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    ASSEMBLY ELECTION RESULTS FIIS LARGECAPS

    ETMarkets Smart Talk: India's economy poised for strong growth in second half of 2024, market outlook cautious: Vipul Bhowar

    India's economy is expected to experience strong growth in the second half of 2024. This growth will be fuelled by robust public investment and resilient private consumption, supported by strong domestic factors, decreasing inflation, and favourable fiscal and monetary policies.

    Rahul Shah on 2 stocks that can be continuous compounder for next 2-3 years

    ​They are still invested and their thought is that India will continue to do well and so they think that I think the banking which has been in terms of valuation cheaper than vis-a-vis a lot of other sectors and sector has been underperformer except for PSU banks.

    ETMarkets Smart Talk: There might be a renewed focus on social expenditure in final Budget 2024: Arun Kumar Poddar

    While we strive to reduce our reliance on FIIs, our Systematic Investment Plan (SIP) contributions are reaching record highs, reflecting growing confidence in the Indian markets.

    Post Nifty@24000, is it time for profit-booking? Sunil Subramaniam answers

    The widening gap in valuations between the mid-cap as well as the small cap pack and the largecap pack means that this is a wonderful opportunity to rotate it and bring down the average one-year forward PE of the portfolio by buying good quality, solid, robust largecaps, says Sunil Subramaniam.

    As election dust settles, making a come back along with bulls: 4 largecap stocks from different sectors with upside potential of up to 21 %

    As the bulls move from state of control to absolute control of the street, there are a couple of things which one needs to remember. One of the things which they throw out of the window is the “sense of risk”. It is this risk which needs to be given due importance in such time because even in raging bulls markets, there are periods of correction which come unannounced. We are not saying that a correction will come any time soon given the fact that the US Fed is clearly indicating that the interest rate will come down. But given the fact that valuations are still high, it would be better that one should be more cautiously bullish and more selective when putting in fresh money into stocks.

    Nifty crash worst single-day fall since Covid days. What should investors do?

    The possibility of a bear market looms if NDA's seat tally falls short, shifting focus to economic growth and earnings. A hung parliament may trigger a market downturn before investors refocus on financial indicators.

    • Stay invested irrespective of election outcome: Ravi Dharamshi

      I do not think budget is likely to be a big event. I think there are a lot of fears about capital gains tax. So, from that perspective I think the agenda of the government is pretty well known. With a three years’ perspective I do not think there is going to be any major change in the budget.

      Is it time to book profits in 'Modi stocks'? Sandip Sabharwal answers

      If you have been always wanting to sell something and you could not get the opportunity, that is always the case, you should always do that. But I think it is foolish to unnecessarily increase cash in the assumption that you will want to buy cheaper at this point of time because if the strength of the mandate is as strong as what it reflects, then I think there will be continuity, there will be strong economic growth over the next few years.

      Thematic focus on infra, renewables and real estate likely to continue: Harsh Gupta Madhusudan

      Chinese valuations are roughly half of India's, but Chinese earnings growth is also significantly lower. The China trade is more tactical and opportunistic.

      2 stock recommendations from Santosh Meena

      Even if the BJP comes with a majority, there will be a risk of some profit booking if we look at the 2019 outcome. So, ahead of the actual outcome, the market rallied after the exit poll, but on the day of actual results, the market witnessed profit booking from the higher levels so that could be the case, says Santosh Meena, HoR, Swastika Investmart.

      What strategy should traders use ahead of poll results? Rohit Srivastava explains

      On a one-day basis, the market would go the other way if the numbers are not meeting expectations and so till the actual numbers really come out, markets would remain jittery, that is the main point.

      Is it right time to take some chips off the table on Zomato? Sandip Sabharwal answers

      ​So, at that time I thought it was a time to get cautious. So, the stock has just fallen from 190 to 180 after that and any increase in competition in a segment where as it is the existing players are making losses will be a negative development.

      3 sectors Varun Saboo is bullish on for near term

      In a scenario where we witness continuity in the government, it's likely that FIIs will return. They've been selling and feeling the impact of it, thus being major underperformers compared to domestic mutual funds or overall domestic funds during this rally.

      Auto sector to remain an outperformer for next 2 years: Harsha Upadhyaya

      ​However, if you look at the next four trading sessions, they are quite eventful. Tomorrow is expiry. Day after tomorrow is a deadline for MSCI rebalancing. We have exit poll results coming in before the market starts on Monday and then we have the election outcome coming the next day.

      ETMarkets Smart Talk: Chemicals & CRAMS sectors likely to get re-rated in FY25: Nimesh Chandan

      Nimesh Chandan discusses FII selling, Nifty earnings estimates stability, and the potential for continued growth in the Real Estate sector post-election results. Chandan further says that largecap stocks currently offer a better risk-to-reward ratio compared to midcaps and smallcaps. He says: " On the business side, we expect chemicals and CRAMS(Contract research and manufacturing services) sectors, which has been an underperformer for the past few years, to get re-rated as business improves this year."

      Markets to get surprised on the positive side if the NDA numbers are closer to 400: Manish Sonthalia

      Manish Sonthalia, CIO at Emkay Investment Manager, discusses potential dark horses in commodities, specifically metal, and highlights sectors like public sector units, BFSI, banks, and IT performing well this year. sonthalia says everything seems to be priced into perfection or more than perfection when it comes to the extreme short term or even the short term.

      2 large-cap stocks Sandip Sabharwal is bullish on for near term

      I think when I am saying that you should have some cash at that time, recommending stocks to buy is tough. But I think where people should be looking at is trying to buy into I think consumer names which have not participated so much and which will actually outperform if there is a correction also.

      Feroze Azeez on what one should bet on with a 1-year, 3-year and five-year horizon

      Feroze Azeez, Deputy CEO of Anand Rathi Wealth Limited, provides insights on market triggers, FII positioning, earnings growth, valuations, investor sentiment, and recommended sectors for investment, including financial services, rail and highways, and renewable energy. Azeez also points out that earnings have doubled in the five-year fiscal, which is a great five-year earning cycle.

      Volatility has risen as Lok Sabha Elections 2024 fever grips the stock market; will polls halt the rally?

      Volatility has risen in recent weeks as election fever grips the market. The heightened volatility stems from concerns over lower voter turnout in the ongoing general elections, potentially indicating an unfavourable verdict for the ruling party. Is this market nervousness a sign of future trends or a temporary blip before equities resume their upward journey?

      ETMarkets Smart Talk: 3 reasons why FIIs are turning net sellers after putting Rs 2 trn in FY24: Pradeep Gupta

      Pradeep Gupta of Anand Rathi Group discusses FIIs turning net sellers in India due to various global uncertainties and market volatility, emphasizing the importance of long-term strategic decisions in an interview with ETMarkets. Gupta says: "On a risk-adjusted basis, there is equal positivity on large and small cap indices, with slightly more caution on the mid-cap segment."

      JP Morgan’s Rajiv Batra on why FIIs are selling and how to position portfolio now

      Rajiv Batra of JP Morgan discusses the positive macroeconomic indicators in India, including PMI prints, the Sagar Mala initiative for waterways, and upgraded GDP forecasts. He highlights the growth potential in sectors like water transportation and domestic manufacturing. Batra says: "We are much more positioned on domestic cyclicals, domestic demand, which keeps us overweight on still financials, autos and real estate overall."

      Waiting to buy the dip? Wait for further decline: Sunil Subramaniam

      Subramaniam suggests buying quality stocks during market dips caused by FII volatility. He highlights the importance of managing portfolio volatility, with opportunities in largecaps for short-term gains and small/midcaps for longer-term growth.

      Low voter turnout, high VIX! Why stock investors saw Rs 11 lakh crore wealth erosion in 3 days

      Stock market reacts to low voter turnout speculation in Lok Sabha election. Nifty falls below 50-DMA, Sensex loses 1,000 points, BSE-listed stocks lose Rs 11 lakh crore in three days. India VIX surges, FIIs sell. Valuation concerns and Q4 earnings disappoint.

      Iran-Israel war or election jitters? Why FIIs decamped with Rs 20,000 crore in 4 days

      FIIs withdrew Rs 20,000 crore during Lok Sabha elections and Q4 earnings amid stress from rising bond yields, Iran-Israel war, and India-Mauritius tax tweak. Impact on oil prices and US Fed rate cuts outlook are also significant factors.

      We are in a buy-on-pullbacks rather than sell-on-rallies market but avoid sugar stocks: Sandip Sabharwal

      “Eventually, there will be a rethink on Govt’s latest ethanol directive, and to that extent, the stronger sugar companies will come back because otherwise many of the companies will go into deep losses. They will not be able to pay farmers and the entire equation for the government will also go for a toss. So wait and watch.”

      Don’t run after all the underdogs; PSU banks are where the juice is: Digant Haria

      “Just because BJP has won the elections and the probability of them coming back with a bang in May is extremely high, it does not make sense to buy the stocks where the results will not be there because this market is in a phase where there is a lot of rotation happening. If the results do not follow through, you are going to be disappointed.”

      Late to the market party ? Madhu Kela on how you can make reasonable returns

      “I am sure people who are joining the party late, either will have to take higher risk or will have to commit the money for a longer period of time; there is no other way to make money. So, I am sure people who are coming in today have to have a longer time frame to make reasonable returns.”

      Enjoy the 5-10-20 year ride; don’t go around tweeting one day’s return on one stock: Samir Arora

      “Some of the largecaps have been doing well otherwise, for example the consumer stocks like Levers. Then there are the IT stocks and the financial stocks. Broadly, we believe that the financial stocks have actually been delivering but they have not gone up and so they shall outperform. That is we hope and pray and position ourselves for.”

      Assembly election result: FII dollars may power megacap stocks to beat madcap rally

      FIIs who had been bothered by the Indian market’s rich valuations and were hoping for a correction to build more substantial positions in the market may see those hopes evaporating, leaving them with the unsavory choice of either staying out of a market that may not correct or may continue to do well or entering the market at current levels despite their reservations about the market’s valuations in general, Kotak Equities said.

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