GLOBAL MACRO CONDITIONS

Looking ahead, market focus will shift to upcoming releases including US and Indian manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data, alongside a pivotal speech from the Federal Reserve Chair. Meanwhile, attention within India remains fixed on th...

To a great extent, preparing an investment strategy well before general elections determines how a fund manager outperforms in a volatile phase resulting after the election results are out.

Investors await next week's inflation data and Fed meeting for signals on stock market trajectory amid conflicting economic signals. S&P 500's 12% YTD rise hinges on Fed's ability to manage inflation without hampering growth.

Political uncertainty may impact market stability. Early presidential debate raises concerns about 2024 election influence. Market attention shifts from economic data to political landscape.

In Citi's house view, we think that the Fed rate cut will start early, so we have put our first RBI rate cut in October, to some extent also factoring that in that if Fed moves earlier, then RBI gets the scope to move as well.

Within this we are managing roughly Rs 315 crore in AQUA, a Flexicap Quant PMS Strategy, which is our flagship style-adaptive, benchmark-agnostic, dynamic multi-factor strategy and roughly Rs 35 crore in our Multi Asset Quant Strategies.

Mutual fund investors face a dilemma amidst volatile stock market conditions during Lok Sabha elections. Fear of correction at peak market levels and FOMO driving sectoral/thematic funds. Analysts recommend balanced advantage funds, asset allocation...

The RBI's upcoming MPC meeting on June 7, 2024, is expected to maintain interest rates amidst a stable inflation scenario post Lok Sabha election results. The focus will be on global and domestic factors impacting the economy.

Sandeep Tandon identifies metal, pharma, PSU as emerging market leaders. Recommends buying dips for growth potential. Holds significant positions in Jio, Reliance, and Adani Power. Tandon says: ​ "India tended to suffer a bit from a very near term o...

Private equity and venture capital firms remain cautious due to global macro conditions in 2024. India is expected to benefit from outsized capital allocation, reaching $80-100 billion in annual deployment over the next five years.

The expected reduction in interest rates has been delayed, which is different from what was anticipated earlier this year. Experts now predict a slower and less substantial decrease. This has consequences for bond market investments.

Abul Fateh says: "Exposure to fixed income should be raised, especially towards the longer end of the curve. MPC has taken note of the real rates being positive at this point. The markets have also responded, especially in the last few weeks of CY20...

​The 2023 global macro backdrop was less hostile for India than thought out at the start of the year. Global growth is tracking nearly 1% pt. higher than envisaged at the start of 2023.

The year started with the persistence of inflation at elevated levels across economies, continuing geo-political uncertainties and tightening financial conditions. The banking turmoil in US (Silicon Valley Bank) and Europe (Credit Suisse) increased ...

Year-to-date, the NSE Nifty 50 has gained more than 18% and the BSE Sensex 17%, driven by robust inflows from both domestic and foreign investors.

There is sunshine all around, better than expected GDP numbers, further decline in oil prices, falling US bond yields and clear indication from RBI that it is in no mood to increase interest rates any further. So while macros are bullish and could n...

India has experienced strong merger and acquisition (M&A) activities and a flourishing IPO market in 2023, making it a shining star in Asia, according to Tyler Dickson, head of investment banking at Citi. He believes that India offers attractive opp...

"While the broader markets are still attractive for investment, there are "pockets of irrational exuberance" in the mid and smallcap space. He recommends having a balanced multi-cap portfolio across large, mid, and small-cap stocks to navigate the c...

"If we just look at data of the last five years of emerging market performance in dollar terms – it is negative, and India is about 7% to 8% positive in the dollar terms. It is negative is because China, Russia, etc., everything has disappointed. Ov...