Arizona gubernatorial election, 2014
August 26, 2014 |
November 4, 2014 |
Doug Ducey ![]() |
Jan Brewer ![]() |
Governor • Secretary of State • Attorney General Down Ballot Mine Inspector, Treasurer, Superintendent, Public Service Commissioner |
The Arizona gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, following a primary on August 26. Incumbent Jan Brewer, a Republican who went from Arizona Secretary of State to Arizona Governor following former Democratic Gov. Janet Napolitano's 2009 departure, won a full term as governor in 2010 and was ineligible for re-election in 2014 because of term limits. Brewer initially considered mounting a legal challenge to the term limit laws barring her from seeking a second consecutive four-year term, but ultimately conceded the issue. Doug Ducey (R) won the race against Fred DuVal (D) to replace Brewer.
In the months prior to the general election, the race was rated "Likely R" by The Cook Political Report, predicting that another Republican would likely follow Brewer in the position.[1] Meanwhile, Governing rated the race between major party nominees Ducey and DuVal as a "Toss-up."[2] Learn more about Brewer, the 2014 candidates and the hotly contested Republican primary by jumping to the race background section.
The gubernatorial contest was not the only race on the November ballot that could have shifted the balance of power in Arizona. The Arizona State Senate was identified by Ballotpedia as one of the top 20 legislative chambers to watch in 2014. Both legislative chambers and the governor's office were held by the Republican Party, making Arizona a state government trifecta. Republicans maintained trifecta status following the 2014 election.
A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Arizona utilizes a semi-closed primary system. Unaffiliated voters may choose which party's primary they will vote in, but voters registered with a party can only vote in that party's primary.[3][4][5]
For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.
Candidates
General election
Doug Ducey
[6][7]
Fred DuVal[8]
Barry J. Hess[9][10]
(Americans Elect) J.L. Mealer[11]
(Write-in) J. Johnson
(Write-in) Diana-Elizabeth Kennedy
(Write-in) Brian Bailey[12]
(Write-in) Carey Dolego[12]
(Write-in) Alice Novoa
Unaffiliated, Curtis Woolsey
Term-limited
Jan Brewer - Incumbent
Lost in the primary
Mike Aloisi[13]
Ken Bennett[14]
Christine Jones[15]
(Write-in) Alice Lukasik[16]
Frank Riggs[17]
Scott Smith[18][19]
Andrew Thomas[6][20]
Results
General election
Governor of Arizona, 2014 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Republican | ![]() |
53.4% | 805,062 | |
Democratic | Fred DuVal | 41.6% | 626,921 | |
Libertarian | Barry J. Hess | 3.8% | 57,337 | |
Americans Elect | J.L. Mealer | 1% | 15,432 | |
Nonpartisan | Write-ins | 0.1% | 1,664 | |
Total Votes | 1,506,416 | |||
Election results via Arizona Secretary of State |
Primary election
Republican primary
Governor of Arizona Republican Primary, 2014 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
![]() |
37.2% | 200,607 | ||
Scott Smith | 22.1% | 119,107 | ||
Christine Jones | 16.7% | 89,922 | ||
Ken Bennett | 11.5% | 62,010 | ||
Andrew Thomas | 8.1% | 43,822 | ||
Frank Riggs | 4.5% | 24,168 | ||
Mike Aloisi (Write-in) | 0% | 27 | ||
Alice Lukasik (Write-in) | 0% | 27 | ||
Total Votes | 539,690 | |||
Election results via Arizona Secretary of State. |
Democratic primary
- Uncontested
Race background
Term limits for Gov. Brewer
Incumbent Jan Brewer (R) was term-limited from seeking re-election, which left the seat open for the 2014 election. The race was rated Likely R by The Cook Political Report, meaning Brewer was likely to be succeeded by another Republican according to their assessment.[21] Governing rated the general election race between Doug Ducey (R) and Fred DuVal (D) as a Toss-up.[22]
Brewer was originally appointed to the position in 2009, and she was then elected to it in 2010. Arizona's term limit laws preclude any individual who has occupied the governor's office during two consecutive terms from running for re-election. Brewer asserted that the law did not adequately account for the conditions of her incomplete first term, but she did not pursue a court challenge for an exemption.[23]
Republican primary
Candidates in the GOP primary included outgoing Arizona State Treasurer Doug Ducey, Secretary of State Ken Bennett, Mesa Mayor Scott Smith, and former GoDaddy.com Executive Vice President Christine Jones. Ducey won the primary with 37.2 percent of the vote, followed by Smith in second place with 22.1 percent.
Democratic primary
Former Arizona Board of Regents President Fred DuVal won the Democratic nomination by default as the only candidate to file in the primary.[24]
Debates
September 29 debate
The Arizona Citizens Clean Elections Commission hosted a debate featuring Doug Ducey (R), Fred DuVal (D), Barry J. Hess (L) and Americans Elect candidate J.L. Mealer. The four candidates disagreed over the state's expansion of Medicaid, a health-insurance program for low-income residents, under the Affordable Care Act. Ducey, who opposed the expansion prior to implementation, said he would allow continued expansion over a three-year period where the federal government provides matching funds. DuVal and Mealer voiced support for the expansion, with DuVal noting that repeal would be burdensome not only to patients but the state economy. Hess said he would end the expansion because its success has led to excessive tax increases.[25]
The debate also highlighted differences among the major party candidates over Gov. Jan Brewer's decision to block issuance of driver's licenses to young adults who came to the United States without proper documentation. Ducey said he would continue the policy if elected. DuVal said that repealing the prohibition would be his first act as governor.[25]
Polls
General election
Ducey vs. DuVal vs. Hess
Arizona Governor - General election match-ups | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Doug Ducey (R) | Fred DuVal (D) | Barry J. Hess (L) | Undecided/Other | Margin of error | Sample size | |||||||||||||
American Encore October 20-22, 2014 | 42% | 35% | 7% | 15% | +/-4 | 601 | |||||||||||||
Moore Information October 7-8, 2014 | 36% | 39% | 3% | 22% | +/-4.9 | 400 | |||||||||||||
Keating (D-Restore Arizona's Future PAC) September 17-19, 2014 | 41% | 39% | 7% | 13% | +/-4.0 | 600 | |||||||||||||
Terrance (R-Arizona Free Enterprise Club) September 15-17, 2014 | 44% | 38% | 6% | 11% | +/-4.5 | 505 | |||||||||||||
The Arizona Republic August 24-25, 2014 | 35% | 35% | 12% | 18% | +/-4.0 | 588 | |||||||||||||
Garin-Hart-Yang (D) February 3-6, 2014 | 32% | 32% | 6% | 30% | +/-3.5 | 500 | |||||||||||||
AVERAGES | 38.33% | 36.33% | 6.83% | 18.17% | +/-4.15 | 532.33 | |||||||||||||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected]. |
Ducey vs. Duval
Governor of Arizona - Ducey vs. DuVal | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Doug Ducey (R) | Fred DuVal (D) | Undecided | Margin of error | Sample size | ||||||||||||||
New York Times/CBS/YouGov October 16-23, 2014 | 50% | 40% | 10% | +/-4 | 2,621 | ||||||||||||||
Rasmussen Reports October 14-16, 2014 | 47% | 42% | 10% | +/-3 | 1,056 | ||||||||||||||
New York Times/CBS/YouGov September 20-October 1, 2014 | 50% | 39% | 11% | +/-3 | 2,808 | ||||||||||||||
Rasmussen Reports August 27-28, 2014 | 40% | 40% | 13% | +/-4.0 | 850 | ||||||||||||||
Susquehanna Polling and Research November 2013 | 36% | 33% | 31% | +/-- | 600 | ||||||||||||||
AVERAGES | 44.6% | 38.8% | 15% | +/-1.2 | 1,587 | ||||||||||||||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected]. |
Primary polling
Republican primary
Arizona Governor - GOP Primary | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Ken Bennett | Doug Ducey | Christine Jones | Frank Riggs | Scott Smith | Andrew Thomas | Undecided | Margin of error | Sample size | ||||||||||
Harper Polling August 19-20, 2014 | 14% | 32% | 16% | 2% | 19% | 7% | 10% | +/-3.44 | 812 | ||||||||||
Arizona Automobile Dealers Association August 15, 2014 | 10% | 31% | 16% | 3% | 23% | 7% | 10% | 1,300 | |||||||||||
Harper Polling July 16-17, 2014 | 12% | 23% | 21% | 1% | 13% | 7% | 22% | +/-3.29 | 885 | ||||||||||
Gravis Marketing July 14, 2014 | 7% | 28% | 19% | 1% | 14% | 8% | 24% | +/-4.0 | 691 | ||||||||||
Magellan Strategies July 9-10, 2014 | 11% | 26% | 22% | 2% | 14% | 6% | 19% | +/-4.02 | 593 | ||||||||||
Harper Polling June 25-26, 2014 | 12% | 33% | 15% | 2% | 14% | 3% | 22% | +/-3.48 | 791 | ||||||||||
AVERAGES | 11% | 28.83% | 18.17% | 1.83% | 16.17% | 6.33% | 17.83% | +/-3.04 | 845.33 | ||||||||||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected]. |
Republican primary
Arizona Governor - GOP primary | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Ken Bennett | Christine Jones | Al Melvin | Andrew Thomas | Doug Ducey | Scott Smith | Undecided | Margin of error | Sample size | ||||||||||
Susquehanna Polling and Research (November 2013) | 20% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 6% | 53% | +/-- | 245 | ||||||||||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected]. |
Campaign media
General election
Doug Ducey
|
Fred DuVal
|
|
Outside organizations
Republican Governors Association
|
Primary election
Doug Ducey
|
Scott Smith
|
|
|
Past elections
2010
On November 2, 2010, Jan Brewer won re-election to the office of Governor of Arizona. She defeated Terry Goddard (D), Barry J. Hess (LBT), Larry Gist (Green) and various write-in challengers in the general election.
Governor of Arizona, 2010 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Republican | ![]() |
54.3% | 938,934 | |
Democratic | Terry Goddard | 42.4% | 733,935 | |
Libertarian | Barry J. Hess | 2.2% | 38,722 | |
Green | Larry Gist | 0.9% | 16,128 | |
K.A. | Write-ins | 0.1% | 2,017 | |
Total Votes | 1,729,736 | |||
Election results via Arizona Secretary of State. |
2006
Arizona Governor, 2006 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Democratic | ![]() |
62.6% | 959,830 | |
Republican | Len Munsil | 35.4% | 543,528 | |
Libertarian | Barry J. Hess, II | 2% | 30,268 | |
Write-in | Arthur Ray Arvizu | 0% | 10 | |
Write-in | Robert B. Winn | 0% | 3 | |
Write-in | Brian Wright | 0% | 6 | |
Total Votes | 1,533,645 | |||
Election results via Arizona Secretary of State |
2002
Arizona Governor, 2002 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Democratic | ![]() |
46.2% | 566,284 | |
Republican | Matt Salmon | 45.2% | 554,465 | |
Independent | Richard Mahoney | 6.9% | 84,947 | |
Libertarian | Barry Hess | 1.7% | 20,356 | |
Write-in | Assorted | 0% | 59 | |
Total Votes | 1,226,111 | |||
Election results via Arizona Secretary of State |
Voter turnout
Political scientist Michael McDonald's United States Elections Project studied voter turnout in the 2014 election by looking at the percentage of eligible voters who headed to the polls. McDonald used voting-eligible population (VEP), or the number of eligible voters independent of their current registration status, to calculate turnout rates in each state on November 4. He also incorporated ballots cast for the highest office in each state into his calculation. He estimated that 81,687,059 ballots were cast in the 50 states plus the District of Columbia, representing 35.9 percent of the VEP.[26] By comparison, 61.6 percent of VEP voted in the 2008 presidential election and 58.2 percent of VEP voted in the 2012 presidential election.[27]
Quick facts
- According to PBS Newshour, voter turnout in the 2014 midterms was the lowest since the 1942 midterms, which took place during the nation's involvement in World War II.[28]
- Forty-three states and the District of Columbia failed to surpass 50 percent turnout in McDonald's analysis.
- The three states with the lowest turnout according to McDonald's analysis were Texas (28.3 percent), Tennessee (28.6 percent), and Indiana (28.8 percent).
- Maine (58.5 percent), Wisconsin (56.5 percent), and Colorado (54.5 percent) were the three states with the highest turnout.
- There were only 12 states that increased voter turnout in 2014 compared to the 2010 midterm elections.[29]
Voter turnout rates, 2014 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
State | Total votes counted | % voter eligible population | Top statewide office up for election | Size of lead (Raw votes) | Size of lead (%) |
Alabama | 1,191,274 | 33.2 | Governor | 320,319 | 27.2 |
Alaska | 285,431 | 54.4 | Governor | 4,004 | 1.6 |
Arizona | 1,537,671 | 34.1 | Governor | 143,951 | 12.5 |
Arkansas | 852,642 | 40.1 | Governor | 118,664 | 14.0 |
California | 7,513,972 | 30.8 | Governor | 1,065,748 | 17.8 |
Colorado | 2,080,071 | 54.5 | Governor | 50,395 | 2.4 |
Connecticut | 1,096,509 | 42.5 | Governor | 26,603 | 2.5 |
Delaware | 234,038 | 34.4 | Attorney General | 31,155 | 13.6 |
District of Columbia | 177,176 | 35.8 | Mayor | 27,934 | 19.0 |
Florida | 6,026,802 | 43.3 | Governor | 66,127 | 1.1 |
Georgien | 2,596,947 | 38.5 | Governor | 202,685 | 8.0 |
Hawaii | 369,554 | 36.5 | Governor | 45,323 | 12.4 |
Idaho | 445,307 | 39.6 | Governor | 65,852 | 14.9 |
Illinois | 3,680,417 | 40.9 | Governor | 171,900 | 4.9 |
Indiana | 1,387,622 | 28.8 | Secretary of State | 234,978 | 17.8 |
Iowa | 1,142,284 | 50.2 | Governor | 245,548 | 21.8 |
Kansas | 887,023 | 43.4 | Governor | 33,052 | 3.9 |
Kentucky | 1,435,868 | 44.0 | U.S. Senate | 222,096 | 15.5 |
Louisiana | 1,472,039 | 43.8 | U.S. Senate | 16,401 | 1.1 |
Maine | 616,996 | 58.5 | Governor | 29,820 | 4.9 |
Maryland | 1,733,177 | 41.5 | Governor | 88,648 | 6.1 |
Massachusetts | 2,186,789 | 44.6 | Governor | 40,361 | 1.9 |
Michigan | 3,188,956 | 43.2 | Governor | 129,547 | 4.3 |
Minnesota | 1,992,613 | 50.5 | Governor | 109,776 | 5.6 |
Mississippi | 631,858 | 28.9 | U.S. Senate | 141,234 | 33.0 |
Missouri | 1,426,303 | 31.8 | Auditor | 684,074 | 53.6 |
Montana | 373,831 | 47.3 | U.S. Senate | 65,262 | 17.9 |
Nebraska | 552,115 | 41.5 | Governor | 97,678 | 18.7 |
Nevada | 547,349 | 29.0 | Governor | 255,793 | 46.7 |
New Hampshire | 495,565 | 48.4 | Governor | 24,924 | 5.2 |
New Jersey | 1,955,042 | 32.5 | K.A. | K.A. | K.A. |
New Mexico | 512,805 | 35.7 | Governor | 73,868 | 14.6 |
New York | 3,930,310 | 29.0 | Governor | 476,252 | 13.4 |
North Carolina | 2,939,767 | 41.2 | U.S. Senate | 48,511 | 1.7 |
North Dakota | 255,128 | 45.0 | U.S. House At-large seat | 42,214 | 17.1 |
Ohio | 3,149,876 | 36.2 | Governor | 933,235 | 30.9 |
Oklahoma | 824,831 | 29.8 | Governor | 122,060 | 14.7 |
Oregon | 1,541,782 | 53.5 | Governor | 59,029 | 4.5 |
Pennsylvania | 3,495,866 | 36.0 | Governor | 339,261 | 9.8 |
Rhode Island | 329,212 | 42.2 | Governor | 14,346 | 4.5 |
South Carolina | 1,261,611 | 35.2 | Governor | 179,089 | 14.6 |
South Dakota | 282,291 | 44.9 | Governor | 124,865 | 45.1 |
Tennessee | 1,374,065 | 28.6 | Governor | 642,214 | 47.5 |
Texas | 4,727,208 | 28.3 | Governor | 957,973 | 20.4 |
Utah | 577,973 | 30.2 | Attorney General | 173,819 | 35.2 |
Vermont | 193,087 | 38.8 | Governor | 2,095 | 1.1 |
Virginia | 2,194,346 | 36.6 | U.S. Senate | 16,727 | 0.8 |
Washington | 2,123,901 | 43.1 | K.A. | K.A. | K.A. |
West Virginia | 451,498 | 31.2 | U.S. Senate | 124,667 | 27.6 |
Wisconsin | 2,410,314 | 56.5 | Governor | 137,607 | 5.7 |
Wyoming | 168,390 | 39.3 | Governor | 52,703 | 33.6 |
Note: Information from the United States Elections Project was last updated on December 16, 2014.
Campaign finance
Comprehensive donor information for this election has been collected by Follow the Money. Based on available campaign finance records, the candidates raised a total of $21,778,948 during the election. This information was last updated on May 9, 2015.[30]
Campaign Contribution Totals | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Office | Result | Contributions | |
Doug Ducey ![]() |
Arizona Governor | ![]() |
$8,081,966 | |
Christine Jones ![]() |
Arizona Governor | ![]() |
$5,554,672 | |
Fred DuVal ![]() |
Arizona Governor | ![]() |
$4,668,341 | |
Scott Smith ![]() |
Arizona Governor | ![]() |
$1,652,090 | |
Ken Bennett ![]() |
Arizona Governor | ![]() |
$786,082 | |
Andrew Thomas ![]() |
Arizona Governor | ![]() |
$763,957 | |
Frank Riggs ![]() |
Arizona Governor | ![]() |
$225,149 | |
Al Melvin ![]() |
Arizona Governor | ![]() |
$35,009 | |
J. Johnson ![]() |
Arizona Governor | ![]() |
$5,821 | |
Barry J. Hess ![]() |
Arizona Governor | ![]() |
$3,634 | |
J.L. Mealer ![]() |
Arizona Governor | ![]() |
$1,922 | |
Alice Novoa ![]() |
Arizona Governor | ![]() |
$305 | |
Carey Dolego ![]() |
Arizona Governor | ![]() |
$0 | |
Diana-Elizabeth Kennedy ![]() |
Arizona Governor | ![]() |
$0 | |
Curtis Woolsey | Arizona Governor | ![]() |
$0 | |
Brian Bailey ![]() |
Arizona Governor | ![]() |
$0 | |
Grand Total Raised | $21,778,948 |
Key deadlines
Deadline | Event |
---|---|
May 28, 2014 | Filing deadline for major party candidates |
July 17, 2014 | Filing deadline for write-in candidates (Primary) |
August 26, 2014 | Primary election |
September 25, 2014 | Filing deadline for write-in candidates (General) |
November 4, 2014 | General election |
December 1, 2014 | Official Canvass of general election results |
January 5, 2015 | Inauguration day for state executive officials in general election |
Recent news
The link below is to the most recent stories in a Google news search for Arizona + Governor + Election + 2014
See also
- Governor of Arizona
- Arizona state executive official elections, 2014
- State executive official elections, 2014
- Preview of 2014's most competitive gubernatorial races
- State executive debates, 2014
External links
- Office of the Governor of Arizona
- Watchdog.org, "AZ: Gov. Jan Brewer’s trouble with term limits," November 29, 2012
Footnotes
- ↑ The Cook Political Report, "Governors Race Ratings 2014," September 15, 2014
- ↑ Governing, "2014 Governors Races," September 10, 2014
- ↑ National Conference of State Legislatures, "State Primary Election Types," accessed July 19, 2024
- ↑ Citizens Clean Elections Commission, "Primary Election," accessed July 19, 2024
- ↑ Arizona State Legislature, "Arizona Revised Statutes 16-467," accessed July 19 2024
- ↑ 6.0 6.1 East Valley Tribune, State treasurer Doug Ducey files paperwork to explore Ariz governor run, July 23, 2013
- ↑ Doug Ducey for Governor 2014 Official campaign website, "Homepage," accessed September 1, 2013
- ↑ Fred DuVal Governor 2014, accessed April 2, 2013
- ↑ ABC 15, LIST: Race heats up for Arizona Governor, January 9, 2014
- ↑ The Republic, "Libertarian candidate to be on ballot in Arizona governor's race after GOP challenge dismissed," June 19, 2014
- ↑ J.L. Mealer Governor 2014, accessed July 25, 2013
- ↑ 12.0 12.1 Arizona Secretary of State, "2014 General Election Writein Candidates," accessed September 29, 2014 Cite error: Invalid
<ref>
tag; name "candlist" defined multiple times with different content - ↑ Arizona Secretary of State, "2014 Primary Election Writein Candidates," accessed July 3, 2014
- ↑ Eastern Arizona Courier, "Bennett announces candidacy," September 17, 2013
- ↑ Christine Jones for Governor 2014 Official Campaign Website, "Homepage," accessed September 19, 2013
- ↑ Cite error: Invalid
<ref>
tag; no text was provided for refs namedfulllisting
- ↑ The Arizona Republic, "Former California congressman enters Arizona governor race," January 23, 2014
- ↑ azcentral.com, "Mesa Mayor Smith will quit to run for governor," January 9, 2014
- ↑ Politico, "Republican mayor Scott Smith rises in Arizona," March 8, 2013
- ↑ The Arizona Republic, "Disbarred former Maricopa County Attorney Thomas to run for governor," April 26, 2013
- ↑ The Cook Political Report, "Governors Race Ratings 2014," September 15, 2014
- ↑ Governing, "2014 Governors Races," September 10, 2014
- ↑ USA Today, "Facing term limit, Ariz. Gov. Brewer won't run again," March 12, 2014
- ↑ AZCentral, "Fred DuVal sees pros, cons of no primary challenger," May 8, 2014
- ↑ 25.0 25.1 12 News & The Arizona Republic, "Governor candidates debate Arizona highs, lows," September 30, 2014
- ↑ United States Elections Project, "2014 November General Election Turnout Rates," November 7, 2014
- ↑ TIME, "Voter Turnout in Midterm Elections Hits 72-Year Low," November 10, 2014
- ↑ PBS, "2014 midterm election turnout lowest in 70 years," November 10, 2014
- ↑ U.S. News & World Report, "Midterm Turnout Down in 2014," November 5, 2014
- ↑ Follow the Money, "Overview of Arizona 2014 elections," accessed May 9, 2015
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