Guardians vs. White Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 4

Updated Jul. 4, 2024 1:01 p.m. ET

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Ben Lively is set to start for the Cleveland Guardians on Thursday against Andrew Vaughn and the Chicago White Sox. First pitch is at 1:10 PM ET at Progressive Field. The favored Guardians have -227 moneyline odds against the underdog White Sox, who are listed at +187. Cleveland is favored on the run line (-1.5). The total for the matchup is set at 8.5 runs.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Guardians-White Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

White Sox vs. Rays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays game on Monday, May 6.

Guardians vs. White Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 1:10 PM ET
• Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
• How to Watch on TV: BSGL

Guardians vs. White Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Guardians 4, White Sox 2
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Guardians 64%, White Sox 36%

Guardians vs. White Sox Betting Insights

• The Guardians have won 38, or 69.1%, of the 55 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Cleveland has entered five games this season favored by -227 or more and is 3-2 in those contests.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 69.4% chance to win.
• The White Sox have come away with 21 wins in the 83 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Chicago has been victorious four times in 23 chances when named as an underdog of at least +187 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the White Sox have a 34.8% chance of pulling out a win.

FINAL

CWS 4 · CLE 8

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Chicago White Sox

CWS

+1.5

+191

o8.5

Cleveland Guardians

CLE

-1.5

-233

u8.5

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• The Guardians went 3-2 across the five games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Guardians combined with their opponents to go over the total six times.
• The Guardians' record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Guardians Player Insights

• Jose Ramirez has a team-best 23 home runs and 76 runs batted in.
• Ramirez is fourth in homers and second in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Josh Naylor has 15 doubles, 20 home runs and 31 walks while batting .240.
• Naylor is seventh in homers and sixth in RBI on the season.
• Steven Kwan paces the Guardians with a team-best batting average of .360.
• Andres Gimenez has 12 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 15 walks while batting .243.

Guardians Team Props

Learn more about this Guardians vs. White Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

White Sox Recent Betting Performance

• In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the White Sox have a record of 2-5.
• The White Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The White Sox have won six of their last 10 games against the spread.

White Sox Recent Stats

White Sox Player Insights

• Vaughn has posted a team-leading batting average of .244 and paces the White Sox in runs batted in with a mark of 41.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Vaughn's home run total is 61st and his RBI tally ranks 56th.
• Vaughn takes a hitting streak of six games into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is batting .278 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and seven RBI.
• Gavin Sheets is batting .233 with 17 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 34 walks.
• Sheets is currently 145th in homers and 152nd in RBI in the major leagues.
• Paul DeJong has 15 home runs, best in the lineup.
• Tommy Pham has nine doubles, four home runs and 22 walks while hitting .267.

White Sox Team Props

White Sox vs. Rays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays game on Monday, May 6.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians - 07/04/2024