FED RATE HIKE PREDICTIONS

​My sense is that ultimately the 10-year, even by the end of next year, goes till say about 3.5%, that is an attractive number for US investors, but that is not attractive enough for them to really open the floodgates investing into emerging markets.

The January-March data in the US disappointed. That is looking like an anomaly based on the last two months' data. It is giving more leeway to the markets. Ajay Bagga sats there will be a sectoral rotation away from the magnificent seven, from the g...

The US central bank will not want to wait for inflation to cool to its two percent target before considering a rate cut, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell told lawmakers Wednesday. On Wednesday, Powell told lawmakers that he is not yet prepared to...

Gold prices dropped more than 1% due to a surge in equities and profit-taking by investors following a recent rally. Speculation on U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts continues to influence the market. Stay informed on upcoming economic indicators and c...

​I think July is a tough call now, although the payroll numbers on Friday will give us another clue on that. But I think they will cut twice before the end of the year, probably in September and December.

Recessions are fairly common in the US economy. There has been about one U.S. recession every five years or so since World War 2. But they don't last long. The average duration of a U.S. recession since World War II is just 11.1 months.

We do see further corrective moves of upto 2 – 3 % in prices in case US macro cues support the dollar further in near term. However silver is still expected to witness new all time highs this year driven by concerns of 2 rate cuts to persist driving...

RBI faces challenges in rate transmission due to incomplete hikes. Banks show varied transmission rates. Governor Das stresses effective transmission. Rate cuts may come post-October with clearer risk insights.

May's stable inflation, influenced by service costs and goods prices, sets the stage for potential Federal Reserve interest rate changes. The report highlights slight consumer spending growth and hints at the Fed's aim for a controlled economic slow...

The US Federal Reserve has received encouraging data suggesting inflation is cooling, which has eased concerns about the effectiveness of monetary policy. However, the road to the Fed's 2% inflation goal, measured in year-over-year terms, is likely ...

Economist Harry Dent has predicted a stock market crash calling it the “bubble of bubbles”. This has been described due to the loose monetary and fiscal policies followed by the US.

US consumer inflation ticked lower last month, according to US government data published Wednesday, giving the US Federal Reserve positive news shortly before it publishes its latest interest rate decision. The monthly inflation rate was unchanged f...

Going by the action in bonds, the markets are still not giving much credence to the idea of a rate hike. The next week is quite crucial for the financial markets as many major data and reports will be released.

The domestic brokerage expects Nifty earnings growth of 15%. It has suggested investors adopting a multi-cap approach, with equal proposition in largecaps and midcaps, to take advantage of a broad-based growth in Indian equity markets. Here are 5 th...

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller on Tuesday put a pin in speculation that interest rates may need to rise again, saying the latest inflation data is "reassuring" and the U.S. central bank's policy rate is set appropriately.

Though he said "my confidence in that is not as high as it was," given faster than expected inflation through the first three months of the year, the U.S. central bank chief said it remained unlikely in his view that the Fed would have to raise rate...

The sharp interest rate hikes of the past two years will likely take longer than previously expected to bring down inflation, several Federal Reserve officials have said in recent comments, suggesting there may be few, if any, rate cuts this year.

In an interview with Reuters, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said he still thought inflation was likely to slow under the current monetary policy and allow the central bank to begin reducing its policy rate in 2024 - though perhaps by only a q...

While Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated that stubbornly high inflation would see a long-expected U.S. rate cut pushed back, he refused to entertain talk that rates might actually need to go up again.