Nevada's 3rd Congressional District elections, 2014
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Joe Heck Incumbent | 60.8% | 88,528 | |
Democratic | Erin Bilbray | 36.1% | 52,644 | |
Libertarian | Randy Kimmick | 1.1% | 1,566 | |
Independent | David Goossen | 1.1% | 1,637 | |
Independent | Steven St John | 0.9% | 1,344 | |
Total Votes | 145,719 | |||
Source: Nevada Secretary of State |
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November 4, 2014 |
June 10, 2014 |
Joe Heck |
Joe Heck |
Cook Political Report: Likely R[1] FairVote's Monopoly Politics: Lean R[2] |
The 3rd Congressional District of Nevada held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Rep. Joe Heck (R) defeated Erin Bilbray (D), Randy Kimmick (L), David Goossen (I) and Steven St John (I) in the general election.
Although Nevada's 3rd District was one of Ballotpedia's U.S. House battleground districts in 2014, the final general election results revealed a less than competitive race, with Rep. Heck defeating Bilbray by 24.7 percent of the vote. Historically, Nevada's 3rd had been considered a swing district, and Heck had won his previous two election bids by much narrower margins. He won by 0.6 percent in 2010 and 7.5 percent in 2012. The district had voted Democratic in the previous two presidential elections, voting for President Barack Obama by 8.9 percent in 2008 and 0.8 percent in 2012.
Heading into the general election, political analysts such as those from The Cook Political Report, FairVote's Monopoly Politics and Sabato's Crystal Ball predicted an advantage for Republicans in the district.[4][5][6] Many of these ratings had been changed from more competitive to less competitive during the election cycle. In July 2014, Rothenberg Political Report/Roll Call changed the race's rating from "Leans Republican" to "Republican Favored."[7] Later, in August, The Cook Political Report commented that, "operatives on both sides agree Heck is in an enviable position."[8] Then, on October 16, 2014, Sabato's Crystal Ball moved seven districts, including Heck's, from "Likely Republican" to "Safe Republican" due to "underwhelming Democratic candidates."[9]
One major factor in Heck's success was his advantage in campaign contributions. Throughout the 2014 election cycle, Heck's campaign committee raised $2,402,397.89, over twice Bilbray's $1,118,057.80.[10] In addition, outside groups spent $1,703,762 helping Heck in his re-election bid, while they spent only $13,473 supporting Bilbray.[11]
Bilbray's disadvantage may have been compounded by a poorly run campaign. Even Democratic leaders who had initially supported Bilbray criticized her for her campaign strategies. Sen. Harry Reid (D) was one of the first to support Bilbray in her 2014 bid for election, but in August 2014, after three of Bilbray's staffers quit working for the campaign, Reid remarked, "Bilbray should win, but her campaign has been hit and miss. It hasn't been a great campaign."[12]
Bilbray admitted that the campaign was a difficult process for her. She stated, "There's this model of candidates going into a back room with no windows and just being on the phone hour after hour after hour asking for money. For somebody who is really more gregarious like myself, who gets my energy from being with other people, that was very draining."[12] The campaign went through three campaign managers in just eight months, and in May 2014 the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) decided not to buy ads in Nevada's 3rd District, though they spent $43 million among 36 other districts.[12] In October 2014, Roll Call rated Bilbray as one of the nine biggest "Candidate Flameouts," calling Bilbray one of the "2014 cycle’s most disappointing candidates."[13]
Heck may have had an especially large advantage in 2014, as Republicans across the nation experienced what some called a "GOP wave," increasing their majority in the U.S. House and gaining the majority in the Senate.[14] Many attributed this trend to midterm dissatisfaction and overall low approval ratings of President Barack Obama (D).[15]
Candidate Filing Deadline | Primary Election | General Election |
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Primary: A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Nevada has a closed primary system, in which the selection of a party's candidates in an election is limited to registered party members.[16][17]
Voter registration: To vote in the primary, voters had to register by May 10, 2014. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 14, 2014.[18]
- See also: Nevada elections, 2014
Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Joe Heck (R), who was first elected in 2010.
Nevada's 3rd Congressional District is located in the southern portion of the state and includes a portion of Clark County.[19]
Candidates
General election candidates
- Joe Heck - Incumbent
- Erin Bilbray
- Randy Kimmick
- David Goossen
- Steven St John
June 10, 2014, primary results
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Election results
General election
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Joe Heck Incumbent | 60.8% | 88,528 | |
Democratic | Erin Bilbray | 36.1% | 52,644 | |
Libertarian | Randy Kimmick | 1.1% | 1,566 | |
Independent | David Goossen | 1.1% | 1,637 | |
Independent | Steven St John | 0.9% | 1,344 | |
Total Votes | 145,719 | |||
Source: Nevada Secretary of State |
Primary election
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Erin Bilbray | 84% | 13,204 | ||
Zachary Campbell | 16% | 2,511 | ||
Total Votes | 15,715 | |||
Source: Nevada Secretary of State - Official Election Results |
Race background
Republican incumbent Joe Heck's narrow re-election victory in 2012, combined with Obama's win over the district, signaled to the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee that the 3rd District was vulnerable to partisan switch in 2014.
According to a Roll Call report released on Jan. 22, the DCCC capitalized on the elite guest lists at events surrounding the presidential inauguration to vet potential candidates in three promising congressional districts, including Democratic National Committeewoman Erin Bilbray, who had expressed interest in the 3rd District seat prior to her arrival in Washington.[23][24]
Democratic Super PAC House Majority PAC listed incumbent Joe Heck as one of 10 they were targeting as vulnerable incumbent Republicans in 2014, with the focus on those holding competitive seats.[25]
Primary election background
Bilbray won the Democratic primary on June 10, 2014, by a wide margin of victory.[26] As of two weeks before the primary election, her challenger, Zachary Campbell, did not have a campaign website and had not done any significant advertising or fundraising. News articles simply referred to him as Bilbray's "little-known opponent."[27] Meanwhile, Incumbent Rep. Heck ran unopposed for the Republican nomination.
Endorsements
Joe Heck
Joe Heck received the following endorsements for his 2014 re-election campaign:
Erin Bilbray
Erin Bilbray was endorsed by the following groups:[29]
- Planned Parenthood
- EMILY's List
- National Association of Letter Carriers
- Women's Campaign Fund
- American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees (AFSCME) People
Issues
Campaign themes
Joe Heck
Joe Heck listed the following issues on his campaign website:[30]
" |
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” |
—Joe Heck, Campaign website (archive) |
Erin Bilbray
Erin Bilbray listed the following themes, among others, on her campaign website:[32]
" |
|
” |
—Erin Bilbray, Campaign website (archive) |
Randy Kimmick
Randy Kimmick listed the following issues on his campaign website:[33]
" |
|
” |
—Randy Kimmick, Campaign website (archive) |
Steven St John
Steven St John listed the following issues on his campaign website:[34]
" |
I believe that it is a federal, state, county and city...it is a combined effort to create jobs.1.) We reduce taxes, reduce regulations and get government out of businesses combined with incentatves for those businesses that hire the unemployed as new employees. 2.) We expanded training classes other than leisure and hospitality and construction. 3.) We expand foreign markets for small businesses. 4.) Create, update, expand national jobs databases of jobs that are available by county or city. 5.) Subdize "mini" jobs 15 to 20 hours a week for seniors and students and a reward program for hiring long term employess as they do in Germany as a model. 6.) Diversify, significant incentatives for those businesses to move back from overseas and nationally to move to District 3 in Nevada. 7.) A new program-Co-Oping small businesses to form small groups to share the cost of doing business with understanding that they hire both the unemployed and new employees. 8.) Increasing funding for infrastructure. 9.) Increase tourism by more aggressive marketing throughout the U.S. 10.) Expand alternative energy focusing on roof top solar panels in district 3. My goal is simple. Create Jobs is my number one priority. [31] |
” |
—Steven St John, Steven St John campaign website (archive) |
Polls
General election polls
Joe Heck vs. Erin Bilbray | |||||||||||||||||||
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Poll | Joe Heck | Erin Bilbray | Undecided | Margin of Error | Sample Size | ||||||||||||||
The Mellman Group, Inc. (April 21-23, 2014) | 39% | 31% | 30% | +/-4.9 | 400 | ||||||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected] |
Key votes
Government affairs
HR 676
On July 30, 2014, the U.S. House approved a resolution 225 to 201 to sue President Barack Obama for exceeding his constitutional authority. Five Republicans—Thomas Massie of Kentucky, Paul Broun of Georgia, Scott Garrett of New Jersey, Walter Jones of North Carolina and Steve Stockman of Texas—voted with Democrats against the lawsuit.[35] Heck joined the other 224 Republicans in favor of the lawsuit. All Democrats voted against the resolution.[36][37]
Campaign contributions
Joe Heck
Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Heck's reports.[38]
Joe Heck (2014) Campaign Finance Reports | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bericht | Date Filed | Beginning Balance | Total Contributions for Reporting Period | Expenditures | Cash on Hand | ||||
April Quarterly[39] | April 15, 2013 | $231,236.32 | $169,940.84 | $(108,345.45) | $292,831.71 | ||||
July Quarterly[40] | July 15, 2013 | $292,831.71 | $431,795.36 | $(65,985.41) | $658,641.66 | ||||
October Quarterly[41] | October 15, 2013 | $658,641.66 | $242,700.25 | $(78,984.17) | $822,357.74 | ||||
Year-End Quarterly[42] | January 31, 2014 | $822,357.74 | $273,331.97 | $(75,540.11) | $1,020,149.60 | ||||
April Quarterly[43] | April 15, 2014 | $1,020,149.60 | $365,086.36 | $(146,240.62) | $1,238,995.34 | ||||
Pre-Primary[44] | May 29, 2014 | $1,238,995.34 | $243,890.00 | $(106,217.44) | $1,376,667.90 | ||||
July Quarterly[45] | July 15, 2014 | $1,376,667.90 | $143,493.29 | $(59,313.97) | $1,460,847.22 | ||||
October Quarterly[46] | October 15, 2014 | $1,460,847.22 | $441,914.65 | $(621,049.73) | $1,281,712.14 | ||||
Pre-General[47] | October 23, 2014 | $1,281,712.14 | $90,245.17 | $(281,358.60) | $1,090,598.71 | ||||
Running totals | |||||||||
$2,402,397.89 | $(1,543,035.5) |
Erin Bilbray
Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Bilbray's reports.[48]
Erin Bilbray (2014) Campaign Finance Reports | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bericht | Date Filed | Beginning Balance | Total Contributions for Reporting Period | Expenditures | Cash on Hand | ||||
October Quarterly[49] | October 14, 2013 | $0.00 | $253,158.62 | $(58,224.04) | $194,934.58 | ||||
Year-End[50] | January 31, 2014 | $194,934.58 | $164,661.65 | $(114,072.54) | $245,523.69 | ||||
April Quarterly[51] | April 15, 2014 | $245,523.69 | $271,528.27 | $(90,533.67) | $426,518.29 | ||||
Pre-Primary[52] | May 29, 2014 | $426,518.29 | $76,689.64 | $(115,831.70) | $387,376.23 | ||||
July Quarterly[53] | July 15, 2014 | $387,376.23 | $147,599.72 | $(35,833.27) | $499,142.68 | ||||
October Quarterly[54] | October 15, 2014 | $499,142.68 | $172,864.20 | $(561,896.14) | $110,110.74 | ||||
Pre-General[55] | October 23, 2014 | $110,110.74 | $31,555.70 | $(93,545.85) | $48,120.59 | ||||
Running totals | |||||||||
$1,118,057.8 | $(1,069,937.21) |
Media
SEIU
Service Employees International Union (SEIU) launched an ad campaign on July 15, 2014, targeting four Republican incumbents in the U.S. House over their chamber’s inaction on immigration reform in 2014.
The ad campaign targeted Cory Gardner and Mike Coffman (Colorado) of Colorado, David Valadao of California and Heck of Nevada with a round of Spanish-language television ads for about two weeks. The ad buy was in the mid-six figures.[56]
Erin Bilbray
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District history
Candidate ballot access |
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2012
The 3rd Congressional District of Nevada held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012, in which incumbent Joe Heck (R) won re-election. He defeated John Oceguera (D), Tom Jones (Independent American) and Jim Murphy (I) in the general election.[58] The primary was held on June 12.[59]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | John Oceguera | 42.9% | 116,823 | |
Republican | Joe Heck Incumbent | 50.4% | 137,244 | |
Independent American Party of Nevada | Tom Jones | 2.1% | 5,600 | |
Independent | Jim Murphy | 4.7% | 12,856 | |
Total Votes | 272,523 | |||
Source: Nevada Secretary of State "U.S. House of Representatives Results" |
2010
On November 2, 2010, Joseph Heck won election to the United States House. He defeated incumbent Dina Titus (D), Barry Michaels (I), Scott David Narter (Independent American) and Joseph P. Silvestri (L) in the general election.[60]
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Nevada, 2014
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2014
- Battleground Friday: Nevada's 3rd Congressional District
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2014 House Race Ratings for August 8, 2014," accessed August 25, 2014
- ↑ FairVote's Monopoly Politics, "2014 House Projections," accessed August 25, 2014
- ↑ Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2014 House Races," accessed August 25, 2014
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2014 House Race Ratings for July 26, 2014," accessed July 31, 2014
- ↑ FairVote's Monopoly Politics, "2014 House Projections," accessed August 25, 2014
- ↑ Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2014 House Races," accessed July 31, 2014
- ↑ Roll Call, "Rating Change: Nevada’s 3rd District," accessed November 24, 2014
- ↑ Las Vegas Sun, "Bilbray losing ground? Group says Heck ‘in an enviable position’," accessed November 24, 2014
- ↑ Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2014: A Tale of Two Elections," accessed November 24, 2014
- ↑ OpenSecrets, "Nevada District 03 Race, Summary Data," accessed November 24, 2014
- ↑ OpenSecrets, "Nevada District 03 Race, Outside Spending," accessed November 24, 2014
- ↑ 12.0 12.1 12.2 Las Vegas Sun, "Erin Bilbray’s once promising congressional campaign collapsed without clear strategy," accessed November 24, 2014
- ↑ Roll Call, "The 9 Biggest Candidate Flameouts," accessed November 24, 2014
- ↑ The Washington Post, "Yes, this was a GOP wave election," accessed November 24, 2014
- ↑ New York Daily News, "Republicans ride wave of anger against Obama to recapture Senate," accessed November 24, 2014
- ↑ NCSL,"State Primary Election Types," accessed April 17, 2023
- ↑ Clark County Nevada,"Election Department: How Party Affiliation Affects You in Elections," accessed April 17, 2023
- ↑ Long Distance Voter, "Voter Registration Rules," accessed January 3, 2014
- ↑ Nevada Redistricting Map, "Map," accessed September 25, 2012
- ↑ Roll Call, "DCCC Uses Inauguration to Tout Potential House Recruits," accessed January 22, 2013
- ↑ Mother Jones, "Poker Champ Frank Kassela—a Democrat for One Week—Is Running for Congress," accessed November 5, 2013
- ↑ Law Vegas Sun, "Poker player Frank Kassela drops bid for Congress," accessed March 19, 2014
- ↑ Roll Call, "DCCC Uses Inauguration to Tout Potential House Recruits," accessed January 22, 2013
- ↑ Raltson Reports, "Democratic national committeewoman exploring run against Rep. Joe Heck," accessed January 9, 2013
- ↑ Sunshine State News, "Democratic Super-PAC Targets Steve Southerland," accessed March 8, 2013
- ↑ Associated Press, "Nevada - Summary Vote Results," accessed September 10, 2014
- ↑ Las Vegas Review Journal, "Similar registration makes 3rd Congressional District race state’s most competitive," accessed May 27, 2014
- ↑ The Washington Post, "Mitt Romney returns to political stage as Republicans prepare for midterms," accessed May 27, 2014
- ↑ Erin Bilbray for Congress, "Endorsements," accessed March 26, 2014
- ↑ Joe Heck for Congress, "Issues," accessed October 2, 2014
- ↑ 31.0 31.1 31.2 31.3 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
- ↑ Erin Bilbray for Congress, "On the Issues," accessed March 25, 2014
- ↑ Kimmick for Congress, "Issues," accessed October 2, 2014
- ↑ Steven St John For Congress, "The Number 1 Priority," accessed September 15, 2014
- ↑ U.S. House, "House Resolution 676," accessed July 30, 2014
- ↑ Associated Press, "Suing Obama: GOP-led House gives the go-ahead," July 31, 2014
- ↑ Washington Post, "House clears way for lawsuit against Obama," accessed July 30, 2014
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Heck 2014 Summary reports," accessed July 22, 2013
- ↑ FEC, "April Quarterly," accessed July 22, 2013
- ↑ FEC, "July Quarterly," accessed July 22, 2013
- ↑ FEC, "October Quarterly," accessed October 25, 2013
- ↑ FEC, "Year-End Quarterly," accessed November 24, 2014
- ↑ FEC, "April Quarterly," accessed April 23, 2014
- ↑ FEC, "Pre-Primary," accessed October 23, 2014
- ↑ FEC, "July Quarterly," accessed October 23, 2014
- ↑ FEC, "October Quarterly," accessed October 23, 2014
- ↑ FEC, "Pre-General," accessed November 24, 2014
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Erin Bilbray Summary Report," accessed April 23, 2014
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Erin Bilbray October Quarterly," accessed March 19, 2014
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Erin Bilbray Year End," accessed March 19, 2014
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Erin Bilbray April Quarterly," accessed April 23, 2014
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Erin Bilbray Pre-Primary," accessed November 4, 2014
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Erin Bilbray July Quarterly," accessed November 4, 2014
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Erin Bilbray October Quarterly," accessed November 4, 2014
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Erin Bilbray Pre-General," accessed November 4, 2014
- ↑ Politico, "Service Employees International Union targets four House Republicans," accessed July 15, 2014
- ↑ YouTube, "Dedicated," accessed March 26, 2014
- ↑ Politico, "2012 Election Map, Nevada," accessed November 7, 2012
- ↑ Nevada Secretary of State, "2012 Congressional primary results," accessed May 5, 2014
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013