Madhya Pradesh Exit Polls 2024 Live Updates: BJP likely to repeat clean sweep, bag all 29 seats

The final phase of the 2024 Lok Sabha elections in India is set to conclude on June 1, 2024, with Madhya Pradesh playing a pivotal role in this phase. The 2024 Indian general election in Madhya Pradesh was held in four phases between April 19 and May 13, 2024, to elect 29 members of the 18th Lok Sabha. The Election Commission reported an average voter turnout of 65% across the state. Phase-4, dominated by Neemuch Malwa, recorded the highest turnout at 71%, while Phase-2, covering Baghelkhand and Bundelkhand, saw the lowest at 58.59%.

According to the latest exit polls, Axis My India predicts that the BJP will secure between 28 and 29 seats, while the Congress may obtain 0 to 1 seat. Similarly, C-Voter exit polls forecast that the BJP will win around 26 to 28 seats, with the Congress expected to secure 1 to 3 seats. Meanwhile, Today's Chanakya suggests a strong performance for the BJP, projecting that they will achieve 29 seats, leaving the Congress with no seats. These exit poll predictions indicate a strong showing for the BJP, similar to their previous success in the 2019 elections.

Madhya Pradesh Exit Polls 2024

TimesNow ETG
Seat Share
BJP: 29
Cong: 0
Other: 0

India Today Axis My India
Vote Share Projection
BJP: 61%
Cong: 33%
Other: 6%

Seat Share Projections
NDA: 28-29
INDIA: 0-1
Other: 0-0

India News - D-Dynamics
BJP: 28
India - 1
Others - 0

Jan ki baat
BJP: 28
Cong: 1

Today's Chanakya
BJP: 29
Congress: 0


PMARQ
BJP: 28
Congress: 1

Matrize
BJP: 28
Congress: 1

Poll of polls
NDA: 28
INDIA bloc: 1

Poll of Polls: BJP-Led NDA Poised for Landslide Victory in Lok Sabha Elections

The latest exit polls indicate a significant victory for the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. Across various sources, the NDA is projected to secure between 342 and 392 seats, ensuring a dominant position in the next parliamentary session. The INDIA bloc, consisting of Congress, Aam Aadmi Party, the Communist Party of India, and several regional parties, is expected to win between 118 and 169 seats, while other parties may secure 10 to 48 seats.

Comprehensive Exit Poll Predictions
According to Republic Bharat-Matrize, the NDA is likely to win 353-368 seats, while the INDIA bloc is projected to secure 118-133 seats. Other parties are expected to win 43-48 seats.

India News D Dynamics exit polls predict that the NDA will get 371 seats, with the INDIA bloc obtaining 125-133 seats and other candidates securing 30 seats.

Broad Consensus Among Polls
Republic Bharat-P Marq forecasts 359 seats for the NDA, 154 for the INDIA bloc, and 30 for others.

Jan Ki Baat's exit poll suggests the NDA will win 362-392 seats, with the INDIA bloc getting 141-161 seats and others securing 10-20 seats.

Varied Estimates but Clear Majority
News Nation's exit poll predicts 342-378 seats for the NDA and 153-169 seats for the INDIA bloc. NDTV India - Jan Ki Baat forecasts 365 seats for the NDA, 125 for the INDIA bloc, and 36 for other parties.

Overall, the six exit polls suggest that while the BJP-led NDA will secure a significant victory with at least 350 seats, it will not surpass the 400-seat milestone.

Madhya Pradesh Exit Polls 2024: High-Profile Constituencies

Several constituencies in Madhya Pradesh feature notable political figures:

• Guna: BJP's Jyotiraditya Scindia faces Congress' Rao Yadvendra Singh.
• Vidisha: Shivraj Singh Chouhan (BJP) contests against Pratap Bhanu Sharma (Congress).
• Rajgarh: Congress veteran Digvijaya Singh takes on BJP's Rodmal Nagar.
• Chhindwara: Nakul Nath (Congress) competes against Vivek Bunty Sahu (BJP).
• Sidhi: BJP's Dr Rajesh Mishra faces Congress' Kamleshwar Patel.
• Satna: BJP's Ganesh Singh is up against Congress' Siddharth Shukla Kushwaha.
• Mandla: BJP's Faggan Singh Kulaste competes against Congress' Omkar Singh Markam.
• Gwalior: Bharat Singh Kushwaha (BJP) contests Praveen Pathak (Congress).

Madhya Pradesh Exit Polls 2024: Exit Polls Awaited

As the polling concludes in the last phase, all eyes are set on the exit poll predictions. Exit polls are post-election surveys conducted by various agencies to gauge public sentiment and electoral trends. These predictions are based on voter feedback collected after they cast their votes.

Madhya Pradesh Exit Polls 2024: Historical Context of Exit Polls

Looking back at past elections, exit polls have often provided valuable insights into the possible outcomes before the official results are declared. In the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, India Today-Axis My India and Today’s Chanakya were among the most accurate in predicting the seats for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) and the United Progressive Alliance (UPA).

Madhya Pradesh Exit Polls 2024: Precedent of Accurate Predictions

In 2014, exit polls correctly predicted the BJP-led NDA's victory over the Congress-led UPA. However, in 2004, all exit polls failed to predict the UPA's win over the NDA, highlighting the unpredictability of Indian elections.

Madhya Pradesh Exit Polls 2024: Madhya Pradesh's Political Landscape

Madhya Pradesh has been a battleground for the BJP and the Congress, with frequent shifts in power. After the BJP's decisive victory in the state assembly elections last year, the party appears to be in a strong position. Meanwhile, the Congress, supported by the newly formed I.N.D.I.A alliance, aims for a resurgence.

Madhya Pradesh Exit Polls 2024: Exit Polls and Actual Results: A Recap of past election predictions

As the largest democracy in the world, India's elections are closely watched, with exit polls providing valuable insights into possible outcomes. Let's take a look at how accurate these predictions have been in recent years.

Madhya Pradesh Exit Polls 2024: 2019 Lok Sabha Elections

Exit Polls: Various exit polls predicted a comfortable win for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), led by the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). India Today-Axis My India and Today’s Chanakya were among the most accurate, predicting over 350 seats for the NDA.

Actual Results: The NDA secured 353 seats, with the BJP alone winning 303 seats. The United Progressive Alliance (UPA) managed only 91 seats, with the Congress winning 52. Most exit polls underestimated the NDA's actual tally.

In Madhya Pradesh, BJP managed to retain 28 seats, while INC managed to retain one seat, in Chhindwara.

Madhya Pradesh Exit Polls 2024: 2014 Lok Sabha Elections

Exit Polls: In 2014, most exit polls correctly predicted the BJP-led NDA's victory over the Congress-led UPA. The BJP won an absolute majority with 282 seats.

Actual Results: The NDA secured 336 seats, with the BJP alone winning 282 seats. The UPA managed only 66 seats.

Madhya Pradesh Exit Polls 2024: Past Trends and Accuracy

2009 Elections: Exit polls in 2009 also underestimated the UPA's performance, which ended up winning 262 seats despite predictions of around 205 seats.

2004 Elections: In 2004, all exit polls predicted a win for the NDA, but the UPA emerged victorious.

Madhya Pradesh Exit Polls 2024: State Assembly Elections in 2023

Madhya Pradesh: Exit polls for the 2023 Assembly elections in Madhya Pradesh predicted a landslide victory for the BJP. However, the actual results saw the BJP winning with a two-thirds majority, securing 163 seats, while the Congress managed only 66 seats.