Search Results (1,388)

Sea ice monitoring is key to analyzing the Earth’s climate system. Long-term sea ice extent (SIE) has been continuously monitored using various spaceborne passive microwave radiometers (PMRs) since November 1978. As the lifetime of a satellite is usually approximately 5 years, bias caused by differences in PMRs should be eliminated to obtain objective SIE trends. Most sea ice products have been analyzed for long-term trends with a bias adjustment based on the coarse resolution special sensor microwave imager (SSM/I) in operation for the longest period. However, since 2002, Japanese microwave radiometers of the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer (AMSR) series, which have the highest spatial resolution in PMR, have been available. In this study, we developed standardization techniques for processing SIE including calibration of the brightness temperature (TB), tuning the sea ice concentration (SIC) algorithm, and adjusting the SIC threshold to retrieve a consistent SIE trend based on the AMSR for the Earth Observing System (AMSR-E, one of the AMSR that operated from May 2002 to October 2011). Analysis results showed that the root-mean-square error between AMSR-E SICs and those of moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS) was 15%. In this study, SIE was defined as the sum of the areas where the AMSR-E SIC was >15%. When retrieving SIE, we adjusted the SIC threshold for each PMR to be consistent with the SIE calculated based on the 15% SIC threshold for AMSR-E. We then calculated a time-series of the SIE trends over approximately 45 years using the adjusted SIE data. Therefore, we revealed the dramatic decrease in global sea ice extent since 1978. This technique enables retrieval of more accurate long-term sea ice trends for more than half a century in the future. Full article

The modern Arctic is characterized by a decreased ice cover and significant interannual variability. However, the reaction of the High Arctic ecosystem to such changes is still being determined. This study tested the hypothesis that the key drivers of changes in phytoplankton are the position and intensity of Atlantic water (AW) flow. The research was conducted in August 2017 in the northern part of the Barents Sea and in August 2020 in the Nansen Basin. In 2017, the Nansen Basin was ice covered; in 2020, the Nansen Basin had open water up to 83° N. A comparative analysis of phytoplankton composition, dominant species, abundance, and biomass at the boundary of the ice and open water in the marginal ice zone (MIZ) as well as in the open water was carried out. The total biomass of the phytoplankton in the photic layer of MIZ is one and a half orders of magnitude greater than in open water. In 2017, the maximum abundance and biomass of phytoplankton in the MIZ were formed by cold-water diatoms Thalassiosira spp. (T. gravida, T. rotula, T. hyalina, T. nordenskioeldii), associated with first-year ice. They were confined to the northern shelf of the Barents Sea. The large diatom Porosira glacialis grew intensively in the MIZ of the Nansen Basin under the influence of Atlantic waters. A seasonal thermocline, above which the concentrations of silicon and nitrogen were close to zero, and deep maxima of phytoplankton abundance and biomass were recorded in the open water. Atlantic species—haptophyte Phaeocystis pouchettii and large diatom Eucampia groenlandica—formed these maxima. P. pouchettii were observed in the Nansen Basin in the Atlantic water (AW) flow (2020); E. groenlandica demonstrated a high biomass (4848 mg m⁻³, 179.5 mg C m⁻³) in the Franz Victoria trench (2017). Such high biomass of this species in the northern Barents Sea shelf has not been observed before. The variability of the phytoplankton composition and biomass in the Franz Victoria trench and in the Nansen Basin is related to the intensity of the AW, which comes from the Frame Strait as the Atlantic Water Boundary Current. Full article

Surface downward longwave radiation (SDLR) is crucial for maintaining the global radiative budget balance. Due to their ease of practicality, SDLR parameterization models are widely used, making their objective evaluation essential. In this study, against comprehensive ground measurements collected from more than 300 globally distributed sites, four SDLR parameterization models, including three popular existing ones and a newly proposed model, were evaluated under clear- and cloudy-sky conditions at hourly (daytime and nighttime) and daily scales, respectively. The validation results indicated that the new model, namely the Peng model, originally proposed for SDLR estimation at the sea surface and applied for the first time to the land surface, outperformed all three existing models in nearly all cases, especially under cloudy-sky conditions. Moreover, the Peng model demonstrated robustness across various land cover types, elevation zones, and seasons. All four SDLR models outperformed the Global Land Surface Satellite product from Advanced Very High-Resolution Radiometer Data (GLASS-AVHRR), ERA5, and CERES_SYN1de-g_Ed4A products. The Peng model achieved the highest accuracy, with validated RMSE values of 13.552 and 14.055 W/m² and biases of −0.25 and −0.025 W/m² under clear- and cloudy-sky conditions at daily scale, respectively. Its superior performance can be attributed to the inclusion of two cloud parameters, total column cloud liquid water and ice water, besides the cloud fraction. However, the optimal combination of these three parameters may vary depending on specific cases. In addition, all SDLR models require improvements for wetlands, bare soil, ice-covered surfaces, and high-elevation regions. Overall, the Peng model demonstrates significant potential for widespread use in SDLR estimation for both land and sea surfaces. Full article

In light of the rapid Arctic warming and continuous reduction in Arctic Sea ice, the complex two-way Arctic–midlatitudes connection has become a focal point in recent climate research. In this paper, we review the current understanding of the interactive influence between midlatitude atmospheric variability and Arctic Sea ice or thermal conditions on interannual timescales. As sea ice diminishes, in contrast to the Arctic warming (cooling) in boreal winter (summer), Eurasia and North America have experienced anomalously cold (warm) conditions and record snowfall (rainfall), forming an opposite oscillation between the Arctic and midlatitudes. Both statistical analyses and modeling studies have demonstrated the significant impacts of autumn–winter Arctic variations on winter midlatitude cooling, cold surges, and snowfall, as well as the potential contributions of spring–summer Arctic variations to midlatitude warming, heatwaves and rainfall, particularly focusing on the role of distinct regional sea ice. The possible physical processes can be categorized into tropospheric and stratospheric pathways, with the former encompassing the swirling jet stream, horizontally propagated Rossby waves, and transient eddy–mean flow interaction, and the latter manifested as anomalous vertical propagation of quasi-stationary planetary waves and associated downward control of stratospheric anomalies. In turn, atmospheric prevailing patterns in the midlatitudes also contribute to Arctic Sea ice or thermal condition anomalies by meridional energy transport. The Arctic–midlatitudes connection fluctuates over time and is influenced by multiple factors (e.g., continuous melting of climatological sea ice, different locations and magnitudes of sea ice anomalies, internal variability, and other external forcings), undoubtedly increasing the difficulty of mechanism studies and the uncertainty surrounding predictions of midlatitude weather and climate. In conclusion, we provide a succinct summary and offer suggestions for future research. Full article

The data from thirty-one climate stations in the Canadian Prairie provinces of Alberta, Saskatchewan, and Manitoba are analyzed using a number of day-to-day thermal variability metrics. These are used to classify each climate station location using a decision tree developed previously. This is the first application of the decision tree to identify stations as having rural, urban, peri-urban, marine, island, airport, or mountain climates. Of the thirty-one, eighteen were identified as peri-urban, with fourteen of these being airports; six were identified as marine or island; four were identified as rural; one as urban was identified; and two were identified as mountain. The two climate stations at Churchill, Manitoba, located near the shores of Hudson Bay, were initially identified as peri-urban. This was re-assessed after adjusting the number of “winter” months used in the metric for identifying marine and island climates (which, for all other analyses, excluded only December, January, and February). For Churchill, to match the sea ice season, the months of November, March, April, and May were also excluded. Then, a strong marine signal was found for both stations. There is a potential to use these thermal metrics to create a sea ice climatology in Hudson Bay, particularly for pre-satellite reconnaissance (1971). Lake Louise and Banff, Alberta, are the first mountain stations to be identified as such outside of British Columbia. Five airport/non-airport pairs are examined to explore the difference between an airport site and a local site uninfluenced by the airport. In two cases, the expected outcome was not realized through the decision tree analysis. Both Jasper and Edmonton Stony Plain were classified as peri-urban. These two locations illustrated the influence of proximity to large highways. In both cases the expected outcome was replaced by peri-urban, reflective of the localized impact of the major highway. This was illustrated in both cases using a time series of the peri-urban metric before and after major highway development, which had statistically significant differences. This speaks to the importance of setting climate stations appropriately away from confounding influences. It also suggests additional metrics to assess the environmental consistency of climate time series. Full article

Local ice pressure refers to the ice pressure exerted on a very small area of a structure during ice failure. The existence of high-pressure zones may lead to local deformation and damage to ice-resistant structures, posing a serious threat to the overall structural stability. This study simulates the interaction between sea ice and structures through model tests, analyzing the timing of extreme local ice pressures. The results show that at low loading speeds, there is a 50% probability that the extreme local ice pressure occurs at the peak of the global ice force, while at high loading speeds, this probability drops to around 25%. Further investigation into the relationship between the global ice force peak, ice thickness, loading speed, and local area with local ice pressure amplitude reveals that the local ice pressure amplitude decreases with increasing loading speed and increases with ice thickness. Based on the area averaging method for square regions, the relationship between local ice pressure amplitude and local area is studied, showing that ice thickness, local width, and loading speed all influence the pressure–area relationship. Based on the square area averaging method, the relationship between the local ice pressure amplitude and the local area was studied. It was found that a linear relationship exists between the power function coefficient of local ice pressure–area and the thickness-to-width ratio. Compared to brittle failure, the local ice pressure amplitude under ductile failure of the ice sheet is more significantly affected by ice thickness. This study provides a foundation and reference for the analysis of ice-resistant performance and structural design of polar marine engineering structures. Full article

The Chukchi Sea is an open estuary in the southwestern Arctic. Its near-surface salinities are higher than those of the surrounding open Arctic waters due to the key inflow of saltier and warmer Pacific waters through the Bering Strait. This salinity distribution may suggest that interannual changes in the Bering Strait mass transport are the sole and dominant factor shaping the salinity distribution in the downstream Chukchi Sea. Using satellite sea surface salinity (SSS) retrievals and altimetry-based estimates of the Bering Strait transport, the relationship between the Strait transport and Chukchi Sea SSS distributions is analyzed from 2010 onward, focusing on the ice-free summer to fall period. A comparison of five different satellite SSS products shows that anomalous SSS spatially averaged over the Chukchi Sea during the ice-free period is consistent among them. Observed interannual temporal change in satellite SSS is confirmed by comparison with collocated ship-based thermosalinograph transect datasets. Bering Strait transport variability is known to be driven by the local meridional wind stress and by the Pacific-to-Arctic sea level gradient (pressure head). This pressure head, in turn, is related to an Arctic Oscillation-like atmospheric mean sea level pattern over the high-latitude Arctic, which governs anomalous zonal winds over the Chukchi Sea and affects its sea level through Ekman dynamics. Satellite SSS anomalies averaged over the Chukchi Sea show a positive correlation with preceding months’ Strait transport anomalies. This correlation is confirmed using two longer (>40-year), separate ocean data assimilation models, with either higher- (0.1°) or lower-resolution (0.25°) spatial resolution. The relationship between the Strait transport and Chukchi Sea SSS anomalies is generally stronger in the low-resolution model. The area of SSS response correlated with the Strait transport is located along the northern coast of the Chukotka Peninsula in the Siberian Coastal Current and adjacent zones. The correlation between wind patterns governing Bering Strait variability and Siberian Coastal Current variability is driven by coastal sea level adjustments to changing winds, in turn driving the Strait transport. Due to the Chukotka coastline configuration, both zonal and meridional wind components contribute. Full article

Sea surface temperature (SST) data from the Sea and Land Surface Temperature Radiometer (SLSTR) onboard the Sentinel-3 satellites have been used in the Met Office’s Operational Sea Surface Temperature and Sea Ice Analysis (OSTIA) since 2019 (Sentinel-3A SST data since March 2019 and Sentinel-3B data since December 2019). The impacts of using SLSTR SSTs and the SLSTR as the reference sensor for the bias correction of other satellite data have been assessed using independent Argo float data. Combining Sentinel-3A and -3B SLSTRs with two Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) sensors (onboard the joint NASA/NOAA Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration-20 satellites) in the reference dataset has also been investigated. The results indicate that when using the SLSTR as the only reference satellite sensor, the OSTIA system becomes warmer overall, although there are mixed impacts in different parts of the global ocean. Using both the VIIRS and the SLSTR in the reference dataset leads to moderate but more consistent improvements globally. Numerical weather prediction (NWP) results also indicate a better performance when using both the VIIRS and the SLSTR in the reference dataset compared to only using the SLSTR at night. Combining the VIIRS and the SLSTR with latitudinal weighting shows the best validation results against Argo, but further investigation is required to refine this method. Full article

We apply the Canny edge algorithm to imagery from the Utqiaġvik coastal sea ice radar system (CSIRS) to identify regions of open water and sea ice and quantify ice concentration. The radar-derived sea ice concentration (SIC) is compared against the (closest to the radar field of view) 25 km resolution NSIDC Climate Data Record (CDR) and the 1 km merged MODIS-AMSR2 sea ice concentrations within the ∼11 km field of view for the year 2022–2023, when improved image contrast was first implemented. The algorithm was first optimized using sea ice concentration from 14 different images and 10 ice analysts (140 analyses in total) covering a range of ice conditions with landfast ice, drifting ice, and open water. The algorithm is also validated quantitatively against high-resolution MODIS-Terra in the visible range. Results show a correlation coefficient and mean bias error between the optimized algorithm, the CDR and MODIS-AMSR2 daily SIC of 0.18 and 0.54, and ∼−1.0 and 0.7%, respectively, with an averaged inter-analyst error of ±3%. In general, the CDR captures the melt period correctly and overestimates the SIC during the winter and freeze-up period, while the merged MODIS-AMSR2 better captures the punctual break-out events in winter, including those during the freeze-up events (reduction in SIC). Remnant issues with the detection algorithm include the false detection of sea ice in the presence of fog or precipitation (up to 20%), quantified from the summer reconstruction with known open water conditions. The proposed technique allows for the derivation of the SIC from CSIRS data at spatial and temporal scales that coincide with those at which coastal communities members interact with sea ice. Moreover, by measuring the SIC in nearshore waters adjacent to the shoreline, we can quantify the effect of land contamination that detracts from the usefulness of satellite-derived SIC for coastal communities. Full article

The trend in partial pressure of atmospheric CO₂, P(CO₂), across the 66 MYr of the Cenozoic requires elucidation and explanation. The Null Hypothesis sets sea surface temperature (SST) as the baseline driver for Cenozoic P(CO₂). The crystallization and cooling of flood basalt magmas is proposed to have heated the ocean, producing the Paleocene–Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM). Heat of fusion and heat capacity were used to calculate flood basalt magmatic Joule heating of the ocean. Each 1 million km³ of oceanic flood basaltic magma liberates ~5.4 × 10²⁴ J, able to heat the global ocean by ~0.97 °C. Henry’s Law for CO₂ plus seawater (H_S) was calculated using δ¹⁸O proxy-estimated Cenozoic SSTs. H_S closely parallels Cenozoic SST and predicts the gas solute partition across the sea surface. The fractional change of Henry’s Law constants, ${\displaystyle \frac{{\mathrm{H}}_{\mathrm{n}}-{\mathrm{H}}_{\mathrm{i}}}{{\mathrm{H}}_{\mathrm{n}}-{\mathrm{H}}_0}}$ is proportional to ΔP(CO₂)_i, and ${\displaystyle \frac{{\mathrm{H}}_{\mathrm{n}}-{\mathrm{H}}_{\mathrm{i}}}{{\mathrm{H}}_{\mathrm{n}}-{\mathrm{H}}_0}}\times ∆\mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{C}{\mathrm{O}}_2\right)+\mathrm{P}(\mathrm{C}{\mathrm{O}}_2{)}_{\mathrm{m}\mathrm{i}\mathrm{n}}$, where ΔP(CO₂) = P(CO₂)_max − P(CO₂)_min, closely reconstructs the proxy estimate of Cenozoic P(CO₂) and is most consistent with a 35 °C PETM ocean. Disparities are assigned to carbonate drawdown and organic carbon sedimentation. The Null Hypothesis recovers the glacial/interglacial P(CO₂) over the VOSTOK 420 ka ice core record, including the rise to the Holocene. The success of the Null Hypothesis implies that P(CO₂) has been a molecular spectator of the Cenozoic climate. A generalizing conclusion is that the notion of atmospheric CO₂ as the predominant driver of Cenozoic global surface temperature should be set aside. Full article

Sea ice and its surface snow are crucial components of the energy cycle and mass balance between the atmosphere and ocean, serving as sensitive indicators of climate change. Observing and understanding changes in snow depth on Antarctic sea ice are essential for sea ice research and global climate change studies. This study explores the feasibility of retrieving snow depth on Antarctic sea ice using data from the Chinese marine satellite HY-2B. Using generic retrieval algorithms, snow depth on Antarctic sea ice was retrieved from HY-2B Scanning Microwave Radiometer (SMR) data, and compared with existing snow depth products derived from other microwave radiometer data. A comparison against ship-based snow depth measurements from the Chinese 35th Antarctic Scientific Expedition shows that snow depth derived from HY-2B SMR data using the Comiso03 retrieval algorithm exhibits the lowest RMSD, with a deviation of −1.9 cm compared to the Markus98 and Shen22 models. The snow depth derived using the Comiso03 model from HY-2B SMR shows agreement with the GCOM-W1 AMSR-2 snow depth product released by the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC). Differences between the two primarily occur during the sea ice ablation and in the Bellingshausen Sea, Amundsen Sea, and the southern Pacific Ocean. In 2019, the monthly average snow depth on Antarctic sea ice reached its maximum in January (36.2 cm) and decreased to its minimum in May (15.3 cm). Thicker snow cover was observed in the Weddell Sea, Ross Sea, and Bellingshausen and Amundsen seas, primarily due to the presence of multi-year ice, while thinner snow cover was found in the southern Indian Ocean and the southern Pacific Ocean. The derived snow depth product from HY-2B SMR data demonstrates high accuracy in retrieving snow depth on Antarctic sea ice, highlighting its potential as a reliable alternative for snow depth measurements. This product significantly contributes to observing and understanding changes in snow depth on Antarctic sea ice and its relationship with climate change. Full article

In efforts to fulfill the objectives of taking part in pragmatic cooperation in the Arctic, constructing the “Silk Road on Ice”, and ensuring ships’ safety and risk assessment in the Arctic, the two biggest hazards, which concern ships’ navigation in the Arctic, are wind and sea ice. Sea ice can result in a ship being besieged or crashing into an iceberg, endangering both human and property safety. Meanwhile, light winds can assist ships in breaking free of a sea-ice siege, whereas strong winds can hinder ships’ navigation. In this work, we first calculated the spatial and temporal characteristics of a number of indicators, including Arctic wind speed, sea-ice density, the frequency of different wind directions, the frequency of a sea-ice density of less than 20%, the frequency of strong winds of force six or above, etc. Using the ERA5 wind field and the SSMI/S sea-ice data, and applying statistical techniques, we then conducted a joint analysis to determine the correlation coefficients between the frequencies of various wind directions, the frequency of strong winds and its impact on the density of sea ice, the frequency of a sea-ice concentration (SIC) of less than 20%, and the correlation coefficient between winds and sea-ice density. In doing so, we determined importance of factoring the wind’s contribution into sea-ice analysis. Full article

Warming weather has led to melting sea ice, and increasingly complex global geopolitics has drawn more countries’ attention to the Arctic. The Arctic Northeast Passage, as an emerging route connecting Eurasia, has seen a sharp increase in vessel activity. The period from 2015 to 2020, being a stable and undisturbed data period, is of significant theoretical importance for exploring the natural development of the Arctic Northeast Passage. The study found that the research period can be divided into three stages: from 2015 to 2017, the number of vessels grew slowly. In 2018 and 2019, the number of vessels and vessel activities saw significant growth, but an unexpected reverse growth occurred in 2020. Different types of vessels have unique activity characteristics and evolutionary patterns, influenced by the Arctic’s unique geographical environment, abundant natural resources, deepening Sino-Russian cooperation, and increasing global trade supply and demand. The results of this study aim to provide policymakers with analysis based on the initial development stage of the route, offering data support for future policy formulation, route planning, and research on the navigation safety of vessels on the Arctic Northeast Passage. Full article

Owing to global climate change or the ever-more frequent human activities in the offshore areas, it is highly probable that an imbalance in the offshore ecosystem has been induced. However, the importance of maintaining and protecting marine ecosystems’ balance cannot be overstated. In recent years, various marine disasters have occurred frequently, such as harmful algal blooms (green tides and red tides), storm surge disasters, wave disasters, sea ice disasters, and tsunami disasters. Additionally, overpopulation of certain marine organisms (particularly marine faunas) has led to marine disasters, threatening both marine ecosystems and human safety. The marine ecological disaster monitoring system in China primarily focuses on monitoring and controlling the outbreak of green tides (mainly caused by outbreaks of some Ulva species) and red tides (mainly caused by outbreaks of some diatom and dinoflagellate species). Currently, there are outbreaks of Cnidaria (Hydrozoa and Scyphozoa organisms; outbreak species are frequently referred to as jellyfish), Annelida (Urechis unicinctus Drasche, 1880), Mollusca (Philine kinglipini S. Tchang, 1934), Arthropoda (Acetes chinensis Hansen, 1919), and Echinodermata (Asteroidea organisms, Ophiuroidea organisms, and Acaudina molpadioides Semper, 1867) in China. They not only cause significant damage to marine fisheries, tourism, coastal industries, and ship navigation but also have profound impacts on marine ecosystems, especially near nuclear power plants, sea bathing beaches, and infrastructures, posing threats to human lives. Therefore, this review provides a detailed introduction to the marine organisms (especially marine fauna species) causing marine biological disasters in China, the current outbreak situations, and the biological backgrounds of these outbreaks. This review also provides an analysis of the causes of these outbreaks. Furthermore, it presents future prospects for marine biological disasters, proposing corresponding measures and advocating for enhanced resource utilization and fundamental research. It is recommended that future efforts focus on improving the monitoring of marine biological disasters and integrating them into the marine ecological disaster monitoring system. The aim of this review is to offer reference information and constructive suggestions for enhancing future monitoring, early warning systems, and prevention efforts related to marine ecological disasters in support of the healthy development and stable operation of marine ecosystems. Full article

Sea ice is a crucial component of the global climate system. The China–French Ocean Satellite Scatterometer (CFOSAT/SCAT, CSCAT) employs an innovative rotating fan beam system. This study applied principal component analysis (PCA) to extract classification features and developed an ensemble machine learning approach for sea ice detection. PCA identified key features from CSCAT’s backscatter information, representing outer and sweet swath observations. The ensemble model’s performances (OA and Kappa) for the Northern and Southern Hemispheres were 0.930, 0.899, and 0.844, 0.747, respectively. CSCAT achieved an accuracy of over 0.9 for close ice and open water but less than 0.3 for open ice, with misclassification of open ice as closed ice. The sea ice extent discrepancy between CSCAT and the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) was −0.06 ± 0.36 million km² in the Northern Hemisphere and −0.03 ± 0.48 million km² in the Southern Hemisphere. CSCAT’s sea ice closely matched synthetic aperture radar (SAR) imagery, indicating effective sea ice and open water differentiation. CSCAT accurately distinguished sea ice from open water but struggled with open ice classification, with misclassifications in the Arctic’s Greenland Sea and Hudson Bay, and the Antarctic’s sea ice–water boundary. Full article