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8/1/23, 9:24 AM Why now?

- by Lenny Rachitsky - Lenny's Newsletter

Why now?
Why it matters for startups to have a strong "why now"—and also why it doesn't
LENNY RACHITSKY
JUL 21, 2021

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Q: I’m raising money for my startup and I keep being


asked, Why now? What’s the reason that what I’m
building is only possible now? I don’t have a great
answer. How important is it to have a “why now”?
Short answer: Having a strong “why now” certainly gives you a better shot at building a large
and enduring business (for the reasons I cover below), but it isn’t absolutely essential. Companies
like SpaceX, Airbnb, Pinterest, DoorDash, Instacart, Facebook, and Netflix had little if any why
now. But these companies all executed like crazy in a large market, and in many cases succeeded
because they rode a new trend later in their life (e.g. Netflix and broadband). Bottom line, if there
isn’t a great reason why your startup is only possible now, don’t despair—you still have a shot at
building a big business, but know that you’ll need to work even harder.

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8/1/23, 9:24 AM Why now? - by Lenny Rachitsky - Lenny's Newsletter

Long answer: With the help of a bunch of smart investors, Twitter, and my own research, I’ve
collected why nows for dozens of businesses (see below), and through this research, I’ve come to
some unexpected conclusions:

1. You can build a massive business without an immediate why now

2. A why now is helpful because it creates two distinct advantages

3. There are five sources of why now

4. Your why now can emerge later

5. You can still absolutely fail with an amazing why now

Huge thank-you to Sarah Tavel, Ann Miura-Ko, Bill Trenchard, Josh Elman, Alexander Taussig, Garry
Tan, Eric Vishria, and everyone who shared their insights in this thread for contributing their wisdom to
this post  🙏

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1. A strong why now creates two distinct advantages


Why do investors look for a why now? Because the odds that you’ll succeed go up. Investors are
bet takers, and they would prefer to place bets where they see a higher expected return.

“The importance of the ‘why now’ has a lot to do with the reason venture
capital exists. Venture capital works because there is justification for being an
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8/1/23, 9:24 AM Why now? - by Lenny Rachitsky - Lenny's Newsletter

unprofitable company at the outset because the opportunity later on is so


huge, compounded by the fact that getting in early enables the startup to
gain advantage.”
—Ann Miura-Ko, Floodgate Capital
A strong why now—a change in the world—opens up one of two major advantages for your
startup:

1. It can unlock the ability to provide a 10x better product


WebGL in browsers: Figma

Adoption of fast broadband in homes: Netflix, Twitch, YouTube

Smartphones with accurate GPS, 3G, and release of Google Maps API: Uber and Lyft

Good enough camera on smartphones: Instagram

Changes in legality of marijuana: Eaze

Release of Gmail APIs: Superhuman

Release of car navigation databases: MapQuest

Advancements in battery technology: Tesla

2. It can create a new untapped market need


Acceleration of fintech: Plaid

Acceleration of e-commerce: Shopify, Etsy, Pinduoduo

Acceleration of the number of online businesses: Stripe, Google, AWS

Acceleration of e-sports: Twitch

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8/1/23, 9:24 AM Why now? - by Lenny Rachitsky - Lenny's Newsletter

Increase in devices per person: Dropbox

COVID-19: Zoom, Peloton, Clubhouse, Hopin, OnlyFans, etc.

“I think of markets like currents, not whether or not they are big bodies of
water. The stronger the current, the higher your chance of success. ‘Why
now’ is often a description of a current— a macro one. The move to cloud, the
employment/cultural trends driving the creator economy, etc. are all
tremendous why nows.”
—Sarah Tavel, Benchmark
If you can build a 10x better product, and/or discover a growing untapped market need, you could
get away without a strong why now. Which brings us to our second point.

2. You can build a massive business without an immediate why now


Prior to this research, I was sure that you needed to have a strong and immediate why now in
order to build a large and enduring business. It was instilled in me through everything I learned
about investing and starting a company. It turns out this is not necessarily true. Many successful
companies had no strong why now when they got started, and instead succeeded mostly through
the sheer will of their founders and great execution:

SpaceX

Airbnb

Pinterest

DoorDash

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8/1/23, 9:24 AM Why now? - by Lenny Rachitsky - Lenny's Newsletter

Facebook

Instacart

GitLab

Cameo

Duolingo

TripActions

Netflix (DVD version)

You could argue that there were macro trends that explain why a DoorDash or an Instacart were
only possible in 2013 versus a decade earlier (e.g. increased adoption of smartphones, growing
expectation for on-demand services, etc.), but to me, these don’t feel fundamental to their success
at that moment in time.

“Of course any startup benefits from the tightest definition of why now—if
the company literally couldn’t have existed without the ‘why now.’ Platform,
technology, regulatory shifts are all examples of this. Uber would not have
been possible without smartphones + GPS. Salesforce wouldn’t have been
possible without maturity of web browsers + widespread broadband.
But great companies can also just ride one or more trends to success. The
company clearly could’ve existed without these trends but wouldn’t have
been nearly as successful.”
—Bill Trenchard, First Round Capital

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8/1/23, 9:24 AM Why now? - by Lenny Rachitsky - Lenny's Newsletter

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