Iowa's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024
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Iowa's 2nd Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: March 15, 2024 |
Primary: June 4, 2024 General: November 5, 2024 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 9 p.m. Voting in Iowa |
Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024 |
See also |
1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th Iowa elections, 2024 U.S. Congress elections, 2024 U.S. Senate elections, 2024 U.S. House elections, 2024 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 2nd Congressional District of Iowa, are holding elections in 2024. The general election is November 5, 2024. The primary was June 4, 2024. The filing deadline was March 15, 2024. All 435 U.S. House seats are up for election in 2024. Republicans have a 220 to 212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As of June 2024, 45 members of the U.S. House had announced they were not running for re-election. To read more about the U.S. House elections taking place this year, click here.
In the 2022 election in this district, the Republican candidate won 54.1%-45.8%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 51.3%-46.9%.[2]
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Iowa's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024 (June 4 Democratic primary)
- Iowa's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024 (June 4 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Iowa District 2
Incumbent Ashley Hinson, Sarah Corkery, and Jody Madlom Puffett are running in the general election for U.S. House Iowa District 2 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | ||
Ashley Hinson (R) | ||
Sarah Corkery (D) | ||
Jody Madlom Puffett (Independent) |
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Iowa District 2
Sarah Corkery advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Iowa District 2 on June 4, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Sarah Corkery | 99.4 | 10,479 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.6 | 60 |
Total votes: 10,539 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Jacob Wieland (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Iowa District 2
Incumbent Ashley Hinson advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Iowa District 2 on June 4, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Ashley Hinson | 98.6 | 22,626 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 1.4 | 327 |
Total votes: 22,953 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Stephen Kephart (R)
Candidate profiles
There are currently no candidate profiles created for this race. Candidate profiles will appear here as they are created. Encourage the candidates in this race to complete Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey so that their profile will appear here. You can ask candidates in this race to fill out the survey by clicking their names below:
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Iowa
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race has completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Ballotpedia is seeking 100 percent participation so voters can learn more about all the candidates on their ballots.
You can ask candidates in this race to fill out the survey by clicking their names below:
Campaign finance
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ashley Hinson | Republican Party | $4,086,218 | $2,253,725 | $1,900,942 | As of June 30, 2024 |
Sarah Corkery | Democratic Party | $254,880 | $185,452 | $69,428 | As of June 30, 2024 |
Jody Madlom Puffett | Independent | $681 | $148 | $533 | As of June 30, 2024 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[3]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[4][5][6]
Race ratings: Iowa's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
October 1, 2024 | September 24, 2024 | September 17, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Iowa in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Iowa, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Iowa | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | 1,726, including at least 47 signatures from ½ of the counties in the district | N/A | 3/15/2024 | Source |
Iowa | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 1,726, including at least 47 signatures from ½ of the counties in the district | N/A | 8/24/2024 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below is the district map in place for this election. Click the map below to enlarge it.
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Iowa.
Iowa U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
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Office | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
2024 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 37.5% | 2 | 66.7% | ||||
2022 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 12.5% | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
2020 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 50.0% | 1 | 33.3% | ||||
2018 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 25.0% | ||||
2016 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 | 50.0% | ||||
2014 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 50.0% | 0 | 0.0% |
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Iowa in 2024. Information below was calculated on April 19, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Eleven candidates ran for Iowa’s four U.S. House districts, including five Democrats and six Republicans. That’s 2.75 candidates per district, higher than the 2.5 candidates per district in 2022 but lower than the 4.5 candidates per district in 2020.
No seats were open in 2024, meaning all incumbents ran for re-election. One House seat was open in 2020, and two were open in 2014, the only two years this decade in which House seats were open.
Three congressional districts—the 1st, the 3rd, and the 4th—were tied for the most candidates running for a seat in Iowa in 2024. Three candidates ran in each district.
Three primaries—one Democratic and two Republican—were contested in 2024. That’s more than the one primary that was contested in 2022 but less than the four primaries that were contested in 2020.
Two incumbents—Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R-1) and Randy Feenstra (R-4)—were in contested primaries, tying with 2016 for the most this decade.
Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all districts, meaning no seats were guaranteed to either party.
Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is R+4. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 4 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Iowa's 2nd the 196th most Republican district nationally.[7]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in Iowa's 2nd based on 2024 district lines | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden | Donald Trump | |||
46.9% | 51.3% |
Inside Elections Baselines
- See also: Inside Elections
Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[8] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.
Inside Elections Baseline for 2024 | ||||
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Democratic Baseline | Republican Baseline | Difference | ||
46.5 | 51.2 | R+4.7 |
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Iowa, 2020
Iowa presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 11 Democratic wins
- 20 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | D | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | D | D | R | R |
- See also: Party control of Iowa state government
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Iowa's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Iowa | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Republican | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 4 | 6 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Iowa's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.
State executive officials in Iowa, May 2024 | |
---|---|
Office | Officeholder |
Governor | Kim Reynolds |
Lieutenant Governor | Adam Gregg |
Secretary of State | Paul Pate |
Attorney General | Brenna Bird |
State legislature
Iowa State Senate
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 16 | |
Republican Party | 34 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 50 |
Iowa House of Representatives
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 36 | |
Republican Party | 64 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 100 |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until 2024.
Iowa Party Control: 1992-2024
Four years of Democratic trifectas • Ten years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | S | S | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
District history
The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.
2022
General election
General election for U.S. House Iowa District 2
Incumbent Ashley Hinson defeated Liz Mathis in the general election for U.S. House Iowa District 2 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Ashley Hinson (R) | 54.1 | 172,181 | |
Liz Mathis (D) | 45.8 | 145,940 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 0.1 | 278 |
Total votes: 318,399 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Iowa District 2
Liz Mathis advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Iowa District 2 on June 7, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Liz Mathis | 99.6 | 40,737 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.4 | 150 |
Total votes: 40,887 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Joseph Kerner (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Iowa District 2
Incumbent Ashley Hinson advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Iowa District 2 on June 7, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Ashley Hinson | 99.3 | 39,897 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.7 | 284 |
Total votes: 40,181 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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2020
General election
General election for U.S. House Iowa District 2
Mariannette Miller-Meeks defeated Rita Hart in the general election for U.S. House Iowa District 2 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) | 49.9 | 196,964 | |
Rita Hart (D) | 49.9 | 196,958 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 0.2 | 703 |
Total votes: 394,625 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Iowa District 2
Rita Hart advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Iowa District 2 on June 2, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Rita Hart | 99.6 | 67,039 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.4 | 271 |
Total votes: 67,310 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Newman Abuissa (D)
- Joseph Kane Baker (D)
- Veronica Tessler (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Iowa District 2
Mariannette Miller-Meeks defeated Robert T. Schilling, Steven Everly, Ricky Lee Phillips, and Tim Borchardt in the Republican primary for U.S. House Iowa District 2 on June 2, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Mariannette Miller-Meeks | 47.6 | 23,052 | |
Robert T. Schilling | 36.3 | 17,582 | ||
Steven Everly | 5.8 | 2,806 | ||
Ricky Lee Phillips | 5.0 | 2,444 | ||
Tim Borchardt | 4.9 | 2,370 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 0.3 | 161 |
Total votes: 48,415 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Mathew Hepker (R)
- Thomas Kedley (R)
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Iowa District 2
Incumbent Dave Loebsack defeated Chris Peters, Mark Strauss, and Daniel Clark in the general election for U.S. House Iowa District 2 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Dave Loebsack (D) | 54.8 | 171,446 | |
Chris Peters (R) | 42.6 | 133,287 | ||
Mark Strauss (L) | 2.0 | 6,181 | ||
Daniel Clark (Independent) | 0.6 | 1,837 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 0.1 | 162 |
Total votes: 312,913 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Iowa District 2
Incumbent Dave Loebsack advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Iowa District 2 on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Dave Loebsack | 100.0 | 42,378 |
Total votes: 42,378 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Iowa District 2
Chris Peters defeated Ginny Caligiuri in the Republican primary for U.S. House Iowa District 2 on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Chris Peters | 87.5 | 18,056 | |
Ginny Caligiuri (Write-in) | 11.6 | 2,389 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 0.9 | 181 |
Total votes: 20,626 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023
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