COVID-19 Diagnosis, Oral Anticoagulation, and Stroke Risk in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation

Am J Cardiovasc Drugs. 2024 Sep;24(5):693-702. doi: 10.1007/s40256-024-00671-3. Epub 2024 Aug 13.

Abstract

Background: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has been associated with an increased risk of stroke. It remains unclear whether the risk of stroke associated with a diagnosis of COVID-19 differed with oral anticoagulation (OAC) use. The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between COVID-19 infection, OAC use, and stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).

Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted in individuals with established AF using data from Optum's deidentified Clinformatics® Data Mart Database. Cox proportional hazard models with time-dependent variables were employed to assess the association between possession of OAC, COVID-19 diagnosis in both inpatient and outpatient setting, and time to ischemic stroke.

Results: A total of 561,758 individuals aged 77 ± 10 were included in the study, with a mean follow up time of 1.3 years. OAC use was associated with a reduced stroke risk [hazard ratio (HR) 0.85, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.82-0.88]. COVID-19 infection was associated with an increased risk of stroke (HR 2.11, 95% CI 1.87-2.38); this increased risk was particularly pronounced for patients diagnosed with an inpatient diagnosis of COVID-19 (HR 3.95, 95% CI 3.33-4.68). There was no significant interaction between OAC use and COVID-19 diagnosis (p value = 0.96). As a result, the relative increase in stroke risk associated with COVID-19 did not differ between patients on OAC (HR 2.12; 95% CI 1.71-2.62) and those not on OAC (HR 2.11; 95% CI 1.83-2.43).

Conclusion: In a nationwide sample of patients with established AF, we found the relative increase in stroke risk associated with COVID-19 was independent of OAC use.

MeSH terms

  • Administration, Oral
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Anticoagulants* / administration & dosage
  • Anticoagulants* / adverse effects
  • Anticoagulants* / therapeutic use
  • Atrial Fibrillation* / complications
  • Atrial Fibrillation* / drug therapy
  • Atrial Fibrillation* / epidemiology
  • COVID-19* / complications
  • COVID-19* / epidemiology
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Factors
  • SARS-CoV-2
  • Stroke* / epidemiology
  • Stroke* / etiology
  • Stroke* / prevention & control

Substances

  • Anticoagulants