Idaho's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024
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← 2022
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Idaho's 2nd Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: March 15, 2024 |
Primary: May 21, 2024 General: November 5, 2024 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Idaho |
Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024 |
See also |
1st • 2nd Idaho elections, 2024 U.S. Congress elections, 2024 U.S. Senate elections, 2024 U.S. House elections, 2024 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 2nd Congressional District of Idaho, are holding elections in 2024. The general election is November 5, 2024. The primary was May 21, 2024. The filing deadline was March 15, 2024. All 435 U.S. House seats are up for election in 2024. Republicans have a 220 to 211 majority with four vacancies.[1] As of June 2024, 45 members of the U.S. House had announced they were not running for re-election. To read more about the U.S. House elections taking place this year, click here.
In the 2022 election in this district, the Republican candidate won 63.6%-36.4%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 59.8%-36.9%.[2]
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Idaho's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024 (May 21 Democratic primary)
- Idaho's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024 (May 21 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Idaho District 2
Incumbent Michael K. Simpson, David Roth, Idaho Law, and Todd Corsetti are running in the general election for U.S. House Idaho District 2 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | ||
Michael K. Simpson (R) | ||
David Roth (D) | ||
Idaho Law (Constitution Party) | ||
Todd Corsetti (L) |
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Idaho District 2
David Roth advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Idaho District 2 on May 21, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | David Roth | 100.0 | 17,234 |
Total votes: 17,234 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Richard Grayson (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Idaho District 2
Incumbent Michael K. Simpson defeated Scott Cleveland and Sean Higgins in the Republican primary for U.S. House Idaho District 2 on May 21, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Michael K. Simpson | 54.7 | 53,476 | |
Scott Cleveland | 35.8 | 35,036 | ||
Sean Higgins | 9.5 | 9,333 |
Total votes: 97,845 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Constitution primary election
Constitution primary for U.S. House Idaho District 2
Idaho Law defeated Pro-Life in the Constitution primary for U.S. House Idaho District 2 on May 21, 2024.
Total votes: 200 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Libertarian primary election
Libertarian primary for U.S. House Idaho District 2
Todd Corsetti advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House Idaho District 2 on May 21, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Todd Corsetti | 100.0 | 315 |
Total votes: 315 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Libertarian Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I am running as a Libertarian for Idaho congressional district 2 to assist in changing the dangerous trajectory of this country. We are clearly on a path to moral and financial bankruptcy. If we do not course correct, and quickly, our children’s and grandchildren’s futures and quality of life are at great risk. The Republican and Democrat duopoly, controlled opposition, with their ballooning government budgets, tax and spend recklessness, limitless money printing, run-away inflation, massive indebtedness, crony capitalism, and forever offensive wars are threatening this once great nation. Freedom of speech, freedom of self-defense, freedom of privacy, economic freedom, and personal liberty are all under attack and at great risk."
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Idaho
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
Survey responses from candidates in this race
Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
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|Todd Corsetti (L)
We must get back to sound money, true free market capitalism, and a complete separation of the state from money and banking.
All gun control is unconstitutional. I am a 2nd Amendment advocate. All people have the right to self-defense.
Todd Corsetti (L)
Todd Corsetti (L)
Todd Corsetti (L)
Todd Corsetti (L)
Todd Corsetti (L)
Todd Corsetti (L)
Todd Corsetti (L)
Todd Corsetti (L)
Todd Corsetti (L)
Todd Corsetti (L)
Todd Corsetti (L)
Todd Corsetti (L)
Todd Corsetti (L)
Todd Corsetti (L)
Todd Corsetti (L)
Todd Corsetti (L)
Todd Corsetti (L)
Todd Corsetti (L)
Todd Corsetti (L)
Todd Corsetti (L)
You can ask candidates in this race to fill out the survey by clicking their names below:
Campaign finance
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Michael K. Simpson | Republican Party | $1,247,033 | $970,061 | $415,372 | As of June 30, 2024 |
David Roth | Democratic Party | $69,835 | $66,448 | $1,788 | As of June 30, 2024 |
Idaho Law | Constitution Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Todd Corsetti | Libertarian Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[3]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[4][5][6]
Race ratings: Idaho's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
September 10, 2024 | September 3, 2024 | August 27, 2024 | August 20, 2024 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Idaho in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Idaho, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Idaho | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | 500[7] | $300.00 | 3/15/2024 | Source |
Idaho | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 500[8] | $300.00 | 8/30/2024 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below is the district map in place for this election. Click the map below to enlarge it.
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Idaho.
Idaho U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
2024 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 50.0% | ||||
2022 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 50.0% | ||||
2020 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 75.0% | 2 | 100.0% | ||||
2018 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 75.0% | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
2016 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 75.0% | 2 | 100.0% | ||||
2014 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 75.0% | 2 | 100.0% |
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Idaho in 2024. Information below was calculated on April 7, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Six candidates ran for Idaho’s two U.S. House districts, including two Democrats and four Republicans. That’s three candidates per district, less than in the previous three election cycles. There were four candidates per district in 2022, 3.5 candidates per district in 2020, and 6.5 in 2018.
The total number of candidates that ran for the U.S. House in 2024 is also lower than any other year this decade.
No seats were open in 2024, meaning all incumbents ran for re-election. There was one House seat open in 2018, the only election cycle this decade in which a House seat was open.
Four candidates—one Democrat and three Republicans—ran for the 2nd Congressional District, the most candidates that ran for a seat in 2024.
One primary—the 2nd Congressional District Republican primary—was contested in 2024. One primary was contested in 2022 and three primaries were contested in 2020.
Rep. Michael K. Simpson (R-2nd) was the only incumbent in a contested primary in 2024.
Candidates filed to run in the Democratic and Republican primaries in both districts, meaning no seats were guaranteed to either party.Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is R+14. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 14 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Idaho's 2nd the 87th most Republican district nationally.[9]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in Idaho's 2nd based on 2024 district lines | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden | Donald Trump | |||
36.9% | 59.8% |
Inside Elections Baselines
- See also: Inside Elections
Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[10] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.
Inside Elections Baseline for 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Baseline | Republican Baseline | Difference | ||
36.3 | 60.1 | R+23.8 |
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Idaho, 2020
Idaho presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 9 Democratic wins
- 22 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | D | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
- See also: Party control of Idaho state government
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Alabama's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Idaho | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Republican | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 2 | 4 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Idaho's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.
State executive officials in Idaho, May 2024 | |
---|---|
Office | Officeholder |
Governor | Brad Little |
Lieutenant Governor | Scott Bedke |
Secretary of State | Phil McGrane |
Attorney General | Raúl Labrador |
State legislature
Idaho State Senate
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 7 | |
Republican Party | 28 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 35 |
Idaho House of Representatives
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 11 | |
Republican Party | 59 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 70 |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until 2024.
Idaho Party Control: 1992-2024
No Democratic trifectas • Thirty years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Senate | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
District history
The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.
2022
General election
General election for U.S. House Idaho District 2
Incumbent Michael K. Simpson defeated Wendy Norman in the general election for U.S. House Idaho District 2 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Michael K. Simpson (R) | 63.6 | 172,450 | |
Wendy Norman (D) | 36.4 | 98,736 |
Total votes: 271,186 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Idaho District 2
Wendy Norman advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Idaho District 2 on May 17, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Wendy Norman | 100.0 | 17,150 |
Total votes: 17,150 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Amy Tamayo (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Idaho District 2
Incumbent Michael K. Simpson defeated Bryan Smith, Flint Christensen, Chris Porter, and Daniel Algiers Lucas Levy in the Republican primary for U.S. House Idaho District 2 on May 17, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Michael K. Simpson | 54.6 | 67,177 | |
Bryan Smith | 32.7 | 40,267 | ||
Flint Christensen | 5.8 | 7,113 | ||
Chris Porter | 5.2 | 6,357 | ||
Daniel Algiers Lucas Levy | 1.8 | 2,185 |
Total votes: 123,099 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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2020
General election
General election for U.S. House Idaho District 2
Incumbent Michael K. Simpson defeated Aaron Swisher, Pro-Life, and Idaho Law in the general election for U.S. House Idaho District 2 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Michael K. Simpson (R) | 64.1 | 250,669 | |
Aaron Swisher (D) | 31.7 | 124,151 | ||
Pro-Life (Constitution Party) | 2.2 | 8,573 | ||
Idaho Law (L) | 2.0 | 7,940 |
Total votes: 391,333 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Idaho District 2
Aaron Swisher advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Idaho District 2 on June 2, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Aaron Swisher | 100.0 | 37,495 |
Total votes: 37,495 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Idaho District 2
Incumbent Michael K. Simpson defeated Kevin Rhoades in the Republican primary for U.S. House Idaho District 2 on June 2, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Michael K. Simpson | 72.0 | 68,675 | |
Kevin Rhoades | 28.0 | 26,724 |
Total votes: 95,399 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Idaho District 2
Incumbent Michael K. Simpson defeated Aaron Swisher in the general election for U.S. House Idaho District 2 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Michael K. Simpson (R) | 60.7 | 170,274 | |
Aaron Swisher (D) | 39.3 | 110,381 |
Total votes: 280,655 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Idaho District 2
Aaron Swisher defeated Peter Rickards in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Idaho District 2 on May 15, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Aaron Swisher | 67.6 | 18,709 | |
Peter Rickards | 32.4 | 8,987 |
Total votes: 27,696 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Shizandra Fox (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Idaho District 2
Incumbent Michael K. Simpson advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Idaho District 2 on May 15, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Michael K. Simpson | 100.0 | 72,243 |
Total votes: 72,243 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Petition signatures only required in lieu of a filing fee.
- ↑ Petition signatures only required in lieu of a filing fee.
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023
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