Tigers vs. Guardians Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline - July 11
Thursday's contest between the Cleveland Guardians (57-34) and the Detroit Tigers (44-49) at Comerica Park has a good chance to be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Guardians taking home the win. First pitch is at 1:10 PM ET on July 11.
This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Tigers will send Jack Flaherty (5-5) to the mound, while Spencer Howard (1-1) will take the ball for the Guardians.
Watch MLB, other live sports and more on Fubo! Use our link to sign up for a free trial.
Tigers vs. Guardians Game Info & Odds
- When: Thursday, July 11, 2024 at 1:10 PM ET
- Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan
- How to Watch on TV: BSGL
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at StubHub
Place your bets on any MLB matchup at BetMGM, and sign up with our link for a first-time deposit bonus!
Tigers vs. Guardians Score Prediction
- Our pick for this contest is Guardians 5, Tigers 4.
Total Prediction for Tigers vs. Guardians
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Read More About This Game
Tigers Performance Insights
- Over the past 10 games, the Tigers have been favored twice and won both contests.
- In its last 10 games with a total, Detroit and its opponents are 7-3-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
- The Tigers have been favorites in 39 games this season and won 21 (53.8%) of those contests.
- Detroit has a record of 14-7, a 66.7% win rate, when favored by -135 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The implied probability of a win from the Tigers, based on the moneyline, is 57.4%.
- Detroit has scored 385 runs (4.1 per game) this season, which ranks 20th in MLB.
- The Tigers' 3.95 team ERA ranks 13th across all MLB pitching staffs.
Guardians Performance Insights
- In their last 10 contests, the Guardians were underdogs just once and were the losers in that contest.
- In its previous 10 games with a total, Cleveland and its opponents have combined to exceed the over/under on seven occasions.
- The Guardians have won in 15, or 55.6%, of the 27 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Cleveland has a mark of 8-7 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +110 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 47.6% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Cleveland is the eighth-highest scoring team in baseball, averaging 4.9 runs per game (449 total).
- The Guardians have the eighth-best ERA (3.72) in the majors this season.
Put your picks to the test and bet with BetMGM!
Tigers Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| July 6 | @ Reds | W 5-3 | Alex Faedo vs Hunter Greene |
| July 7 | @ Reds | W 5-1 | Tarik Skubal vs Graham Ashcraft |
| July 8 | Guardians | W 1-0 | Keider Montero vs Gavin Williams |
| July 9 | Guardians | L 9-8 | Ben Lively vs Ben Lively |
| July 10 | Guardians | W 5-4 | Reese Olson vs Tanner Bibee |
| July 11 | Guardians | - | Jack Flaherty vs Spencer Howard |
| July 12 | Dodgers | - | Tarik Skubal vs Tyler Glasnow |
| July 13 | Dodgers | - | Keider Montero vs James Paxton |
| July 14 | Dodgers | - | Kenta Maeda vs Bobby Miller |
| July 19 | @ Blue Jays | - | TBA vs TBA |
| July 20 | @ Blue Jays | - | TBA vs TBA |
Guardians Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| July 6 | Giants | W 5-4 | Logan Allen vs Kyle Harrison |
| July 7 | Giants | W 5-4 | Carlos Carrasco vs Hayden Birdsong |
| July 8 | @ Tigers | L 1-0 | Gavin Williams vs Keider Montero |
| July 9 | @ Tigers | W 9-8 | Ben Lively vs Ben Lively |
| July 10 | @ Tigers | L 5-4 | Tanner Bibee vs Reese Olson |
| July 11 | @ Tigers | - | Spencer Howard vs Jack Flaherty |
| July 12 | @ Rays | - | Carlos Carrasco vs Taj Bradley |
| July 13 | @ Rays | - | Gavin Williams vs Zack Littell |
| July 14 | @ Rays | - | Ben Lively vs Ryan Pepiot |
| July 19 | Padres | - | TBA vs TBA |
| July 20 | Padres | - | TBA vs TBA |
Rep your team with officially licensed MLB gear! Head to Fanatics to find jerseys, shirts, and much more.
Not all offers available in all states, please visit BetMGM for the latest promotions for your area. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.
dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.
Remove the ads from your TribLIVE reading experience but still support the journalists who create the content with TribLIVE Ad-Free.