Unsupervised Classification of the Host Response Identifies Dominant Pathobiological Signatures of Sepsis in Sub-Saharan Africa

Rationale: The global burden of sepsis is concentrated in sub-Saharan Africa, where inciting pathogens are diverse and HIV co-infection is a major driver of poor outcomes. Biological heterogeneity inherent to sepsis in this setting is poorly defined.

Objectives: To identify dominant pathobiological signatures of sepsis in sub-Saharan Africa and their relationship to clinical phenotypes, patient outcomes, and biological classifications of sepsis identified in high-income-countries (HICs).

Methods: We analyzed two prospective cohorts of adults hospitalized with sepsis (severe infection with qSOFA score≥1) at disparate settings in Uganda (discovery cohort [Entebbe,urban], N=242; validation cohort [Tororo,rural], N=253). To identify pathobiological signatures in the discovery cohort, we applied unsupervised clustering to 173 soluble proteins reflecting key domains of the host response to severe infection. A random forest-derived classifier was used to predict signature assignment in the validation cohort.

Measurements and main results: Two signatures (Uganda Sepsis Signature [USS]-1 and USS-2) were identified in the discovery cohort, distinguished by expression of proteins involved in myeloid cell and inflammasome activation, T cell co-stimulation and exhaustion, and endothelial barrier dysfunction. A five-protein classifier (AUROC 0.97) reproduced two signatures in the validation cohort with similar biological profiles. In both cohorts, USS-2 mapped to a more severe clinical phenotype associated with HIV and related immunosuppression, severe tuberculosis, and increased risk of 30-day mortality. Substantial biological overlap was observed between USS-2 and hyperinflammatory and reactive sepsis phenotypes identified in HICs.

Conclusions: We identified prognostically-enriched pathobiological signatures among sepsis patients with diverse infections and high HIV prevalence in Uganda. Globally inclusive investigations are needed to define generalizable and context-specific mechanisms of sepsis pathobiology, with the goal of improving access to precision medicine treatment strategies.