Showing posts with label Obama. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Obama. Show all posts

Thursday, March 27, 2014

The President, the Pope, and a new challenge for the GOP

The President has just visited with the Pope.

Normally this would be pretty basic story. One leader paying homage to another. But not today. 

In this trip to the Vatican, President Obama has an eye to the November elections. 

Here's why it makes things difficult for the GOP.

First, with his emphasis on wealth inequality, Pope Francis has put the GOP in an uncomfortable identity position. By his words, Republicans have been forced to confront accusations that their social conservatism does not extend to the war on poverty (see Paul Ryan being challenged on Catholic TV). Conservatives are thus also being forced to balance their political faith in a more difficult relationship with American Catholicism - traditionally a strong voting bloc. At a thematic level, the Pope's inequality narrative will force the GOP to face up to new thinking in social politics (something I've previously written on here).

Second, Obama's visit has given him a major forum from which to assert his domestic inequality agenda. Post this visit, for example, you can be confident that the White House will employ a budding message - 'The Pope supports Obama, so shouldn't you?'. As an extension, Obama's visit will force the GOP to assert a countermanding, front page inequality narrative. While the GOP has such a narrative (again, Paul Ryan has done great work here), a campaign that focuses on poverty doesn't flow with the GOP's favored electoral strategy - focusing on ObamaCare as its core (perhaps even singular) issue. Regardless, recognizing the political power of Catholicism in America (especially among Hispanic American voters), the GOP knows that it cannot afford to repudiate the Pope with one liners.

For my own thoughts, the GOP should focus its response in two areas - rebutting the assumed social utility of a welfare state and providing serious health care alternatives. 

My thoughts on these concerns can be found here, here and here.

Thursday, March 13, 2014

Obama threatens Putin...

President Obama has just warned of a ''cost'' if Russia doesn't back down on Ukraine. 

Hmmm...

Not many people are listening. Here's why.

What we're seeing in Ukraine and around the world is a testament to international relations - that power must be practiced in order to be real. Instead, the President's foreign policy is rapidly descending into an absolute shambles. Devoid of perceivable strength and absent any notion of consistent grand strategy, the White House is spinning in the wind. It's a tragedy.

And a celebration for our adversaries.

Let's be clear. America would have been far better off with Mitt Romney as Commander in Chief. On that note... I'm sick of hearing the President's defenders crow about Neptune Spear. As if that one incident (achieved by CIA*/JSOC) somehow defines this White House as an institution of national security omnipotence. The ultimate reality is that Obama took months to authorize the Bin Laden raid - waiting and waiting. The President thinks he can make the tough calls, but it's increasingly obvious that he can't.

* - An organization that Democrats now seem happy to throw down the river (please see my latest @NRO).

Related thoughts in blog bio.

Saturday, March 1, 2014

Ukraine and the Tombstone of the Reset

What's happening in Ukraine represents the tombstone for President Obama's reset. As I've argued before, (here and here) the Russian Government has successfully manipulated US foreign policy over the past five years. Cognizant of the President's international trepidation (an issue I've also written on here), Putin has advanced Russian strategic interests at the cost of both American prestige and influence. As I see it, the Russian surge into Crimea has two specific purposes - to deter western intervention and support for the new Ukrainian Government and to ensure that Russia's access to its Black Sea naval bases is sustained.

Still, this is about more than power politics. In part understandably (considering the ethnic make up of Crimea), Russia is deeply concerned by the prospect of appearing to abandon its key supporters. Russia wants to ensure that their opinion is represented by the new government.

Again, it's absolutely crucial to note that Russian foreign policy is always focused on local domination in service to the central authority of the Kremlin.

But of course, this is also about Putin's willingness to use military force in order to achieve his political objectives (see the video below from 13.58). Putin wagers that the US and the EU lack the constitution to restrain his intimidation. He may be right. In the days ahead, it is critical that President Obama show Putin that there are limits to Russia's power. In essence, the American President must restore Russia's faith in American power.


Thursday, January 16, 2014

Ya'alon's Silly Comments

I'm a firm supporter of the US-Israeli alliance. Still, I struggle to understand the psychology of some Israeli politicians. Take Israeli Defense Minister Ya'alon. Studying his background, Ya'alon is clearly an intelligent, strategically minded man. After all, this is a leader who commanded Israel's foremost Special Operations unit and then became his nation's most senior military officer. But what Ya'alon said about Kerry didn't make much sense. Even if he's overly optimistic, Kerry's pursuit of Middle East peace is a worthy one (I've argued why here and here). As much as Ya'alon might be angry about Kerry's peacekeeping force proposals, his words were not clever. To be sure, Netanyahu doesn't like Obama. That was clear a few years ago. And in many ways, Netanyahu's dissatisfaction with Obama is understandable (US policy in the Middle East is a mess). 

Nevertheless, in the context of the 'settlement snub' of 2010 and the ongoing 'Pollard release' lobby, Ya'alon's  comments were unjustifiable.

Monday, January 13, 2014

Iran Nuclear Deal - Implementation

The implementation of the Geneva interim nuclear deal will begin on January 20th. That's welcome news. After all, in recent weeks it seemed like the agreement might fall apart before it even began. On another positive note, Iran will shortly begin to dilute its stockpile of highly enriched uranium. Still, I have a number of concerns.

  • While inspectors will apparently be allowed daily, physical access to the Fordo site, there will only be monthly inspections at the Arak based heavy water reactor. That's far from ideal. If the Iranians are serious about addressing fears that they are pursuing a plutonium-route nuclear weapon, allowing more vigorous inspections at Arak would be the perfect place to start. Instead, the reluctance to afford access to Arak suggests that the Iranians may want to hide what's happening there. It raises questions and it fosters mistrust.

  • The Iranians are crowing. While this is to be expected at some level (and helps Iranian moderates placate their hard-line colleagues), it's worrying that many Iranian officials are so gleeful in their claims that this deal doesn't bind them in any significant way. Again, it suggests an absence of seriousness in the pursuit of trust towards a lasting arrangement. Without hope of a lasting agreement, this deal will be rendered into irrelevance.

  • It's problematic that the negotiators have taken so long to reach implementation. This reality suggests an agenda disconnect. Since 2003, Iran has attempted to evade the international community in its efforts to ensure a non-weaponized nuclear program. Delay has formed the primary strategic gambit on Iran's part. In short, what we're seeing looks like more deliberate time wasting.

While I supported this deal at the time of its creation, it's also abundantly clear to me that Geneva hasn't got off to a good start. The US will have to work exceptionally hard to ensure that Iran fulfills its obligations. At the same time, Congress will have to play a constructive but cautious role in supporting US diplomacy. Still, if this effort fails, the only options left available will be dramatically tightened sanctions alongside the prospect of military force. 

Time is running short.



Saturday, December 28, 2013

NSA - Metadata legal

As I thought would be the case (no pun intended), the Federal Judiciary has overturned last week's ruling that the NSA metadata programs are unconstitutional. That was the correct decision - management of these programs belongs with the Executive and the Legislature. As the reviewing Judge noted, these NSA programs help to find valuable information in an ''Ocean of seemingly disconnected data''. As I've argued before, the US experience in Iraq proves how this method of intelligence collection can save many lives.

Tuesday, December 10, 2013

ObamaCare, Afghanistan and the question of liberal morality

Breathing a sigh of relief, the President is dusting off his salesman cap. ObamaCare seems to be on the mend. Some problems remain, but Healthcare.gov now appears pretty functional.

Yet the future of the Affordable Care Act is far from certain. As David Freddoso notes, Democrats are going to have a hard time getting past the ‘sticker shock’ that many Americans are experiencing with their new plans. After all, it’s hard to persuade a middle class family that they should be happy paying more for a plan that suits them less. There’s obvious political risk here. If common dissatisfaction becomes the norm, November 2014 isn’t going to be fun for Democrats.

Certainly, liberals are going to have to learn from this experience. They’re going to have to accept that good intentions and good policies are not the same thing.

Ultimately, ObamaCare’s difficulties didn’t flow from unfortunate circumstances; they flowed from the arrogance of self-assumed moral superiority. Consider our political discourse. Where conservatives often deride liberal philosophy as delusional, liberals often regard conservatism as implicitly immoral. Regarding ObamaCare, prominent liberals frequently claim that conservative opposition is racist, or motivated by a hatred for the poor, or just plain stupid, or really, really racist. Indeed, the Washington Post's Ryan Cooper has stated that opposing ObamaCare is ''morally wrong''.

Look, I’d be the first to admit that conservatives need to offer serious alternatives to ObamaCare. Nevertheless, liberals desperately need to buy a mirror.

Just reference the recent liberal record in Afghanistan and Iraq…

Iraq, January 2007. A nation on the verge of implosion. Every day brought new bombings and beheadings. Iranian provided explosives were turning armored Humvees into human grinders. Al Qa’ida was fracturing Iraqi society with a ruthless brutality. Then Bush ordered ‘the surge’. With time, JSOC and ‘The Awakening’, the surge dramatically reduced the bloodshed and created space for basic political reconciliation. Without it, Iraq would have almost certainly descended into an ethno-sectarian holocaust. In other words, a moral abyss. Yet, even when its dividends were becoming clear, liberals fastidiously opposed the surge. Not only that, just as the liberal base now gleefully defends Snowden as a great patriot, during the surge, those same liberal activists were happy to deride Americans soldiers as traitors. Consider the dichotomy of this worldview; celebration of a defection to a mafia state, treason by fifteen months military service in 120 degree heat. 

Opposing the surge, liberals offered two weak alternatives - abandon Iraq or ‘hope for the best’. Terrible human suffering had become an abstraction. At best, an uncomfortable reality to be pushed from the mind.

Then there’s Afghanistan.

The majority of liberals have long believed that Afghanistan is a unworthy cause. Nonetheless, whether embracing an inverted McNamara-esque number count, or an assumed self-righteousness, a far too casual faux morality is in play. We’re witnessing a new national security liberalismone defined by easy populism and devoid of moral anchor. A paradigm in sad distinction to the leadership of FDR.

Don’t get me wrong, I’m not saying that American military deployments are morally simple questions (nor that conservatives are perfect)But liberals must more honestly pay heed to American’s unique role in the world. While the Afghan President might possess the temperament of a five year old, the evidence also shows Afghanistan’s gradual movement towards stability. By calling for policy changes on the basis of the first consideration but ignoring the latter, liberals would greatly empower those who find justice in the hanging of children. I know they don't intend that, but it's exactly what will happen.

Friday, November 29, 2013

Imran Khan - Pakistan's agitator for idiocy

Imran Khan should have stuck to cricket. The Pakistani political party, PTI (Movement for Justice), has reportedly leaked the name of the CIA's Station Chief in Islamabad. For the interests of the Pakistani people, this was a profoundly idiotic move. 

First, even before now, the Station Chief's identity was almost certainly known to the Pakistani authorities - one of the primary responsibilities of a Station Chief is to liaise with the foreign government. The PTI hasn't helped the Pakistani Government uncover a foreign spy. But via this leak (if only for a short time), the PTI will have weakened Pakistani-US intelligence cooperation. This is not a small concern. The US-Pakistani intelligence relationship is of great importance to the people of Pakistan. In specific terms, it's instrumental to Pakistan's ability to keep innocent civilians safe from violent extremists.

That incontestable reality speaks to a deeper truth. 

This leak was about one thing - domestic politics. Over the last couple of years, Khan has cultivated a seriously unpleasant alliance with various Islamist extremist groups. At the same time, the PTI leader has sought to blame the United States for Pakistan's woeful security situation. This all culminated with Khan's rally last week against the CIA's drone program (an issue he has embraced as his defining populist cause). To be sure, many Pakistanis do not like the idea of a foreign power using force in their country. Nevertheless, as I've argued before, US drones help Pakistan to address critical threats that would otherwise go unchallenged.

Ultimately, Khan's actions speak to a broader problem in much of the Islamic world. Rather than facing up to major socio-political difficulties, far too many politicians choose to blame the United States for their nation's ills. It's certainly easier than confronting brutal extremist movements. In the short term, it also offers voters a rallying point to express their diverging discontent in common cause. Yet, the problem with this type of political strategy is that it renders such negative consequences - sacrificing the interests of the people at the altar of a patently false agenda. Take this example from a senior PTI politician. After calling for the CIA Station Chief's arrest, the MP also called for his ''interrogation'' in order to garner the identities of drone pilots. It's absurdity personified. Mazari knows that will never happen, she's simply stoking the fires of an easy anger. 

Khan and the PTI aren't helping to build a better, independent future for Pakistan. Instead, they're simply fueling extremists who want to destroy any semblance of hope for a more just and prosperous democracy.

Monday, November 25, 2013

Selected writings on Middle East and related security issues (Ignore date tag)



I have stopped updating this page. The areas below are a frequent area for my writings so the best way to find the latest is to google "Tom Rogan [whatever area/topic you might want to read]" THANKS!

I'm now updating this page less regularly (please visit my Washington Examiner page for more recent posts).


Writings on other issues related to security/intelligence/counter-terrorism/AQ Core etc. are listed under OTHER header towards the end of this page. Please also see my TV/Radio page for related interviews/speeches.


Relevant academic background - I hold a BA in War Studies from King's College London and a Master's degree in Middle East Politics from The School of Oriental and African Studies, London.


My work has been recognized by the BBC + BBC, + BBC, + BBC, +BBC, the UK Parliament, the American Enterprise Institute, the  Council on Foreign Relations, CNN’s Fareed Zakaria, the Foreign Policy Initiative, The Week magazine reviews, The Wire + The Wire + The Wire + The Wire, the Center on National Security at Fordham Law School, and Real World Politics/Real Clear Politics. My examination of US security challenges at the end of 2013 was reviewed as the global ‘‘must read’’ of the day by the BBC.


Thank you very much for reading.


IRAQ (most Daesh/IS/ISIS/ISIL pieces under this header)


The Conundrum of Arming the Kurds (National Review)



How to Defeat Daesh - 2017 version (National Review)


Why the Slow Speed of Operations in Mosul is Harming U.S. Interests (National Review)


Why the U.S. Role in Mosul is Crucial (National Review)


Is Daesh Near Defeat? (National Review)


Daesh Total War Strategy (National Review)


The Baghdad Bombings and 3 Observations on Evolving Daesh Strategy (National Review)


Why Obama's Iraq Policy is Collapsing in 2016 (National Review)


How the ISIS List Will Help Allied Intelligence (National Review)


The Crucial Politics of the Battle for Mosul (National Review)


ISIS Chemical Weapons Strategy (National Review)


4 Takeaways from ISIS Video Threatening UK (Homepage)


3 Takeaways from the Battle for Ramadi (National Review)


Predicting the Paris Attacks


The Coming Showdown Between Iran and the US in Iraq (National Review)


ISIS Banner of Death vs US Military Banners of Moral Glory (Opportunity Lives)


ISIS Frays the Civic Fabric of Europe (National Review)


Obama's Fecklessness Pushes Europe Towards Putin (National Review)


The importance of killing Jihadi John (National Review)


The State of the Islamic State (National Review)


Debate on September 11th show (McLaughlin Group)


America and Russia can be Deterred in Iraq (National Review)


Obama's Lost Humanitarianism (National Review)


LONG FORM ESSAY - A New Blueprint for Defeating the Islamic State (National Review)


President Obama's Ludicrous Middle East Policy (National Review)


The Challenge of the Middle East (TV- McLaughlin Group - many more TV comments here)


A Success Against the Islamic State. In Perspective (National Review)


What to Expect from Iraq's Efforts to Retake Ramadi (National Review)


The Fall of Ramadi would be a Devastating Win for ISIS (National Review)


Iran supporting anti-US efforts in Iraq (National Review)


SPEECH: America's Role in the Middle East (Leadership Program of the Rockies)


Jobs for ISIS: Not so stupid as you think (National Review)


Obama's Decision on ISIS (National Review)


Another ISIS Atrocity (National Review)


ISIS caught a Jordanian pilot (National Review)


No cause for optimism on ISIS (National Review)


Yes to a Safe Harbor (National Review)


What Kassig's beheading tells us (National Review)


Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi's global jihad (National Review)


Diversity of threat (Fox News)


Boots to Anbar, Now (National Review)


The Storm of Karbala (National Review)


The Islamic State's Stoning Video (National Review)


Saudi Arabia vs Iran (National Review)


US Intelligence and the Islamic State (National Review)


The Islamic State's strategy in Baghdad (National Review)


The Islamic State's evolving strategy (Fox News)


Kobani, the Islamic State and America's disinterest crisis (Daily Telegraph)


Obama's failing strategy and Kobani (National Review)


Three reasons we must find Jihadi John (National Review)


Inciting Murder (Weekly Standard)


Three reasons Obama is happy to have UK support against IS (Daily Telegraph)


The Khorasan Threat (National Review)


Why the UK will join the anti-ISIS coalition (National Review)


ISIS comes to the west (National Review)


Obama was right on ransoms (National Review)


Obama's ISIS speech: a review (National Review)


The speech Obama should give on ISIS (Daily Telegraph)


The Complexity of Coalitions (National Review)


Steven Sotloff and ISIS's fear (The Daily Telegraph)


ISIS- strengths and weaknesses (Fox News)


Obama, check your answering machine (National Review)


Dempsey's clarity, Obama's confusion (National Review)


The White House Leaked Too Much Information (The National Review)


James Foley: A man of courage (The National Review)


President Obama's 'Mission Accomplished' Moment (The National Review)


Discussing Iraq (The McLaughlin Group)


After Maliki (The National Review)


Discussing ISIS (Sun News Network)


America alone, again (The National Review)


Talking Iraq (CNN)


Talking Iraq (McLaughlin Group)


Why Obama authorized military action in Iraq (The Telegraph)


The Yezidi and ISIS (The National Review)


ISIS and Death TV (The National Review)


Talking al-Baghdadi (Global Voice Hall)


A Portrait of Death (The National Review)


Three observations on al-Baghdadi's video sermon (The Telegraph)


ISIS: 3 reasons it's dysfunctional (The National Review)


Iraq: More complicated than Sunni vs Shia (The National Review)


British Jihadists in Syria/Iraq (Blog)


Obama is right to return to Iraq (The National Review)


June 2015: What will Iraq look like? (The Daily Telegraph)

Iraq discussion (Real Time with Bill Maher)



A terrorist storm is heading for the west - ISIS focus (The Daily Telegraph)

Voters vs. Bombers (The National Review)

NSA in Iraq (BBC)

Fallujah, al-Qaeda and the legacy of American Sacrifice (The National Review)

Book Review (Washington Free Beacon)

IRAN


Iran is risking war to test the Saudi crown prince (Washington Examiner)




Why the Slow Speed of Operations in Mosul is Harming U.S. Interests (National Review)


Why - and How - the U.S. Navy Must Send a Message to Iran (National Review)


Obama, Iran, and the Kidnapping of Realism (National Review)


Saudi Execution of Nimr al-Nimr and Regional Strategy (National Review)


Saudi vs Iran (National Review)


The Coming Showdown Between Iran and the US in Iraq (National Review)


Iran Bends the Nuclear Deal - Ballistics Focus (National Review)


How and Why Iran Will Cheat on Nuclear Deal (National Review)


McLaughlin Group debate on Iran (McLaughlin Group) (MORE TV LINKS HERE)


5 Places Iran's Nuclear Cash Will Flow (National Review)


Iran Deal: Good for Iran, But Bad for America and Middle East Peace (National Review)


Iran Deadlines Signal Disaster (National Review)


A Cargo Ship, Yemen, and a Challenge to America (GVH Live)


Like the Iranians, the Saudis think President Obama is weak (National Review)


Putin Returns (National Review)


Iran Deal: A Diplomatic Farce (National Review)


Iran threats to the Middle East (McLaughlin Group)


Put another carrier in the Gulf (National Review)


Iran supporting anti-US efforts in Iraq (National Review)


Obama must be ready to use force against Iran (Daily Telegraph)


Too Many Carrots for Iran (National Review)


Saudi Arabia vs Iran (National Review)


Why is President Obama still buying what Rouhani is selling? (National Review)


Discussing Iran negotiating extension (Sun News Network)


Obama's new red line (The National Review)


Where is Iran heading - three clues (The Daily Telegraph)


Flow chart - what might happen if Israel/US bomb Iran (The Daily Telegraph)


How Obama can help bring the Middle East back from the brink (Fox News)


Iran and Congress - A moment of consequence (Blog)


Iran Deal: Just a piece of paper. For now. (Christian Science Monitor)


Iran Nuclear Program - Discussion and Analysis (TV - Global Voice Hall)


5 Benefits of US-Israel Negotiating Discord - How it makes a good nuclear deal more likely (The National Review)


Flow Chart - Predicting the regional ramifications of a nuclear armed Iran (Blog)


US Navy deployments... Iran? (Blog)


How Obama can achieve a good nuclear deal with Iran (The Guardian)


How to manage a nuclear theocracy (Blog)


2 Presidents and 3 diplomatic delusions regarding Iran (Blog)


4 Takeaways from the Filkins study of Qassem Suleimani (Blog)


Iran, the US and the UN - A skeptical take (Blog) 


Iran plans retaliation if US strikes Assad (Blog)


President Rouhani and the continuing risk of conflict (Blog)


The geo-strategic impact of Iran attaining a nuclear weapons capability (The Commentator)


How domestic politics influences Iranian, US and Israeli foreign policy (Blog)


How Iran will use brinkmanship to protect its nuclear program (The Guardian)


Israel could attack Iran without causing a major war in the region (The Guardian)


Iran and Diplomacy (Blog)


Strategic interplay in the Near/Middle East (The Daily Caller)


Netanyahu at the UN (Blog)


Netanyahu's strategy on Iran (The Daily Caller)


Iran plots against US and How US should have responded (Blog)


SYRIA/LEBANESE HIZBALLAH/LEBANON/ (same header due to overlap in the pieces. Many ISIS pieces under IRAQ header)


3 Options for Trump vs. Assad (National Review)


5 Ways Trump Should Leverage U.S. Ground Forces in Syria (National Review)


Discussing Syria (Fox News)


5 Things to Expect After Aleppo Falls (National Review)


Why Putin is Finishing Aleppo Now (National Review)


What to Expect from the Operation to Retake Raqqah (National Review)


In Lebanon, U.S. Allies are in Trouble (National Review)


3 Ways the U.S. Can Save Syria (National Review)


Putin Buries U.S. Credibility in Aleppo (National Review)


Why Putin Bombed the Aid Convoy (National Review)


Putin's Cease-Fire: A Trojan Horse (National Review)


Why Turkey is Kneeling to Russia (National Review)


Putin's Gun, Obama's Pen (National Review)


4 Reasons for Retaking Raqqa (National Review)


Putin's Slaughter Strategy (National Review)


ISIS Syria Strategy (National Review)


Obama, Geneva, Syria (Homepage)


Starving Syria (National Review)


Turkey Downs a Russian Jet - What Happens Next (National Review)


The M-5 Highway and Google Maps (Homepage)


How to Respond to Russia's Offensive in Syria (National Review)


The Problem Posed by Russia's Offensive in Syria (Fox News - More TV Links here)


President Obama's Cluster of Mistakes in Syria (National Review)


President Obama's 'Goldfinger' Strategy (National Review)


America and Russia can be Deterred in Syria (National Review)


America Must Influence Russia and Iran (National Review)


How Russia is playing the United States in the Middle East (Steamboat Institute)


Why America Must Not Deal With Assad (McLaughlin Group)


The Fall of Palmyra is a Strategic and Human Tragedy (National Review)


How Syria's Dictator Slaughters His People (National Review)


Why Pelosi's Visit Was Inexcusable (National Review)


Hezbollah Hits Israel (National Review)


Problems facing Lebanese Hizballah (Reuters)


The Khorasan Threat (National Review)


Why the UK will join the anti-ISIS coalition (National Review)


A terrorist storm is heading for the west - ISIS focus (The Daily Telegraph)


Three reasons Obama might still bomb Syria (The Daily Telegraph)


Syria is suffocating (The National Review)


Obama's Slumber - Putin's Swindle (The American Spectator)


Why the US must not ally with Iran in order to defeat ISIS (The National Review)


Why Syria is forcing British Intelligence into hard choices (The American Spectator)


Assad's WMD deal: the nature of a tyrant (Blog)


Geneva II and the need for a new American strategy (Blog)


Assassination in Beirut (Blog)


Putin's deal is a catastrophe for Syria and the US (The Guardian)


A key difference between Bush and Obama (Blog)


Thoughts on Geneva (Radio 660 AM The Answer) 


Putin's letter - Analysis (Blog)


The American Retreat (Blog)


Syria WMD deal? The ultimate political Ponzi scheme (Blog)


The American Choice in International Affairs (The National Review)


Syria - a pivotal week for America (Blog)


How the Bin Laden raid can guide US intervention in Syria (Blog)


My response to 5 non-interventionist arguments (Blog)


Syria - 4 myths infecting the intervention debate (Blog)


Talking Syria/Congress (TV - Al Jazeera America)


Syria - US policy challenges (Radio - 660 AM The Answer)


Obama goes to Congress on Syria: Big mistake (The Week)


Kerry press conference (Blog)


Why the British Government vetoed intervention in Syria (Blog)


Syria and US Foreign Policy - Values and Outcomes (Blog)


Syria Update... (Blog)


Why the US should intervene against Assad (Monocle 24 Radio)


Obama fails to lead on Syria (The Guardian)


5 proposals for American intervention in Syria (Blog)


Actors in the Syrian Civil War - Flow Chart (Blog)


The suffering of Syria, the shame of America (Blog)


It's time to arm the Syrian rebels (The Week) 


On the EU's Hizballah delusion (Blog)


How the US should deal with Assad's chemical weapons threat (Huffington Post)





Why Hizballah will desert Assad before the end (The Guardian) (I still support the essence of my argument here, but in hindsight, it's also clear that I placed too much emphasis on Hizballah's concerns over domestic/regional political perception.)

YEMEN/AL QA'IDA in the ARABIAN PENINSULA (AQAP)

The death of al-Wuhayshi (National Review)


The Collapse of President Obama's Yemen Strategy (National Review)


Obama's Yemen Strategy (National Review)


Taking Al Qa'ida's Media Savvy Seriously - al-Wuhayshi video (National Review)


7 Thoughts on the August 2013 AQAP threat (Blog)


BBC World Service discussion on August 2013 AQAP threat (BBC)


AQAP Intelligence Leaks (Blog)


On the Foiled 2012 AQAP plot (Blog)


EGYPT 


Egypt and the Costs of Lost American Influence (National Review)


Five observations about Egypt chaos (Fox News)


Egypt and the failure of US policy (Blog)


Why the Egyptian Army Issued Morsi a Deadline (Blog)


Why Egypt Needs Democracy (Blog)


ISRAEL/ ISRAELI-PALESTINIAN ISSUES


Why Supporting Israel Need Not Mean Supporting Israeli Espionage Against the U.S. (National Review)


Israel 4 Challenges (National Review)


Obama vs. Netanyahu (National Review)


The Inexcusable Release of Jonathan Pollard (National Review)


Israel's Rosa Parks Moment (National Review)


Netanyahu Courts Congress (National Review)


Hezbollah Hits Israel (National Review)


Jerusalem's Latest Terror (The National Review)


Gaza and the West (The National Review)


While the World Tweeted (The National Review)


Israel's Strategy is working (The National Review)


US-Israeli relations: a complicated story (The Daily Telegraph)


Hamas's Strategy (The National Review)


Netanyahu's Strategy (The Daily Telegraph)


Discussing Israel-Gaza (Sun News Network)


Discussing Israel-Gaza (Newsmax TV)


It's not just about Hamas, it's also about Iran (National Review)


Why Israeli retaliation is likely (National Review)


5 Benefits of US-Israel Negotiating Discord (National Review)


The Absurdity of the ASA Boycott of Israel (Blog)


Peace, Patriotism and Pollard (National Review)


Why the Israeli-Palestinian peace talks are worthwhile (Blog)


American conservatives should support the peace process (Blog)


Why America is right to support Israel (Blog)


SOMALIA/AL-SHABAB


Massacre in Kenya (National Review)


Tripoli/Baraawe - Special Forces Methodology (Blog)


Capture of Anas al-Liby/Strike Against al-Shabab (Blog) 


The Evil of Global Jihad (National Review)


How the US must respond to the Westgate Mall attack (Blog)


LIBYA/TUNISIA

ISIS Strategy in Libya (National Review)


The Speech David Cameron Should Give on the Sousse Attack (Webpage)


Terror Attack in Sousse, Tunisia (National Review)


Terror in Tunisia (National Review)


Jihadists in the swimming pool (National Review)


Benghazi and the DC blame game (The Guardian)


Ann Kuster (Blog)


Capture of Anas al-Liby/Strike against al-Shabaab (Blog)


Obama's subversion of war powers (The Guardian)


Assessing allegations of a CIA cover-up in Benghazi (Blog) 


Benghazi and why truth makes a difference (Blog)


OTHER - (Somewhat relevant here: In 2008, 2009, 2010 and 2012, I was the Deputy-Lead Player Escort (#2 rank), G4S – Wimbledon Tennis Championships. This role involved ensuring player/VIP security during the tournament and liaising with the UK's Metropolitan Police Service and other parties.


A spy story and why politicians should respect agent running (Washington Examiner)


An inside look into where and how the U.K. spies (Washington Examiner)


Why Trump is Wrong to Say ''Radical Islamic Terrorism'' (The Daily Beast)


Why and How Trump Must Get Tough on Erdogan (National Review)


Pres. Obama's Saudi Delusions (National Review)


Daesh Total War Strategy (National Review)


Erdogan's Victory and How America Must Check Him (National Review)


Bush's Iraq Surge vs. Obama's Afghanistan Waltz (National Review)


Orlando and the Losers Who Become Terrorists (National Review)


4 Ways Free Markets Weaken Islamic Extremists (Opportunity Lives)


5 Takeaways on the Dusseldorf ISIS Plot (National Review)


Why and How America Must Restore Influence with Saudi Arabia (National Review)


Brussels Attacks (National Review)


3 New Foreign Policy Crises in 2016 (National Review)


UK Terrorism Threat in Light of Tube Stabbing (National Review)


The Paris attacks should end the debate over IS threat to the west (National Review)


My warnings about Paris style attacks - collected links - (Homepage)


Why Guantanamo Bay should remain open (Washington Post)


President Obama's New Afghanistan Strategy - 4 Positives, 1 Negative (National Review)


Saudi Arabia's Strategic Landmine (National Review)


President Obama's Diplomatic Fairyland (National Review)


Europe, Migrants, and the Rot of Western Liberalism (Opportunity Lives)


Exploiting the Taliban's Vulnerabilities (National Review)


Obama's Lost Humanitarianism (National Review)


Why Steering Clear Of The Middle East Is A Terrible Idea (Reuters)


Obama Changes US Hostage Negotiation Policy. Not For The Better. (National Review)


Respect is not the same as leadership (GVH Live)


Don't Blame Drones for Casualties in Pakistan (National Review)


Lessons from the latest Paris plot (National Review)


President Obama's Sunni Arab Problem (National Review)


Why ISIS will attack America (National Review)


The Islamic State's New Outpost (National Review)


The Belgium Jihadist raids (National Review)


Jihadist slaughter in France (National Review)


Pakistan's 9/11 (National Review)


Terror in Sydney (National Review)


Foreign Friends and Feinstein (National Review)


Senate Democrats Purge the Record (National Review)


Obama's signs of courage on Afghanistan (National Review)


Behind the apparent plot against the Queen (National Review)


The Traitors who Join ISIS (National Review)


Inspired/Homegrown terrorism links (Blog)


Reza Aslan and the question of Islamic extremism (Blog)


America to the rescue, again (The National Review)


Democrats and the CIA (The Daily Telegraph)


While the World Tweeted (The National Review)


Obama absence of strategic bridge (The National Review)


Review of 'The French Intifada' (The Washington Free Beacon)


American spies and diplomacy of Intelligence gathering (The Daily Telegraph)


The need for multilateralist humility (The Daily Telegraph)


DHS risky airport alerts (The National Review)


Nancy Pelosi and Middle East policy (The National Review)


What to do about Boko Haram (Slate)


#HellfireBokoHaram (The National Review)


Boko Haram (The Daily Telegraph)


Obama's Credibility Crisis (The National Review)


Pollard (The National Review)


Alice in Arabia and the foul idiocy of censorship (The National Review)


Feinstein and the CIA (The National Review)


The Trouble with Turkey (The National Review)


MH370 and the silent question of Islam (The National Review)


The Greenwald Supremacy (The National Review)


A politician, a tweet and a question of freedom (The National Review)


A tough week for freedom... (Blog)


Why Syria is forcing British Intelligence into hard choices (The American Spectator)


Three problems with the President's NSA reforms (Blog)


The Political Face of Sectarian Hatred in the Middle East (Blog)


How Obama can help bring the Middle East back from the brink (Fox News)


For 2014, Globe In Partes Tres (The National Review)


Repression in the UAE (Blog)


China, Iran and Santa (National Review)


NSA Cell Phone Monitoring (Blog)


Hizballah, Iraq and Ukraine (Blog)


Afghanistan, Iraq and Liberal Morality (Blog)


Indulging Al Qa'ida - How Europe is serving the interests of terrorists (The National Review)


Why Islamic extremists don't appreciate satire (Blog)


Notes on Sayyid Qutb (Blog) 


British Jihadists in Syria (Blog)


The Evil of Global Jihad (The National Review)


Debate - Is America right to spy on Europe? (BBC)


Why America should spy on Europe (The National Review)


US Intelligence Operations in Europe (Al Jazeera America)


Merkel and the NSA - Analysis (Blog)


A delicate dance - France and the NSA (Blog)


In Defense of Drones (The National Review)


UK Intelligence Chiefs - Analysis of Testimony (Blog)


London Counter-Terrorism arrests, Snowden and UK Intelligence (Blog)


Oct 2013 London Counter-Terrorism arrests (Blog) 


Zawahiri and AQ Core's evolving strategy (Blog)


Brazil, the NSA and a Snowdened state visit (Blog)


The protection of President Obama's family shouldn't be political football (The Guardian)



Thoughts on Drones (Blog)


Obama must not undo success of surge in Afghanistan (The Guardian)


The role of religion, the definition of terrorism - beware the original thinkers (Blog)


Why the Tsarnaevs turned to terrorism (Blog)


Why Guantanamo Bay should remain open (The Daily Caller)


BBC World Service debate on Guantanamo Bay (Radio) (BBC)


BBC World News debate on Guantanamo Bay (TV) (BBC)


Why Muslims must confront Islamic extremism (Blog)


In Defense of Lawful Secrecy (The Week)


Analysis of Washington Post Intelligence Community reporting (Blog)


The Challenge of Hostage Rescue Operations (Blog)


The War on Terror isn't over. Here's how the US can win it (The Week)


Republicans must speak out against attacks on our Muslim fellow citizens (The Daily Caller)


Conservatives and Counter-Terrorism (The Week)
(All pretty serious topics, so here's some pleasant music...)