RBI POLICY RATES
Expect retail inflation to remain close to 5%: SBI Research report
India's retail inflation is projected to stay under 5.0 per cent for the rest of 2024-25, aside from September, as per SBI Research. June saw an increase in inflation to 5.08 per cent, led by higher food costs. States like Odisha, Bihar, and Karnataka had inflation rates surpassing the national average. SBI Research anticipates the RBI to reassess its policy stance around September due to declining US inflation potentially prompting a rate cut.
Monetary policy will anchor India's growth ambitions, said RBI DG Michael Patra
The role of monetary policy will be crucial in navigating India's inflation rate with global levels which will help preserve both the internal and external value of rupee, Patra said in a speech at the mid-career training programme for officials of the Indian Administrative Service (IAS) at the Lal Bahadur Shastri National Academy of Administration, Mussoorie.
CPI inflation continues to be close to 5%... it's too early to talk on rate cut: Shaktikanta Das
"The overall economic environment globally and in India is so uncertain. The second thing is that CPI (consumer price index) headline inflation continues to be close to 5%, and I think it is too early to talk about an interest rate cut," the Governor said in an interview to a television station.
Question of change in stance on interest rate quite premature given present level of inflation: RBI Guv Das
Reserve Bank of India Governor Shaktikanta Das stated that any consideration of changing the interest rate stance is premature, emphasizing the significant gap between current inflation levels and the targeted 4 percent. In an interview with CNBC-TV18, Das indicated that achieving sustained Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation at 4 percent remains crucial before revisiting the stance.
Why RBI should be concerned about climate change
Climatic factors are now increasingly playing an important role in influencing food and fuel inflation which tends to affect the overall inflation levels which is emerging as a big area of concern for monetary policy. ET explains how could climate change impact monetary policy.
Modi-led NDA govt should focus on raising farm productivity and improving supply chain: Ashima Goyal
Ashima Goyal emphasised that capacity needs to expand in health, education, environment, courts, policing as well as in infrastructure. "Rising agricultural productivity and strong supply chains are necessary to reduce volatility in food prices," she said, adding that many of these require good coordination with the states.
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Incomplete transmission could delay rate reversal by RBI
High food inflation and incomplete transmission of the 250 basis point policy rate hikes since May 2022 could delay the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) rate cut. Transmission through loan and deposit rates varied between 111 and 245 bps until May 2024, except for loans linked to external benchmarks, which had immediate full transmission.
Incomplete transmission of policy rates could delay reversal of rate cycle by RBI
RBI faces challenges in rate transmission due to incomplete hikes. Banks show varied transmission rates. Governor Das stresses effective transmission. Rate cuts may come post-October with clearer risk insights.
Indian economy poised for potentially stable high growth phase, says RBI's monetary policy panel member
RBI's monetary policy committee member Shashanka Bhide highlighted India's potential for stable high growth amidst significant risks, citing strong domestic demand, investment spending, and positive monsoon forecasts. He emphasised the importance of maintaining inflation aligned with targets to support growth, with the RBI projecting retail inflation at 4.5% for FY25. The MPC recently kept the repo rate unchanged at 6.5%, focusing on sustaining economic momentum.
Real rate of interest at 1.5 pc apt for economy: Shashanka Bhide
Shashanka Bhide, an external member of the rate-setting panel, suggests a real interest rate of 1.5% for India, closely tied to achieving the Monetary Policy Committee's 4% inflation target. He emphasizes the importance of favorable macroeconomic conditions for high economic growth.
We are actually raising the real repo rate: MPC's Jayanth Varma
Jayanth Varma, who has expressed concerns about growth sacrifice due to restrictive monetary policy, voted for a 25-basis-point rate cut in the MPC's June policy review.
Real repo rate too high and could hurt growth, said MPC dissenters
The two external members of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) who had pushed for a 25 basis point rate cut at the June 7 meeting, Ashima Goyal and JR Varma, said the real repo rate at 2% was too high and could hurt growth, according to the minutes released by the central bank on Friday.
RBI holds rates amid food inflation fears
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) kept policy interest rates unchanged for the eighth consecutive meeting due to concerns about rising food prices. The central bank raised its economic growth forecast for FY25 to 7.2% from 7%, driven by state investments and broad-based consumption. Despite inflation worries, the repo rate remains at 6.5%. A divide in the Monetary Policy Committee emerged, with two members favoring a rate cut. Equity indices surged, but bond yields rose slightly. Governor Das emphasized India's independent monetary policy stance.
Flexible approach in managing liquidity to help money market rates
RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das announced the central bank's commitment to maintaining money market rates and borrowing costs through flexible liquidity management. The RBI will use various operations to manage liquidity, responding to foreign investment flows impacting Indian bond markets. Analysts predict significant foreign flows following inclusion in JPMorgan's bond index, potentially affecting rupee liquidity. Das highlighted the RBI's ability to handle liquidity impact and swiftly respond to banking system liquidity fluctuations.
Expect repo rate cut only in October RBI policy meeting: SBI Research
The report, authored by Soumya Kanti Ghosh, SBI's Group Chief Economic Adviser, expects first repo rate cut in October meeting. The repo rate is the rate of interest at which the RBI lends to other banks.
Another vote surprise! Dissent grows in RBI that has more 'elbow room'
RBI Monetary Policy: The Reserve Bank of India maintained key lending rates unchanged for an eighth consecutive time with a larger split in votes. Governor Shaktikanta Das emphasised the need for price stability in the growing economy. The unexpected vote split indicates a potential shift towards a rate cut in future policies, though 'greater elbow room' for price stability may not demand an immediate cut. The RBI's stance aligns with market expectations, with a focus on balancing inflation and growth. Despite robust economic growth, inflation remains a concern.
RBI MPC Highlights: Das & co keep rates unchanged, but dovish clamour grows
The Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) kept the repo rate steady at 6.50% for the eighth consecutive meeting. However, a new shift emerged with Ashima Goyal joining Jayanth Varma in voting for a rate cut. The committee continues to prioritize inflation control and forecasts 7.2% GDP growth for FY25, supported by expected robust monsoons and a revival in private consumption.
RBI MPC retains repo rate at 6.5 per cent for 8th time in a row; GDP forecast hiked, inflation unchanged
RBI MPC Meet 2024: The Reserve Bank of India, under the guidance of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), maintained the repo rate at 6.5 per cent for the eighth consecutive time. The announcement was made by RBI governor Shaktikanta Das following the conclusion of a three-day meeting that began on June 5.
RBI following the US Fed? Guv Das says "we play according to local weather, pitch conditions"
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has emphasized its independence from global influences and prioritizing domestic economic conditions over distant horizons. The RBI's actions are primarily determined by domestic growth-inflation conditions and the outlook. India has maintained its stance of 'withdrawal of accommodation' since February 2023 and has not changed its stance of 'withdrawal of accommodation' since February 2023.
RBI maintains interest rates amid growing calls for easier money policy
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) kept interest rates unchanged in its eighth consecutive meeting, with some members leaning towards easing monetary policy due to concerns about rising food prices. The central bank raised its FY25 growth forecast by 20 basis points to 7.2%, leading to a surge in equity indices. Inflation remains a concern due to global commodity price increases and potential food price spikes.
RBI MPC Meeting 2024 at a glance: Here's a one-stop guide to all key decisions
The Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has decided to maintain the current interest rate at 6.5%, following a 4:2 majority decision. The panel projected real GDP growth for FY25 to be 7.2%, up from 7%. The MPC is also maintaining the Standing Deposit Facility rate at 6.25% and the Marginal Standing Facility bank rate at 6.75%.
RBI MPC Meet 2024: RBI leaves inflation projection for FY25 unchanged at 4.5%
RBI MPC Meet 2024 LIVE: The Reserve Bank of India maintained its inflation forecast at 4.5% for this fiscal year amid concerns over rising food prices. The central bank found some relief as crude prices dipped below $80 per barrel. The RBI's Monetary Policy Committee kept the repo rate unchanged at 6.5% for the eighth consecutive time, citing vigilance against potential inflationary pressures. Governor Shaktikanta Das highlighted the uptick in vegetable prices and global food inflation. Despite a slight easing in overall retail inflation to 4.83%, concerns linger over food price hikes, particularly in items like garlic and ginger.
RBI MPC Meeting: Das & Co may look at food bills to keep its stance, rate unchanged
RBI Policy Meeting: The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is expected to maintain the repo rate at 6.5% with a focus on withdrawing accommodation, marking the eighth consecutive time it remains unchanged. Economists predict the unchanged stance, citing persistent inflation in food prices and global commodity price risks. RBI Governor's decision is crucial post-elections.
RBI rate-setting panel starts deliberations on monetary policy, decision on Friday
The Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy committee (MPC) began a three-day meeting to determine the next monetary policy, with Governor Shaktikanta Das expected to announce the decisions on Friday. Analysts anticipate the continuation of the current interest rate, given persistent inflation concerns and improving economic growth.
RBI unlikely to cut interest rate on June 7, say experts
The Reserve Bank of India is unlikely to cut the benchmark interest rate in its upcoming monetary policy review amid inflation challenges and improving economic growth. Scheduled for June 5-7, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is expected to maintain the current 6.5% repo rate. Experts cite steady economic conditions and ongoing inflation concerns as reasons for maintaining the status quo
RBI may delay plan to ease interest rates
The RBI has raised the benchmark policy rates by 250 basis points (one bps is 0.01 percentage point) since May 2022 as inflation surged way beyond the central bank's 4% target. But inflation is slowly aligning with the target, although concerns remain over the trajectory for food inflation.
Rate easing may have to wait, highlights RBI in its latest bulletin
“A modest easing of headline inflation in the reading for April 2024 confirms the expectation that an uneven and lagged pace of alignment with the target is underway” wrote the Reserve Bank of India deputy governor Michael Patra and his team in their assessment of the economy published in the latest monthly Bulletin.
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