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    PRE ELECTION RALLY

    France elections: France's exceptionally high-stakes election has begun, far-right leads pre-election polls

    France elections: Voters in mainland France start casting ballots in a critical legislative election that may lead to far-right control, impacting Europe's financial markets, support for Ukraine, and the management of France's nuclear arsenal and global military forces. The two-round election began in overseas territories and on the mainland at 8 a.m. Sunday, with initial projections due at 8 p.m. and official results later that night.

    GIFT Nifty up 10 points; here's the trading setup for today's session

    Sector like Auto is expected to be in the limelight as OEMs would release their monthly auto Sales number," said Siddhartha Khemka, Head - Retail Research, Motilal Oswal.

    Thousands march against French Far Right in pre-election protest

    Following the far-right National Rally's surge in last Sunday's European elections, police said 350,000 people were expected to march and 21,000 officers had been mobilised after labour unions, student groups and rights groups called for rallies to oppose the anti-immigration, eurosceptic party.

    ET Online election results poll: Markets bleed as counting trends show no sign of Modi magic

    With investors likely taking a risk-averse stance following result-related uncertainty, Sensex opened over 1,600 points lower today, dragged by heavyweights, leaving investors licking their wounds after losing Rs 9 lakh crore in just 15 minutes. And things got positively worse as the day progressed.

    Rs 1.4 lakh crore gain! Adani stocks zoom up to 16% as exit polls predict Modi's return

    Adani Group stocks soared up to 16% as exit polls predicted a victory for Prime Minister Narendra Modi. The conglomerate's combined market cap rose by nearly Rs 1.4 lakh crore, reaching Rs 19.24 lakh crore. Adani Power surged 16%, while other group entities also saw significant gains, nearing pre-Hindenburg levels.

    Financials, capital goods likely to lead; expect rotation in defence, railway names: Gurmeet Chadha

    There is indeed a shortage, and discounts have virtually disappeared, not just for air conditioners but also for refrigerators and air coolers. Companies like Voltas performed well initially, but their recent results, especially in the EMPS space, were disappointing.

    • Should you invest in multi asset funds pre-election for post-election gains?

      Invest in multi-asset funds for a balanced investment portfolio with proper asset allocation. Consider the risks and limits of equity markets pre-election for post-election gains.

      If BJP loses power Nifty valuations can crash to pre-NDA levels, warns UBS

      In case the ruling BJP fails to retain its single majority but forms a govt with the NDA with a majority (> 272 seats), then the market can be slightly less confident about policy stability as fiscal consolidation could be slower than envisaged. Historically, any underperformance triggered by poll results tends to reverse in the medium to long term, as Street and businesses adapt to new government policies.

      How results of Lok Sabha polls will impact sensex, Nifty

      According to a Bloomberg News survey of market participants, Indian stocks require Prime Minister Narendra Modi's party to secure more than 303 seats in the general election to continue their unprecedented rally. The survey, which included 32 asset managers, strategists, and dealers, suggests that a reduced majority for the ruling BJP could result in a 2% decline in the NSE Nifty 50 Index, along with potential losses in the rupee and sovereign bonds.

      India’s equity rally hinges on Modi bettering 303-seat tally

      Indian stocks' performance is closely tied to the Bharatiya Janata Party's election success. A Bloomberg News survey suggests that if the party wins over 303 seats, stocks could rally; otherwise, a drop is expected.

      Risk-reward out of favour but a collapse less likely in pre-election week: Anand James

      Anand James shares insights on specific stocks like HAL, Coal India, BEL, and the impact of oil refining companies on PSU stocks. James says volatility has been persistent and VIX has been holding steady in the vicinity of or above 20 for nine days. Downside marker may be placed at 22983, for an aggressive positioning, with further support seen at 22800.

      Volatility has risen as Lok Sabha Elections 2024 fever grips the stock market; will polls halt the rally?

      Volatility has risen in recent weeks as election fever grips the market. The heightened volatility stems from concerns over lower voter turnout in the ongoing general elections, potentially indicating an unfavourable verdict for the ruling party. Is this market nervousness a sign of future trends or a temporary blip before equities resume their upward journey?

      GIFT Nifty down 40 points; here's the trading setup for today's session

      The rupee appreciated 13 paise to close at 83.37 against the US dollar on Friday, tracking positive sentiment in domestic equity markets and fresh foreign fund inflows.

      GIFT Nifty down 40 points; here's the trading setup for today's session

      "We expect this volatility to continue in the near term in the absence of any major positive trigger. Now till Nifty holds below 22000 zones, weakness could be seen towards 21700," said Siddhartha Khemka, Head - Retail Research, Motilal Oswal.

      Market setting up for an election rally: Rohit Srivastava

      Srivastava notes market stability as potential start of election rally with low VIX indicating low market expectations. Anticipates positive market movement post-election outcome, highlighting potential opportunities in private banks like Kotak Bank amid market consolidation.

      GIFT Nifty up 5 points; here's the trading setup for today's session

      "Although Nifty opens positive, it is witnessing resistance at higher levels, indicating cautiousness among the investors with the progress of both the result season and the Lok Sabha election. We expect this volatile move to continue till the Exit poll. Hence market to remain in a broader range until clarity emerges," said Siddhartha Khemka, Head - Retail Research, Motilal Oswal.

      Big market correction unlikely; we could be at start of pre-election rally: Devang Mehta

      Devang Mehta, Director-Equity Advisory, Spark Private Wealth, predicts no immediate market correction. Emphasizes sector selection, favorable monsoon forecast. Suggests opportunities in capex, luxury consumption sectors for investors seeking returns.

      Election rallies offer limited-period opportunities in narrative stocks: Kotak Equities

      Kotak has identified 50 stocks in the BSE 500 index which have given returns between 92% and 21% in the current election cycle over the last three months. The highest returns have been delivered by Oracle Financial Services Software (92%), followed by EIH (77%) and Oil India (73%) while RITES (30%), Hitachi Energy (26%), and PNC Infratech (21%) at the bottom of the pyramid.

      Small & midcap stocks may be headed towards a pre-election rally: Abhishek Basumallick

      Abhishek Basumallick shares insights on market trends. He favours small and midcap stocks despite expensive valuations. He also predicts a pre-election rally. He remains optimistic about PSUs, railways, energy transition, and real estate growth. Basumallick says he is bullish on insurance and chemicals sectors which could very well turn out to be dark horses for the Indian market.

      Are the bulls here to stay? Devang Mehta says gear up for pre-election rally

      Devang Mehta of Spark Private Wealth discusses market corrections, bullish sentiment, and the potential for a pre-election rally. He emphasizes the positive FII flows, appetite for equities, and the outlook for IT and pharma companies. Mehta further says that the corrective phase where people were scared that this is the end of the rally and probably there will be a lot more bear market type behaviour in mid and smallcaps – is not the case now.

      Traditional pre-election rally eludes Indian stocks

      Analysts say this time is different, pointing to a stellar rally in the past year, rich valuations and uncertainties around political issues such as corruption and electoral funding as factors giving investors reason to pause.

      March mostly a washout, looking for a pre-election rally in April beginning: Deven Choksey

      Deven Choksey foresees a strong bull cycle in metals, driven by renewable investments and green hydrogen use reducing production costs. He predicts sustainable demand for ferrous and non-ferrous metals, with favorable energy cost control, making metals an attractive investment option. Choksey further says: "Currently, among the frontline stocks also, some of the stocks are showing negative performance and that is where I feel more comfortable buying into."

      Market has to consolidate till April to have a pre-election rally in May: Sandip Sabharwal

      Sandip Sabharwal discusses ongoing market corrections, potential pre-election rally, and government policies' impact on various sectors. He emphasizes the need for caution in investment decisions amidst market uncertainties and highlights the resilience of certain stock categories. He says the real pain of the market correction has been felt in the smallcaps and to some extent on midcaps. But valuations in that segment are still somewhat higher. I do not think the entire correction should be over as of now.

      A pre-election rally or correction: What’s Dalal Street bracing for this time?

      This time around, the election has gained prominence in light of India’s rising importance in geopolitics, its leading position in emerging markets, and the government’s aspiration to make India the world’s third largest economy from the current fifth position.

      Nifty to hit 23,400 by June, buy on dips in pre-election rally: ICICI Direct

      Benchmark indices have performed well in election years going by four decades of history and despite spikes in volatility, the median returns in election years have been 17%. As per ICICI Direct, the outperformance of PSU banks will only amplify and investors should also raise their exposure to IT stocks ignoring the noise.

      Sensex ends over 600 points up. It’s not just a pre-Budget rally as 3 other factors also in play

      Sensex ends over 600 points with Nifty scaling above 21,700-levels as investors anticipate the outcome of the US Fed meeting and tomorrow's Interim Budget. Rally led by bank stocks and Reliance Industries. Broad-based buying seen across auto, realty, and healthcare stocks. Smallcap index outperforms with a 2% rally.

      Budget 2024: D-Street investors' wishlist from Nirmala Sitharaman

      Equity bulls on Dalal Street rejuvenated, with the BSE Sensex gaining 1300 points in a single session. The market is optimistic about government spending in infrastructure and energy sectors, attracting investor interest. The upcoming budget is expected to focus on fiscal consolidation, capital investment-led expansion, and rural growth.

      Will the Santa Claus rally become a pre-election rally?

      The important question is: where do we go from here? Will this Santa Claus rally evolve into a pre-election rally taking the markets to a series of new highs?

      Are the next 6 months good for a pre-election, pre-rate cut rally? Abhay Agarwal answers

      “I do not think anybody is going to wait for the next six months’ outcome. People are going to rush in and start allocating their longer term bets now and that is what is going on when we talk to the foreign investors. Everybody is asking for new ideas, where they can deploy capital. Sometime back, the conversation was about how much to take off the table, how much cash to sit on but that has all gone in the air now.”

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