View: India’s demographic dividend is for real, but it needs to be discounted heavily

View: India’s demographic dividend is for real, but it needs to be discounted heavily
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Synopsis

Quality of workers: Quality is difficult to measure. One marker commonly used to measure quality is education. Here, China has a distinct advantage: 15% of the Chinese population has a college degree, while in India that number is 11%. Given the gap in their LFP rates, the numbers with college degrees that will join the labour force in the two countries would probably not be much different.

Is India's demographic dividend for real? Let's check it with some international comparisons. In the past decade, India's population increased 160 million, while China's increased by half that much - just 80 million. India added almost two Germanys to its population. China added only one. Many have argued that population growth puts India at an advantage in that millions born in the last decade will join India's workforce in due course. With
( Originally published on Dec 23, 2022 )

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