invasive treatment were 75.0%, 56.1%, and 46.1%, respectively. On univariate Cox analysis, the computerized tomography (CT) features including nonperienteric abscess (HR: 4.22, 95% CI: 1.81-9.86, p = 0.001), max abscess diameter (HR: 1.01, 95% CI: 1.00-1.02, p<0.001) and width of sinus (HR: 1.27, 95% CI: 1.10-1.46, p = 0.001) were significantly associated with invasive treatment. Nonperienteric abscess was significantly associated with invasive treatment on multivariate Cox analysis (HR: 3.11, 95% CI: 1.25-7.71, p = 0.015). A score model was built by width of sinus, location of abscess and max abscess diameter to predict invasive treatment. The AUC of ROC, sensitivity and specificity were 0.892, 80.0% and 90.9% respectively.

Conclusions: More than half of CD-related IAA patients needed invasive therapy within 5-year follow-up. The CT features including nonperienteric abscess, larger maximum abscess diameter and width of sinus suggested a more aggressive approach to invasive treatment.