Prospective evaluation of nontuberculous mycobacteria disease in cystic fibrosis: The design of the PREDICT study

Background: Nontuberculous mycobacteria (NTM) are an important cause of airway infections in people with cystic fibrosis (pwCF). Isolation of NTM from respiratory specimens of pwCF do not mandate treatment in the absence of clinical and radiologic features of NTM pulmonary disease (NTM-PD), as some pwCF clear the infection without treatment and others do not appear to progress to NTM-PD despite persistent infection. An evidence-based protocol to standardize diagnosis of NTM-PD is needed to systematically identify pwCF who may benefit from treatment.

Methods: In this multicenter observational study, eligible pwCF who are 6 years of age and older and who have had a recent positive NTM culture are systematically evaluated for NTM-PD. Participants are identified based on positive NTM culture results obtained during routine clinical care and following enrollment are evaluated for NTM-PD and CF-related comorbidities. Participants are followed in PREDICT until they meet NTM-PD diagnostic criteria and are ready to initiate NTM treatment, or until study termination. Active participants who have not met these criteria are re-consented every 5 years to enable long-term participation.

Results: The primary endpoint will summarize the proportion of participants who meet the NTM-PD diagnosis definition. The time from enrollment to NTM-PD diagnosis will be derived from Kaplan-Meier estimates.

Conclusion: A prospective protocol to identify NTM-PD in pwCF will test if this standardized approach defines a cohort with signs and symptoms associated with NTM-PD, to assist with clinical decision making and to build a framework for future therapeutic trials.

Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02073409.