The 2024 United States presidential election in Michigan is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Michigan voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Michigan has 15 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.[1] Michigan is considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024.
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An Upper Midwestern state at the heart of the Rust Belt, no Republican presidential candidate has won Michigan with a majority since George H. W. Bush in 1988, and the last Republican to win by double digits was Ronald Reagan in his 49-state landslide four years earlier. The state was formerly part of the Blue Wall, having voted Democratic in every presidential election between 1992 and 2012, but only doing so by a double-digit margin in 1996 and 2008. Then, in 2016, Republican Donald Trump carried Michigan by a very narrow 0.23% in an unexpected sweep of the Midwest and Rust Belt which earned him a presidential victory, only to have the state flipped back into the Democratic column by Joe Biden four years later with a 2.78% margin of victory as the former lost the presidency to the latter. However, it was the worst margin for a victorious Democrat dating back to the 2.01% margin of victory for John F. Kennedy in the state in the extremely close 1960 election. Today, Michigan is purple to slightly blue, with Democrats holding all statewide offices since 2019, and is expected to be a crucial swing state in 2024, with polls indicating a tight race and most news organizations marking the state as a tossup.[2]
On April 18, 2024, environmental lawyer Robert F. Kennedy Jr. was nominated by Michigan's Natural Law Party.[3]
Primary elections
editDemocratic primary
editIncumbent United States President Joe Biden won the Democratic primary race, held on February 27, 2024.[4]
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
Joe Biden (incumbent) | 625,221 | 81.1% | 115 | 115 | |
Uncommitted | 101,623 | 13.2% | 2 | 2 | |
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) | 22,865 | 3.0% | |||
Dean Phillips | 20,684 | 2.7% | |||
Write-in votes | 178 | <0.1% | |||
Total: | 770,571 | 100% | 117 | 23 | 140 |
Republican primary
editFormer United States President Donald Trump won the Republican primary race, held on February 27, 2024.[6]
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
Donald Trump | 761,163 | 68.12% | 12 | 0 | 12 |
Nikki Haley | 297,124 | 26.59% | 4 | 0 | 4 |
Uncommitted | 33,649 | 3.01% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 13,456 | 1.20% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 4,794 | 0.43% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 3,702 | 0.33% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Ryan Binkley | 2,348 | 0.21% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 1,077 | 0.10% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total: | 1,117,313 | 100.00% | 16 | 0 | 16 |
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report[9] | Tossup | December 19, 2023 |
Inside Elections[10] | Tossup | March 14, 2024 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Tossup | July 3, 2024 |
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[12] | Tossup | December 14, 2023 |
CNalysis[13] | Tossup | December 30, 2023 |
CNN[14] | Lean R (flip) | January 14, 2024 |
The Economist[15] | Lean R (flip) | July 19, 2024 |
538[16] | Tossup | July 18, 2024 |
RCP[17] | Tossup | June 26, 2024 |
Polling
edit- Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 46% | 48% | 6% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
616 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
- Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[B] | July 17–18, 2024 | 650 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | 46% | 5% | 1% | 7% |
- Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Civiqs[C] | July 13–16, 2024 | 532 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 46% | 46% | 5% | 3% |
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[B] | July 17–18, 2024 | 650 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
EPIC-MRA | July 13–17, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
Emerson College[D] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 45% | 13% |
Marketing Resource Group | July 11–13, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 39% | 25%[b] |
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 46% | 47% | 7% |
Rasmussen Reports (R)[E] | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,025 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | July 1–5, 2024 | 694 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
Emerson College[D] | June 30 – July 2, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 45% | 12% |
Remington Research Group (R) | June 29 – July 1, 2024 | 584 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 45% | 13% |
EPIC-MRA | June 21–26, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 49% | 6% |
Emerson College | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49%[c] | 51% | – | ||
Mitchell Research[F] | June 3, 2024 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | May 30–31, 2024 | 723 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
636 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 46% | 7% | ||
Mitchell Research[F] | May 20–21, 2024 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
KAConsulting (R)[G] | May 15–19, 2024 | 600 (RV) | – | 44% | 45% | 11% |
Prime Group[H] | May 9–16, 2024 | 482 (RV) | – | 52% | 48% | – |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | May 6–13, 2024 | 606 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
New York Times/Siena College | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
616 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 46% | 7% | ||
Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48%[c] | 52% | – | ||
CBS News/YouGov | April 19–25, 2024 | 1,262 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 51% | 49% | – |
Fox News | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,126 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | April 8–15, 2024 | 708 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
Marketing Resource Group | April 8–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 42% | 22%[d] |
The Bullfinch Group | March 29 – April 3, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 39% | 19% |
Spry Strategies | March 25–28, 2024 | 709 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
Wall Street Journal | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
Echelon Insights[I] | March 12–19, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 45% | 51% | 4% |
Emerson College | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50%[c] | 50% | – | ||
CNN/SSRS | March 13–18, 2024 | 1,097 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 50% | 8% |
Mitchell Research[F] | March 15–16, 2024 | 627 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
Quinnipiac University | March 8–12, 2024 | 1,487 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | March 8–12, 2024 | 698 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
North Star Opinion Research[J] | February 22–25, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 43% | 13% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
Emerson College | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
EPIC-MRA | February 13–18, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 45% | 14% |
Fox News | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 47% | 7% |
Target Insyght | January 4–10, 2024 | 800 (RV) | – | 45% | 41% | 14% |
Glengariff Group[K] | January 2–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 47% | 14% |
John Zogby Strategies | January 2–4, 2024 | 602 (LV) | – | 44% | 47% | 9% |
CNN/SSRS | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 50% | 10% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
EPIC-MRA | November 10–16, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 46% | 13% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
Emerson College | October 30 – November 4, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 41% | 16% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 5–10, 2023 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 820 (LV) | – | 41% | 41% | 17% |
Marketing Resource Group | October 2–8, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 42% | 22% |
Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 468 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 43% | 8% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[L] | September 26–27, 2023 | 679 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research | September 7–12, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
EPIC-MRA | August 6–11, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
Emerson College | August 1–2, 2023 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 44% | 13% |
Mitchell Research[F] | July 11–13, 2023 | 639 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 43% | 13% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[M] | Jul 8–10, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.38% | 45% | 44% | 9% |
Prime Group[N] | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 50% | 50% | – |
500 (RV) | – | 40% | 43% | 17%[e] | ||
EPIC-MRA | June 8–14, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[M] | April 17–19, 2023 | 500 (V) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 42% | 12% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[O] | December 6–7, 2022 | 763 (V) | ± 3.6% | 50% | 43% | 7% |
EPIC-MRA | November 30 – December 6, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 43% | 10% |
Emerson College | October 28–31, 2022 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
Emerson College | October 12–14, 2022 | 580 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
EPIC-MRA | September 15–19, 2022 | 600 (LV) | – | 48% | 44% | 8% |
Blueprint Polling (D) | August 15–16, 2022 | 611 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 41% | 19% |
Blueprint Polling (D) | February 1–4, 2022 | 632 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 38% | 40% | 22% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[P] | November 11–16, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 53% | 6% |
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Trafalgar Group (R) | July 15–17, 2024 | 1,091 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 43% | 45% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
EPIC-MRA | July 13–17, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 43% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 9% |
Emerson College[D] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 43% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
Rasmussen Reports (R)[E] | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,025 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 44% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 5%[f] |
YouGov[Q] | July 4–12, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 40% | 42% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | July 1–5, 2024 | 694 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 39% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 7%[g] |
EPIC-MRA | June 21–26, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 42% | 10% | 2% | 2% | 6% |
Emerson College | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
Mitchell Research[F] | June 3, 2024 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 46% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
Mitchell Research[F] | May 20–21, 2024 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 46% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
KAConsulting (R)[G] | May 15–19, 2024 | 600 (RV) | – | 41% | 42% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 7%[h] |
Prime Group[H] | May 9–16, 2024 | 482 (RV) | – | 44% | 42% | 10% | 2% | 2% | – |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 8% |
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | May 6–13, 2024 | 606 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 43% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 6% |
New York Times/Siena College | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 38% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 16%[i] |
616 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 39% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 11%[i] | ||
Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 43% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
Fox News | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,126 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 42% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 5% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | April 8–15, 2024 | 708 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
Marketing Resource Group | April 8–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 34% | 37% | 13% | 2% | 1% | 13% |
Wall Street Journal | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 39% | 12% | 2% | 2% | 8% |
Emerson College | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 43% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
Mitchell Research[F] | March 15–16, 2024 | 627 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 42% | 44% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
Quinnipiac University | March 8–12, 2024 | 1,487 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 36% | 41% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 6% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | March 8–12, 2024 | 698 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 6% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 41% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
Emerson College | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 42% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
Fox News | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 42% | 11% | 2% | 3% | 5% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 43% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 39% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 13% |
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Civiqs[C] | July 13–16, 2024 | 532 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 43% | 46% | 5% | 6% |
1983 Labs | June 28–30, 2024 | 563 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 41% | 45% | 5% | 9%[j] |
P2 Insights[R] | June 11–20, 2024 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 40% | 43% | 8% | 9% |
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | May 30–31, 2024 | 723 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 41% | 39% | 11% | 9% |
636 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 44% | 43% | 8% | 5% | ||
Spry Strategies | March 25–28, 2024 | 709 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 40% | 43% | 9% | 8% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | March 14–17, 2024 | 616 (LV) | – | 39% | 41% | 6% | 14% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | December 28–30, 2023 | 832 (LV) | – | 37% | 39% | 9% | 15% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 874 (LV) | – | 38% | 39% | 9% | 13% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 31% | 34% | 26% | 9% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 820 (LV) | – | 38% | 40% | 7% | 15% |
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[B] | July 17–18, 2024 | 650 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 45% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | May 2–4, 2024 | 650 (LV) | – | 37% | 43% | 7% | 1% | 12% |
CBS News/YouGov | April 19–25, 2024 | 1,262 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 43% | 9% | 3% | 0% |
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CNN/SSRS | March 13–18, 2024 | 1,097 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 34% | 40% | 18% | 4% | 4% |
CNN/SSRS | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 31% | 39% | 20% | 6% | 4% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 37% | 10% | 2% | 13% |
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | August 1–2, 2023 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 41% | 43% | 4% | 11% |
- Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 44% | 45% | 11% |
Glengariff Group[K] | January 2–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 45% | 15% |
- Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Gretchen Whitmer Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 52% | 45% | 3% |
Emerson College/The Hill | Mar 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 45% | 5% |
Glengariff Group[K] | January 2–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
Marketing Resource Group | October 2–8, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 40% | 13% |
- Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Gretchen Whitmer Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[B] | July 17–18, 2024 | 650 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 45% | 5% | 1% | 3% |
- JB Pritzker vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
JB Pritzker Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 39% | 45% | 16% |
- Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Josh Shapiro Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 43% | 46% | 11% |
- Pete Buttigieg vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Pete Buttigieg Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 43% | 48% | 9% |
- Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 43% | 15% |
Glengariff Group[K] | January 2–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 34% | 44% | 22% |
CNN/SSRS | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 38% | 50% | 12% |
EPIC-MRA | November 10–16, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 47% | 17% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 36% | 46% | 18% |
- Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West. vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 35% | 26% | 23% | 3% | 3% | 33% |
- Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 874 (LV) | – | 37% | 25% | 18% | 20% |
- Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CNN/SSRS | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research | September 7–12, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 42% | 10% |
Mitchell Research[F] | July 11–13, 2023 | 639 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 31% | 25% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[M] | July 8–10, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.38% | 44% | 46% | 7% |
EPIC-MRA | June 8–14, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[M] | April 17–19, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
- Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 874 (LV) | – | 39% | 30% | 13% | 2% | 15% |
See also
editNotes
edit- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ "Someone else" with 14%
- ^ a b c With voters who lean towards a given candidate
- ^ "Someone else" with 14%
- ^ No Labels candidate
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
- ^ Lars Mapstead (L) with 1%
- ^ a b Lars Mapstead (L) with 1%
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
- Partisan clients
- ^ a b c d e f g Poll conducted for Progress Action Fund, which supports Democratic candidates
- ^ a b c d Poll conducted for Clean and Prosperous America PAC
- ^ a b Poll conducted for Rust Belt Rising, which supports Democratic candidates
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Democrats for the Next Generation PAC
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by The Heartland Institute
- ^ a b c d e f g h Poll commissioned by MIRS
- ^ a b Poll conducted for Vapor Technology Association
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC, which opposes Trump
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
- ^ Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
- ^ a b c d Poll commissioned by The Detroit News & WDIV-TV
- ^ Poll commissioned by Save My Country Action Fund
- ^ a b c d Poll commissioned by Citizens Awareness Project
- ^ Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC
- ^ Poll sponsored by Progress Michigan, a sponsor for the Democratic Party
- ^ Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
- ^ Poll conducted for The Times, Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University
- ^ Poll sponsored by Building America's Future, which supports Republican candidates
References
edit- ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
- ^ "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved April 26, 2024.
- ^ "Robert F. Kennedy Jr. gets spot on Michigan's ballot as Natural Law Party nominee". The Detroit News. Retrieved April 19, 2024.
- ^ Min Kim, Seung (February 27, 2024). "Trump and Biden win Michigan primary. But voters uncommitted to either candidate demand attention". Associated Press. Retrieved February 27, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Michigan Election Results". Michigan Secretary of State. Retrieved April 5, 2024.
- ^ Min Kim, Seung (February 27, 2024). "Trump and Biden win Michigan primary. But voters uncommitted to either candidate demand attention". Associated Press. Retrieved February 27, 2024.
- ^ "Secretary Benson releases 2024 presidential primary candidate list". Michigan Secretary of State. Retrieved December 8, 2023.[failed verification]
- ^ "2024 Michigan Election Results". Michigan Secretary of State. February 27, 2024. Retrieved March 2, 2024.
- ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 5, 2024. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
- ^ "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist. Retrieved July 19, 2024.
- ^ Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved July 18, 2024.
- ^ "2024 RCP Electoral College Map". RealClearPolitics. June 26, 2024. Retrieved June 26, 2024.