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Post-Tropical Cyclone Hone Forecast Discussion


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547 
WTPA41 PHFO 012048
TCDCP1

Post-Tropical Cyclone Hone Discussion Number  42
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI   CP012024
1100 AM HST Sun Sep 01 2024

Hone is now classified as a post-tropical cyclone, so this is the 
final advisory. Geostationary satellite imagery reveals that the 
low-level circulation center of Hone has become indistinguishable 
this morning as it was absorbed into large band of convection 
surrounding a deep cutoff low. The center of this merged system, 
which now reflects the location of the dominant extratropical cutoff 
low, jumped westward considerably as the circulation of Hone was 
absorbed. An ASCAT pass from yesterday evening showed a broad area 
of gale force winds within a large convective band, and this was 
incorporated into this final forecast for the merged extratropical 
low. 

The post-tropical low of former Hone will continue to move westward 
and lose forward motion over the next 12 hours, eventually stalling 
tonight as it becomes aligned with the upper-level low. The deep 
low will then drift northward near the International Date Line on 
days 2 through 4 and likely dissipate by day 5. The post-tropical 
low is expected to maintain gale force winds in the northern 
semicircle for the next couple of days. If convection does reform 
over the center, there is a chance that post-tropical Hone could 
regain tropical characteristics over the next 2 days or so. The 
Central Pacific Hurricane Center will closely monitor for 
redevelopment and the need to resume bulletins east of the 
International Date Line. 

Since Hone is now a post-tropical low and this is the final 
advisory from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center, the Tropical 
Storm Watch for Kure and Midway Atolls has been discontinued. 
However, these atolls could experience gale force winds during the 
next couple of days. Additional information can be found in High 
Seas forecasts issued by the National Weather Service in Honolulu, 
Hawaii under AWIPS header HFOHSFNP and WMO header FZPN20 PHFO. If 
this system redevelops west of the International Date Line, 
bulletins would be issued by RSMC Tokyo, Japan.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  01/2100Z 26.3N 179.3E   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 12H  02/0600Z 26.6N 178.8E   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 24H  02/1800Z 27.1N 178.5E   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 36H  03/0600Z 28.5N 179.2E   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 48H  03/1800Z 29.8N 179.9E   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 60H  04/0600Z 31.1N 179.0E   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 72H  04/1800Z 32.1N 177.8E   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 96H  05/1800Z 33.2N 176.1E   20 KT  25 MPH...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Wroe