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    RESERVATION POLICY

    Some way to go before reaching US inflation target, says New York Fed’s Williams

    Inflation in the US has decreased from its pandemic-era highs, but more efforts are necessary to bring consumer prices down to the desired level, said John Williams, president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Speaking on Friday at the Reserve Bank of India, Williams addressed global market speculations about when interest rates might be lowered in the world's largest economy.

    Government to soon come out with a new shipbuilding, repair policy

    The Ministry of Ports, Shipping, and Waterways is set to introduce a new Shipbuilding and Repair Policy under the 100-day action plan. Ambitious goals have outlined in Maritime India Vision 2030 and Amrit Kaal Vision 2047 to elevate India's shipbuilding industry globally. The initiative aims to revitalise the industry, increase the share of Indian-owned vessels in cargo transport, and seize a significant market opportunity by 2047.

    US weekly jobless claims rise labor market slows

    The labor market shows signs of easing as unemployment benefits claims increase. Layoffs rise due to interest rates impacting demand, and challenges in seasonal data adjustments persist. Market anticipates Fed's potential rate cuts. Job cuts decrease in June, but higher than last year. Nonfarm payrolls data may reveal job increase. Job openings ratio remains steady, while Fed deliberates policy changes post-hikes. Continuing claims rise due to policy effects.

    Rupee nearly flat wedged between yuan weakness, dip in US bond yields

    Indian rupee's stability faces uncertainty pending the release of Fed's policy meeting minutes and U.S. ADP employment data for potential impact on future U.S. policy rates.

    China's yuan slumps to seven-month low on weaker guidance

    Markets react to the Federal Reserve's uncertain policy outlook as the dollar's index strengthens. JOLTS job openings data release creates anticipation in the market, impacting offshore yuan's trading, marking a volatile market sentiment.

    Incomplete transmission could delay rate reversal by RBI

    High food inflation and incomplete transmission of the 250 basis point policy rate hikes since May 2022 could delay the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) rate cut. Transmission through loan and deposit rates varied between 111 and 245 bps until May 2024, except for loans linked to external benchmarks, which had immediate full transmission.

    • Incomplete transmission of policy rates could delay reversal of rate cycle by RBI

      RBI faces challenges in rate transmission due to incomplete hikes. Banks show varied transmission rates. Governor Das stresses effective transmission. Rate cuts may come post-October with clearer risk insights.

      Indian economy poised for potentially stable high growth phase, says RBI's monetary policy panel member

      RBI's monetary policy committee member Shashanka Bhide highlighted India's potential for stable high growth amidst significant risks, citing strong domestic demand, investment spending, and positive monsoon forecasts. He emphasised the importance of maintaining inflation aligned with targets to support growth, with the RBI projecting retail inflation at 4.5% for FY25. The MPC recently kept the repo rate unchanged at 6.5%, focusing on sustaining economic momentum.

      Fed's Daly: inflation not the only risk, policy must 'exhibit care'

      San Francisco Fed President Daly emphasizes caution in addressing inflation control and rising unemployment risks, highlighting the need to restore price stability without harming the economy.

      India bond yields seen little changed amid lack of fresh cues

      Indian government bond yields are expected to hold steady on Monday, moving in a 6.95%-6.99% range. Inflows under the FAR, crossing $10 billion, and foreign banks' increased bond purchases ahead of the inclusion affect U.S. Treasury yields.

      US PMI data triggers sharp decline in gold prices

      Gold prices surged to a two-week high of $2,366 following a second rate cut by the Swiss National Bank and weaker US data. Traders anticipate a move by the US Federal Reserve, especially after the European Central Bank's rate cut.

      Dollar edges higher, buoyed by monetary policy imbalance

      The dollar strengthened against major currencies on positive U.S. economic data. U.S. business activity surged in June, easing inflation concerns. Dollar index rose to 105.81, erasing weekly declines. Thierry Wizman predicts continued dollar strength amid European political uncertainty.

      RBI MPC minutes: Panelists flag incoming impact of 'exceptionally' warm summers on food inflation

      The Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) Monetary Policy Committee members raised concerns about inflation pressures due to "exceptionally" warm summers, impacting perishable goods and crop output, as per their latest meeting minutes. RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das expects retail inflation to moderate to 4.5% in FY25 but warns of near-term challenges.

      Dollar steadies; sterling dips ahead of inflation test

      The dollar weakened after soft U.S. retail sales data increased expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, while sterling dipped ahead of UK inflation data. Markets predict a 67% chance of rate cuts in September.

      Buying gold annually in order to diversify allocation of forex reserves: Shaktikanta Das

      ​I think SEBI is engaged with that. So, let me not intrude into SEBI's territory and start talking about the stock markets. I think SEBI is fully seized of what is happening in the markets and we have our regular interactions with the SEBI as a part of the FSDC, the Financial Stability and Development Council, we have also a subcommittee which is chaired by the governor.

      Fed's Goolsbee: 'More months' of good inflation data needed

      Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee expressed relief over cooling inflation in May but prefers more months of data before cutting interest rates.

      US Federal Reserve keeps key lending rate unchanged, sees just one cut in 2024
      US Fed's 'dot plot' could offer glimpse of rate-cut resolve

      Since raising their benchmark federal funds rate more than five percentage points starting in March 2022, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has held borrowing costs at a two-decade high since July. A host of Fed leaders have suggested in recent weeks they see no rush to cut rates, with inflation more persistent and the outlook for growth staying solid.

      Expect repo rate cut only in October RBI policy meeting: SBI Research

      The report, authored by Soumya Kanti Ghosh, SBI's Group Chief Economic Adviser, expects first repo rate cut in October meeting. The repo rate is the rate of interest at which the RBI lends to other banks.

      RBI following the US Fed? Guv Das says "we play according to local weather, pitch conditions"

      The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has emphasized its independence from global influences and prioritizing domestic economic conditions over distant horizons. The RBI's actions are primarily determined by domestic growth-inflation conditions and the outlook. India has maintained its stance of 'withdrawal of accommodation' since February 2023 and has not changed its stance of 'withdrawal of accommodation' since February 2023.

      RBI maintains interest rates amid growing calls for easier money policy

      The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) kept interest rates unchanged in its eighth consecutive meeting, with some members leaning towards easing monetary policy due to concerns about rising food prices. The central bank raised its FY25 growth forecast by 20 basis points to 7.2%, leading to a surge in equity indices. Inflation remains a concern due to global commodity price increases and potential food price spikes.

      RBI MPC Meeting 2024 at a glance: Here's a one-stop guide to all key decisions

      The Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has decided to maintain the current interest rate at 6.5%, following a 4:2 majority decision. The panel projected real GDP growth for FY25 to be 7.2%, up from 7%. The MPC is also maintaining the Standing Deposit Facility rate at 6.25% and the Marginal Standing Facility bank rate at 6.75%.

      RBI MPC: Governor Shaktikanta Das reveals how cricket and weather guide monetary policy

      RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das announced the central bank's decision to keep interest rates unchanged, highlighting that RBI adapts monetary policy to local conditions, using a cricket analogy. The GDP projection for FY25 was raised to 7.2%, with an inflation forecast of 4.5%. The RBI aims to balance inflation and growth, focusing on domestic economic factors.

      RBI sees moderation in unsecured retail loans, tells banks to maintain prudent asset-liability balance

      The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) noted a moderation in unsecured retail loans and advances following concerns raised in November 2023. Governor Shaktikanta Das highlighted that growth in personal loans and NBFC funding reliance has slowed. The RBI continues to monitor these trends and has urged financial institutions to maintain risk within acceptable limits.

      RBI MPC Meet 2024: RBI leaves inflation projection for FY25 unchanged at 4.5%

      RBI MPC Meet 2024 LIVE: The Reserve Bank of India maintained its inflation forecast at 4.5% for this fiscal year amid concerns over rising food prices. The central bank found some relief as crude prices dipped below $80 per barrel. The RBI's Monetary Policy Committee kept the repo rate unchanged at 6.5% for the eighth consecutive time, citing vigilance against potential inflationary pressures. Governor Shaktikanta Das highlighted the uptick in vegetable prices and global food inflation. Despite a slight easing in overall retail inflation to 4.83%, concerns linger over food price hikes, particularly in items like garlic and ginger.

      RBI MPC Meeting: Das & Co may look at food bills to keep its stance, rate unchanged

      RBI Policy Meeting: The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is expected to maintain the repo rate at 6.5% with a focus on withdrawing accommodation, marking the eighth consecutive time it remains unchanged. Economists predict the unchanged stance, citing persistent inflation in food prices and global commodity price risks. RBI Governor's decision is crucial post-elections.

      Rupee falls though Asian peers gain; forward premiums tick up

      Indian rupee weakens on Federal Reserve rate cut expectations. RBI intervention counters pressure from weak national election results and foreign equity outflows.

      BlackRock stays bullish on Indian bonds after narrow Modi win

      Neeraj Seth, chief investment officer at BlackRock, predicts that India's fiscal consolidation under Modi's leadership will continue. Cooling inflation may lead the Reserve Bank of India to ease later this year, supporting the preference for longer duration bonds like the seven and 10 year ones.

      Court reserves order on taking cognisance of ED charge sheet against Delhi CM Kejriwal

      A local court reserved its decision for June 4 on whether to take cognizance of a supplementary charge sheet filed by the ED against Delhi Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal in the excise policy-linked money-laundering case. The ED claims there is sufficient evidence to prosecute him and has also named AAP as an accused.

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