Virginia's 7th Congressional District election, 2018
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 15
- Early voting: N/A
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: No
- Voter ID: Photo ID required
- Poll times: 6:00 a.m. to 7:00 p.m.
2020 →
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Virginia's 7th Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: March 29, 2018 |
Primary: June 12, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: David Brat (Republican) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Virginia |
Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Toss-up Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss-up |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th Virginia elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
Abigail Spanberger (D) defeated Rep. David Brat (R) and Joe Walton (L) in the November 6, 2018, general election to represent Virginia's 7th Congressional District.
All 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives were up for election in 2018. The Democratic Party gained a net total of 40 seats, winning control of the chamber. This race was identified as a 2018 battleground that might have affected partisan control of the U.S. House in the 116th Congress. Heading into the election, the Republican Party was in the majority holding 235 seats to Democrats' 193 seats, with seven vacant seats. Democrats needed to win 23 GOP-held seats in 2018 to win control of the House. From 1918 to 2016, the president’s party lost an average of 29 seats in midterm elections.
Heading into the 2018 election, the 7th District had been held by Republicans since 1971. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) targeted the seat in 2018. The district contains portions of Henrico and Chesterfield counties, both of which voted Democratic in 2017's gubernatorial election. In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won Henrico, while Donald Trump (R) won Chesterfield by a 2-point margin.[1]
Brat was re-elected in 2016 by 15 percentage points over his Democratic opponent. He was first elected in 2014 after defeating then-House Majority Leader Eric Cantor in the Republican primary.
For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
For more information about the Republican primary, click here.
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Virginia District 7
Abigail Spanberger defeated incumbent David Brat and Joe Walton in the general election for U.S. House Virginia District 7 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Abigail Spanberger (D) | 50.3 | 176,079 | |
David Brat (R) | 48.4 | 169,295 | ||
Joe Walton (L) | 1.2 | 4,216 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 0.1 | 213 |
Total votes: 349,803 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Virginia District 7
Abigail Spanberger defeated Daniel Ward in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Virginia District 7 on June 12, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Abigail Spanberger | 72.7 | 33,210 | |
Daniel Ward | 27.3 | 12,483 |
Total votes: 45,693 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Janelle Noble (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Virginia District 7
Incumbent David Brat advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Virginia District 7 on June 12, 2018.
Candidate | ||
✔ | David Brat |
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Candidate profiles
Party: Republican
Incumbent: Yes
Political office: U.S. representative, Virginia's 7th Congressional District (Assumed office: 2014)
Biography: Brat received a Masters of Divinity degree and a Ph.D. in economics from American University. Before joining Congress, he served on the Joint Advisory Board of Economists. He also taught economics at Randolph-Macon College. In 2014, he defeated House Majority Leader Eric Cantor in Virginia's 7th District Republican primary. As of the 2018 election, he was a member of the House Freedom Caucus.[2]
- Brat said he had a record of doing what he promised he would since he took office in 2014, including voting to lower taxes and repeal Obamacare.[3]
- Brat emphasized that he was the only member of Congress with a Ph.D. in economics, saying that he was uniquely qualified to handle budgetary policy.[2]
- Brat described Spanberger's policy proposals as tax hikes, sanctuary cities, and bankrupting Medicare.[4] He contrasted this with his proposals, described as lowering taxes, reducing government involvement in healthcare, and securing borders.[3] Brat sought to connect Spanberger with House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D) during debates.
Party: Democratic
Incumbent: No
Political office: None
Biography: Spanberger received her M.B.A. from a dual-degree German-American program between the GISMA business school and Purdue University. Her professional experience includes serving as a federal law enforcement officer for the U.S. Postal Inspection Service and an operations officer for the CIA.[5]
- Spanberger emphasized her background in law enforcement and the CIA, saying she was committed to serving the public rather than partisan ideology. She said that Brat refused to work across the aisle, whereas she would.[5]
- She said she decided to run the day the House passed an Obamacare repeal measure that Brat voted for. She said she wanted to strengthen and stabilize the ACA.[6]
- Spanberger said she would hold a town hall event in each of District 7's counties during her first year in office. She said that Brat had been inaccessible to his constituents, alluding to him not holding a town hall for more than a year after a 2017 event where he said he couldn't get a word in.[6]
Party: Libertarian
Incumbent: No
Political office: County of Powhatan Board of Supervisors (2008-2011)
Biography: Walton received a B.S. in science and a Master of Public Administration from Virginia Commonwealth University (VCU). He served as vice-chair and chair of the Powhatan Board of Supervisors during his tenure. As of the 2018 election, he was pursuing a Ph.D. in public policy and administration at VCU and working as senior internal auditor of IT at VCU.[7]
- Walton said his political principles were social inclusivity and fiscal responsibility. He said these "are both sensible and centrist in a political atmosphere increasingly polarized by the two major party machines."[8]
- Walton said he had a record of effective leadership in Virginia. As examples, he said Powhatan County's credit rating was upgraded and its budgets were balanced during his tenure.[7]
- Walton described Spanberger as too liberal for the district and criticized Brat for not holding town halls for more than a year.[9] Walton said he would make constituent services and accountability his first priorities in office.[10]
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Virginia's 7th Congressional District 2018, Brat v. Spanberger v. Walton | |||||||||||||||||||
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Poll | David Brat (R) | Abigail Spanberger (D) | Joe Walton (L) | Undecided | Margin of Error | Sample Size | |||||||||||||
Christopher Newport University October 18-27, 2018 | 45% | 46% | 4% | 3% | +/-4.2 | 871 | |||||||||||||
Monmouth University September 15-24, 2018 | 47% | 47% | 1% | 6% | +/-5.4 | 329 | |||||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the question was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected] |
Virginia's 7th Congressional District 2018, Brat v. Spanberger | |||||||||||||||||||
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Poll | David Brat (R) | Abigail Spanberger (D) | Undecided | Margin of Error | Sample Size | ||||||||||||||
NYT Upshot/Siena College Oct.30-Nov. 4, 2018 | 46% | 44% | 9% | +/-4.6 | 500 | ||||||||||||||
NYT Upshot/Siena College September 9-12, 2018 | 47% | 43% | 9% | +/-5 | 501 | ||||||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the question was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected] |
Campaign finance
The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
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David Brat | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Abigail Spanberger | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Joe Walton | Libertarian Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," . This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Satellite spending
Satellite spending, commonly referred to as outside spending, describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[11][12][13]
This section lists satellite spending in this race reported by news outlets in alphabetical order. If you are aware of spending that should be included, please email us.
- Americans for Prosperity announced it would support David Brat on August 30, 2018. The group's statement said it would "fully activate its grassroots infrastructure through phone banks and neighborhood canvassing, as well as deploy targeted digital, mail, and radio advertising" for Brat and seven other endorsed House members.[14]
- The group spent about $320,000 on digital ads, canvassing, and doorhangers supporting Brat between September 10 and October 3, 2018.[15]
- The Congressional Leadership Fund, a Republican super PAC, spent $2.9 million toward the race through November 1, 2018.
- End Citizens United spent $712,000 toward the race through October. Of that, $579,000 went toward a media buy opposing Brat. The rest was spent on materials supporting Spanberger and opposing Brat.
- House Freedom Action, a super PAC, reported spending $416,000 on ads opposing Spanberger between October 1 and 3.[16]
- The super PAC House Majority PAC spent $1.2 million toward the race through November 1 on ads and mailers opposing Brat.[15]
- The League of Conservation Voters Victory Fund super PAC announced on October 1 having spent $327,000 on a TV ad opposing Brat.[17]
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[18]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[19][20][21]
Race ratings: Virginia's 7th Congressional District election, 2018 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
October 30, 2018 | October 23, 2018 | October 16, 2018 | October 9, 2018 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season. |
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+6, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 6 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Virginia's 7th Congressional District the 182nd most Republican nationally.[22]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.88. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.88 points toward that party.[23]
Noteworthy endorsements
This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.
Click the links below to see endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites.
Noteworthy general election endorsements | ||||||
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Endorsement | David Brat | Abigail Spanberger | ||||
Newspapers and editorials | ||||||
Charlottesville’s Daily Progress | ✔ | |||||
Richmond Times-Dispatch | ✔ | |||||
Culpeper Star Exponent | ✔ | |||||
Elected officials | ||||||
Pres. Donald Trump[24] | ✔ | |||||
Vice Pres. Mike Pence | ✔ | |||||
Former Pres. Barack Obama[25] | ✔ | |||||
Former Vice Pres. Joe Biden | ✔ | |||||
Former Sen. John Warner (R-Va.)[26] | ✔ |
Timeline
- November 1, 2018: A New York Times Upshot/Siena College poll found Brat and Spanberger tied within the margin of error, with 46 percent and 44 percent support, respectively.
- October 27, 2018: A poll found Spanberger and Brat tied within the margin of error, with 46 percent and 45 percent support, respectively.
- October 20, 2018: Vice President Mike Pence (R) campaigned in Virginia for Brat and other Republicans.[27]
- October 18, 2018: President Donald Trump (R) endorsed David Brat.
- October 15, 2018: Brat and Spanberger met for a debate at Germanna Community College hosted by the Culpeper Chamber of Commerce.
- October 1-3, 2018: Barack Obama and Joe Biden endorsed Abigail Spanberger; Vice President Mike Pence (R) endorsed David Brat.
- September 24, 2018: A Monmouth University poll found that, among likely voters, Brat and Spanberger were tied with 47 percent support. The margin of error was +/-5.4 percentage points.
- September 12, 2018: A poll found Brat leading by 4 points, within the poll's margin of error of 5 points.
Campaign advertisements
This section shows advertisements released in this race. Ads released by campaigns and, if applicable, satellite groups are embedded or linked below. If you are aware of advertisements that should be included, please email us.
Dave Brat
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Abigail Spanberger
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Debates and forums
- Brat and Spanberger met for a debate at Germanna Community College hosted by the Culpeper Chamber of Commerce on October 15, 2018.[28] Click here for footage of the debate.
Campaign themes
David Brat
The following were found on Brat's campaign website.
" |
HEALTHCARE FISCAL RESPONSIBLITY SOCIAL SECURITY & MEDICARE IMMIGRATION TERM LIMITS HUMAN TRAFFICKING SECOND AMENDMENT I am a strong supporter of gun rights. The right to keep and bear arms is a fundamental right enshrined in the constitution for a reason – it provides the people with the ultimate guarantee of sovereignty. I will oppose any back door attempts to confiscate guns or create a national gun registry. All too frequently, the knee-jerk reaction to tragedies by the media and chattering class is to move to restrict our rights. In Congress, I will be a steady and firm supporter of our Second Amendment rights at all times – not just when it is convenient. Our founding documents make it clear that our inalienable rights come from God and that the job of the government is to ensure and protect those God-given rights. I intend to keep it that way. UPHOLD HUMAN LIFE EDUCATION NATIONAL SECURITY/FOREIGN POLICY FEDERAL RESERVE ENERGY TENTH AMENDMENT INDIVIDUAL FREEDOMS |
” |
—David Brat’s campaign website (2018)[30] |
Abigail Spanberger
The following were found on Spanberger's campaign website.
" |
HEALTHCARE I support Medicare, Medicaid, and CHIP and the vital resources they provide to our seniors and most vulnerable citizens and children. I also support protecting women’s access to reproductive healthcare, including federal funding to Planned Parenthood and other providers that ensure essential healthcare to women and men. GUN VIOLENCE PREVENTION Addressing gun violence and protecting lives should not be a political issue; it is a public safety issue. I support background checks for all firearm purchases, regardless of where or from whom the purchases are made. States that require background checks for all purchases have fewer suicides by gun, fewer law enforcement officers shot and killed, and fewer women killed by an intimate partner. Ninety four percent of Americans support background checks for all firearms purchases, as well as the Law Enforcement Partnership to Prevent Gun Violence and the Virginia Association of Chiefs of Police. I support common sense gun policy, such as HR 2598, the Gun Violence Restraining Order Act of 2017. The implementation of Gun Violence Restraining Orders allow family, friends, and law enforcement to help people facing crisis who, with a firearm in their possession, might be a risk to themselves or others. I support ensuring that states have the ability to provide current information to the NICs database to ensure informed background checks, and I support funding the research of gun violence. I also support the proposed HR 5087, the Assault Weapons Ban of 2018. Thoughts and prayers are not enough. Members of Congress must have the courage to address this problem and implement policies that will help keep our children and communities safe. PROTECTING SOCIAL SECURITY AND MEDICARE JOBS AND ECONOMY I also support organized labor, as unions have historically been a driver of economic stability within America’s middle class. This has been true for my own family, as my grandfather, a member of the International Union of Painters and Allied Trades, was able to raise his four children as a young widower because of the stability his union employment provided. As we see a changing landscape of employment opportunities, union apprenticeship programs remain an invaluable asset as they train the next generation of skilled workers. EDUCATION TAX REFORM AND THE BUDGET NATIONAL SECURITY CIVIL RIGHTS AND EQUALITY We must pursue criminal justice reform. We are five percent of the world’s population, but have 25 percent of the world’s prisoners. We need criminal justice reform to ensure that our justice system is fairly sentencing offenders regardless of race or economic status, and that we’re addressing issues related to addiction in our jails and prisons. I also support bolstering reentry efforts, which reduce recidivism and ensure that those who have paid their debt to society have the knowledge and resources necessary to become employed and engaged community members. CAMPAIGN FINANCE REFORM AND GERRYMANDERING As a Virginian, I’ve seen the negative effects of gerrymandering. We need fairly-drawn, non-partisan districts to ensure the health of our representative democracy. ENVIRONMENT TECHNOLOGY AND INTERNET FIGHTING FOR VETERANS DRUG AND ADDICTION CRISIS |
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—Abigail Spanberger’s campaign website (2018)[31] |
Noteworthy events
U.S. Postal Service apologizes for releasing confidential Spanberger file
The U.S. Postal Service apologized for releasing the confidential personnel file (called an SF-86) of Abigail Spanberger on August 30, 2018. Unredacted copies of Spanberger's files were released via a Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) request that was filed by America Rising, an opposition research organization. America Rising then shared the file with the Congressional Leadership Fund (CLF), which CNBC reported "used the file for political attacks against Spanberger."[32][33]
Chief executive of America Rising Joe Pounder said, “America Rising never published her personal information and has no interest in it, so it is glad to return the documents to the Post office for their redaction.”[34] An attorney for the CLF said the group obtained the information through an FOIA request, and said, "As is its right, CLF therefore will continue to disseminate this information through all available means so that voters can reach an informed conclusion regarding their choice at the polls on November 6, 2018."[35]
The U.S. Office of Personnel Management states that some information from an SF-86 may be released to “the news media or the general public,” but that they have to be limited to “factual information the disclosure of which would be in the public interest and which would not constitute an unwarranted invasion of personal privacy.”[36] Spanberger's entire file was released by the Postal Service.
David Partenheimer, a Postal Service spokesman, said in a statement, "We take full responsibility for this unfortunate error, and we have taken immediate steps to ensure this will not happen again. The privacy and security of personal information is of utmost importance to the Postal Service. The Postal Service offers our sincere apology to Ms. Spanberger, and we will request the return of the information which we mistakenly disclosed."[34]
Social media
Twitter accounts
Tweets by David Brat Tweets by Abigail Spanberger
Facebook accounts
Click the icons below to visit the candidates' Facebook pages.
District history
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent David Brat (R) defeated Eileen Bedell (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Neither candidate faced an opponent at the party nominating conventions.[37]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | David Brat Incumbent | 57.5% | 218,057 | |
Democratic | Eileen Bedell | 42.2% | 160,159 | |
K.A. | Write-in | 0.2% | 947 | |
Total Votes | 379,163 | |||
Source: Virginia Department of Elections |
2014
The 7th Congressional District of Virginia held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. David Brat (R) defeated Jack Trammell (D) and James Carr (L) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
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Republican | David Brat | 60.8% | 148,026 | |
Democratic | Jack Trammell | 36.9% | 89,914 | |
Libertarian | James Carr | 2.1% | 5,086 | |
K.A. | Write-in | 0.1% | 325 | |
Total Votes | 243,351 | |||
Source: Virginia Department of Elections |
2012
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
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Democratic | E. Wayne Powell | 41.4% | 158,012 | |
Republican | Eric Cantor Incumbent | 58.4% | 222,983 | |
Write-In | K.A. | 0.2% | 914 | |
Total Votes | 381,909 | |||
Source: Virginia State Board of Elections "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election" |
2010
On November 2, 2010, Eric Cantor won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Rick E. Waugh, Jr. (D) and Floyd C. Bayne (G) in the general election.[38]
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
Five of 133 Virginia counties—3.8 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
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County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
Buckingham County, Virginia | 11.28% | 2.43% | 0.87% | ||||
Caroline County, Virginia | 5.02% | 8.24% | 11.97% | ||||
Essex County, Virginia | 2.14% | 7.30% | 10.35% | ||||
Nelson County, Virginia | 5.59% | 2.72% | 9.15% | ||||
Westmoreland County, Virginia | 7.14% | 6.95% | 10.24% |
Note: Although it is highlighted in the map above, the city of Chesapeake is not considered a county and not included in our calculations as such.
In the 2016 presidential election, Virginia was a battleground state. Hillary Clinton (D) won Virginia with 49.7 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 44.4 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Virginia voted Democratic 56.67 percent of the time and Republican 43.33 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Virginia voted Democratic three times (2008, 2012, and 2016) and Republican two times (2000 and 2004).
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Virginia heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Democrats held both U.S. Senate seats in Virginia.
- Republicans held seven of 11 U.S. House seats in Virginia.
State executives
- As of May 2018, Democrats held four of 12 state executive positions and the remaining positions were officially nonpartisan.
- The governor of Virginia was Democrat Ralph Northam. The state held elections for governor and lieutenant governor in 2021.
State legislature
- Republicans controlled both chambers of the Virginia General Assembly. They had a 50-49 majority in the state House and a 21-19 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- Virginia was under divided government, meaning that the two parties shared control of the state government. Ralph Northam (D) served as governor, while Republicans controlled the state legislature.
2018 elections
- See also: Virginia elections, 2018
Virginia held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- One U.S. Senate seat
- 11 U.S. House seats
- One state House seat
- Municipal elections in Chesapeake, Norfolk, and Virginia Beach
Demographics
Demographic data for Virginia | ||
---|---|---|
Virginia | U.S. | |
Total population: | 8,367,587 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 39,490 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 69% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 19.2% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 6% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 0.3% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 3.2% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 8.6% | 17.1% |
Bildung | ||
High school graduation rate: | 88.3% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 36.3% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $65,015 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 13% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Virginia. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
As of July 2016, Virginia's three largest cities were Virginia Beach (pop. est. 450,435), Norfolk (pop. est. 244,703), and Chesapeake (pop. est. 240,397).[39][40]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Virginia from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Virginia State Board of Elections.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Virginia every year from 2000 to 2016.
Election results (President of the United States), Virginia 2000-2016 | |||||
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Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49.7% | Donald Trump | 44.4% | 5.3% |
2012 | Barack Obama | 51.1% | Mitt Romney | 47.2% | 3.9% |
2008 | Barack Obama | 52.6% | John McCain | 46.3% | 6.3% |
2004 | George W. Bush | 53.7% | John Kerry | 45.5% | 8.2% |
2000 | George W. Bush | 52.5% | Al Gore | 44.4% | 12.0% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Virginia from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
Election results (U.S. Senator), Virginia 2000-2016 | |||||
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Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014 | Mark Warner | 49.1% | Ed Gillespie | 48.3% | 0.8% |
2012 | Tim Kaine | 52.8% | George Allen | 46.9% | 5.9% |
2008 | Mark Warner | 65.0% | Jim Gilmore | 33.7% | 31.3% |
2006 | Jim Webb (Virginia) | 49.6% | George Allen | 49.2% | 0.4% |
2002 | John Warner | 82.6% | Nancy B. Spannaus (Independent) | 9.7% | 72.9% |
2000 | George Allen | 52.3% | Chuck Robb | 47.7% | 4.6% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Virginia.
Election results (Governor), Virginia 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2017 | Ralph Northam | 53.9% | Ed Gillespie | 45.0% | 8.9% |
2013 | Terry McAuliffe | 47.8% | Ken Cuccinelli | 45.2% | 2.6% |
2009 | Bob McDonnell | 58.6% | Creigh Deeds | 41.3% | 17.3% |
2005 | Tim Kaine | 51.7% | Jerry Kilgore | 46.0% | 5.7% |
2001 | Mark Warner | 52.2% | Mark Earley | 47.0% | 5.2% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Virginia in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Virginia Party Control: 1992-2024
Four years of Democratic trifectas • Four years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
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Governor | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R |
Senate | D | D | D | D | S | S | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D |
House | D | D | D | D | D | D | S | S | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | D |
See also
- Virginia's 7th Congressional District election (June 12, 2018 Democratic primary)
- Virginia's 7th Congressional District election (June 12, 2018 Republican primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections in Virginia, 2018
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ The Economist, "Could Democrats take Virginia’s 7th district?" May 22, 2018
- ↑ 2.0 2.1 Dave Brat 2018 campaign website, "Meet Dave," accessed August 20, 2018
- ↑ 3.0 3.1 NBC12, "Full interview with Dave Brat," accessed September 10, 2018
- ↑ YouTube, "Nothing," September 17, 2018
- ↑ 5.0 5.1 Abigail Spanberger 2018 campaign website, "Meet Abigail," accessed August 20, 2018
- ↑ 6.0 6.1 NBC12, "Full interview with Abigail Spanberger," accessed September 10, 2018
- ↑ 7.0 7.1 Joe Walton's 2018 campaign website, "Bio," accessed November 1, 2018
- ↑ Joe Walton's 2018 campaign website, "09/03/18 Campaign Announcement: 60 Days Until Election Day," September 3, 2018
- ↑ Chesterfield Observer, "Libertarian Joe Walton goes up against Brat, Spanberger," October 17, 2018
- ↑ Fredericksburg.com, "Spanberger, Walton challenge incumbent Brat in 7th District congressional race," October 31, 2018
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed September 22, 2015
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed September 22, 2015
- ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," November 6, 2015
- ↑ Americans for Prosperity, "AFP Announces Support for U.S. House of Representatives Policy Champions," August 30, 2018
- ↑ 15.0 15.1 15.2 ProPublica, "Virginia’s 7th District House Race - 2018 cycle," accessed November 2, 2018
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "FILING FEC-1265492, House Freedom Action," accessed October 10, 2018
- ↑ League of Conservation Voters, "Brat has consistently sided with corporate polluters, compromising public health & Virginia’s environment," October 1, 2018
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Twitter, "Donald J. Trump," October 18, 2018
- ↑ The Washington Post, "Obama endorses three Democrats running for Congress in Virginia," October 1, 2018
- ↑ Richmond Times-Dispatch, "Former Sen. John Warner endorses Spanberger in contest against Brat," November 2, 2018
- ↑ The Washington Post, "Pence comes to Richmond on Saturday for three GOP congressional candidates," October 18, 2018
- ↑ Richmond Times-Dispatch, "Brat and Spanberger argue taxes, health care and immigration in what may be only debate," October 15, 2018
- ↑ 29.0 29.1 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
- ↑ David Brat’s campaign website, “Issues,” accessed September 10, 2018
- ↑ Abigail Spanberger’s campaign website, “Issues,” accessed September 10, 2018
- ↑ CNBC, "US Postal Service takes the blame for releasing Democratic House candidate’s sensitive personal data," Updated August 31, 2018
- ↑ Washington Post, "The case of the unredacted Spanberger file," August 30, 2018
- ↑ 34.0 34.1 The New York Times, "Postal Service Improperly Divulged Spanberger’s Sensitive National Security File, and Asks for It Back," August 30, 2018
- ↑ The Hill, "Post Office says it 'deeply regrets' exposing personnel file of Dem candidate," August 30, 2018
- ↑ U.S. Office of Personnel Management, "QUESTIONNAIRE FOR NATIONAL SECURITY POSITIONS," accessed August 31, 2018
- ↑ Virginia Department of Elections, "List of Candidates," accessed September 8, 2016
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ Virginia Demographics, "Virginia Cities by Population," accessed September 3, 2018
- ↑ U.S. Census Bureau, "Quickfacts Virginia," accessed September 3, 2018
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