U S INTEREST RATES
Oil prices on track for fourth straight week of gains
Oil prices stabilized in Asian trade, set for a fourth week of gains amid strong U.S. summer demand and supply concerns. Brent and WTI prices rose. Russia's Rosneft and Lukoil to cut July exports. Saudi Aramco lowered Asian prices. Sentiment boosted by geopolitical tensions, a 12.2 million barrels draw, potential Fed rate cuts, and the Gaza conflict.
Brent crude above $87 at highest levels since April
Brent crude prices reach a 3-month high at $87 due to a significant drop in US inventories. Market sees gains supported by dollar weakness and improved US fuel demand outlook. However, economic worries persist with unexpected German industrial orders decline and rise in US jobless claims.
Gold inches up after weak data fuels US rate cut bets
Dramatic gold price surge expected amid cautious Fed approach and weaker employment reports, signaling potential economic challenges ahead.
Dollar on the defensive after soft data, little relief for yen
Currency markets react to global economic trends, with sterling potentially shifting leadership from Rishi Sunak to Keir Starmer in the UK.
Inflation is down in Europe. But the European Central Bank is in no hurry to make more rate cuts
In June, inflation in the eurozone fell slightly to 2.5%, above the European Central Bank's target. The ECB remains cautious about adding more rate cuts after a recent reduction. Inflation is expected to remain between 2% and 3%. ECB President Lagarde emphasizes the need to control inflation before further rate cuts. The economy faces challenges with high rates impacting credit-sensitive sectors like real estate.
Oil holds near two-month high on higher demand outlook, possible rate cut
Exciting developments in the oil market as prices hold steady near recent highs, driven by robust demand projections and the possibility of U.S. interest rate cuts. The looming threat of Hurricane Beryl and reduced crude imports into Asia, especially China, add further intrigue to the market landscape.
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Oil inches higher on summer demand outlook
Oil prices rose on supply deficit forecasts and OPEC+ cuts amid global economic challenges. Traders are cautious about rising non-OPEC+ output. Monitoring includes China's oil demand, the Atlantic hurricane season, and the impact of Hurricane Beryl.
Jobs, inflation data may break the US Treasury market out of narrow range
Bond market trends are closely tied to Powell's testimony, economic indicators, and Treasury yield movements. Factors like the recent Australia inflation rebound, central bank actions, and insights from Macquarie Group are key considerations for investors navigating market uncertainties.
Gold prices heads for quarterly rise; spotlight on inflation data
In the world of gold investment, tracking prices, inflation data, and the Federal Reserve's stance is key. Market dynamics shift based on factors like GDP estimates, equipment spending, and spot silver prices. Understanding these nuances is crucial for making informed investment decisions in a constantly evolving economic environment.
Asia stocks down, yen slump keeps markets on intervention alert
Inflation concerns impact markets worldwide, driving bond yields up and Asian shares down. Currency markets watch as the yen weakens, prompting fears of intervention. Unexpected jumps in inflation in Australia and Canada add to market nerves before the Federal Reserve's upcoming data release.
Oil extends losses as strong dollar weighs on commodities markets
Oil prices fell in early Asian trade on Monday due to a stronger dollar and concerns of higher interest rates. Brent crude futures slid to $84.84 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were at $80.34. Geopolitical risks in the Middle East and issues in Ecuador impacted prices.
Oil prices ease on strong US dollar, mixed global economic news
WTI fell out of overbought territory as Fed's interest rate hikes to curb inflation impacted oil demand. The decline in crude prices was influenced by rising U.S. dollar and negative global economic news. U.S. business activity rose to a 26-month high in June with an employment rebound. Geopolitical tensions escalated with warnings of a trade war over electric vehicle imports.
Oil prices slip as rate hike worries come into focus
Crude oil futures slid on Friday due to higher interest rates in Asia and the U.S., with Brent futures at $85.60 and U.S. crude at $81.20. Japan's core consumer prices rose by 2.5% from last year.
Dollar steadies; sterling dips ahead of inflation test
The dollar weakened after soft U.S. retail sales data increased expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, while sterling dipped ahead of UK inflation data. Markets predict a 67% chance of rate cuts in September.
Dollar calm ahead of inflation test, Fed decision
The dollar steadied after reaching a four-week high against peer currencies as markets awaited key U.S. inflation data and the Federal Reserve's updated interest rate projections. China's economy showed signs of improvement with steady consumer inflation and narrowing producer price declines.
Rupee declines tracking Asian peers, forward premiums drop
The Indian rupee weakened on Monday due to a pullback in hopes of policy easing by the U.S. Federal Reserve. Stronger than expected U.S. labour market data boosted the dollar and U.S. bond yields. The dollar index was up 0.2% at 105.3. Benchmark Indian equity indexes hit record highs in early trading.
Japan's Nikkei edges up as financials, export shares rise
Japan's Nikkei share average edged up on Monday as export-related stocks rose on a weaker yen following stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs data and a rise in domestic yields boosted financial stocks.
India bond yields seen rising tracking US peers
Indian government bond yields are expected to rise due to a spike in U.S. Treasury yields after strong economic data. The benchmark 10-year yield in India is likely to move in a 7.01%-7.06% range on Monday.
Gold slides 3% on double blow of strong jobs report, China data
Gold prices fell 3% to $2,304.54 after a strong U.S. jobs report dampened expectations for rate cuts, exacerbated by China's pause in gold purchases in May.
US stocks close slightly lower; jobs data strong but rates still high
Wall Street stocks ended slightly lower on Friday after strong U.S. jobs data raised concerns about the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates. The Labor Department reported 272,000 jobs in May, exceeding expectations, with a 4% unemployment rate.
ECB cuts rates, keeps next move under wraps
The European Central Bank cut interest rates for the first time in five years, lowering the deposit rate to 3.75%. The move came in response to inflation uncertainty following a slowdown. This move is seen as the start of an easing cycle, but future cuts may be delayed due to price and wage pressures. ECB remains data-dependent and may wait until September for further action. Fed's stance may impact ECB's decisions.
Oil rises on strengthening Fed rate cut expectations
Oil prices rose in Asian trading on rising expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in September and a rebound from a selloff linked to growing U.S. inventories and an OPEC+ supply increase.
Yields pare losses as services sector rebounds
The business activity index is "really driving that whole index higher," said Ellis Phifer, managing director of fixed income research at Raymond James in Memphis, Tennessee.
Wall Street stocks end slightly higher as weak jobs data supports rate cut
U.S. stocks rose on Tuesday as labor market data hinted at a Fed rate cut. Axos Financial dropped after Hindenburg Research shorted the stock.
Dollar wallows at multi-month lows as Fed cut bets grow
The dollar faced pressure as consumer price pressures stabilized, but upcoming U.S. payroll figures are being closely monitored by analysts like James Kniveton for economic strain.
OPEC+ extends major oil production cuts until 2025 to stabilise market
OPEC+ has announced an extension of its substantial oil production cuts into 2025, aiming to stabilise the market amid sluggish demand growth, elevated interest rates, and increasing U.S. oil production. The group will maintain its current reduction of 5.86 million barrels per day (bpd), with specific cuts being extended and gradually phased out.
Bond yields climb, stocks under pressure as Fed cut doubts resurface
U.S. Treasury yields rose, impacting global markets. Crude oil climbed ahead of the OPEC+ meeting. Improved U.S. consumer confidence added uncertainty to Fed rate cut expectations.
Dollar steady ahead of inflation data, yen wobbles
The dollar was stable on Wednesday ahead of crucial inflation readings, lifted by rising Treasury yields. The yen drifted to its weakest in four weeks. Euro and sterling also showed movements. Australian dollar spiked before steadying. U.S. consumer confidence improved in May. Markets await inflation reports this week.
Gold prices inch lower as US rate cut bets cool
Gold prices eased as traders reduced rate cut expectations by the U.S. Federal Reserve, awaiting U.S. inflation data this week.
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