BANK STOCKS OUTLOOK
F&O Talk | Caution suggested amid record highs, focus on value opportunities: Sahaj Agarwal of Kotak Securities
The Indian equity market witnessed a positive week as both the Nifty 50 and Bank Nifty indices ended in the green. The Nifty 50 gained 1.3% to close at 24,323, while the Bank Nifty rallied 0.61% to settle at 52,660.
PSU banks will continue to ride on strong loan growth & benign credit cycle in FY25: Rahul Malani
PSU banks are currently showing strong loan growth compared to private peers. PNB reported a significant increase in loan growth from the previous quarter. According to Rahul Malani of Sharekhan, analysts foresee a positive trajectory for PSU banks driven by solid loan growth and a favorable credit environment in FY25.
Pankaj Pandey on 3 stocks to bet on from pharma sector
We have been very selective in terms of chasing stocks because our sense is that you need to see stocks for a considerable period of time before we recommend. IREDA is what we have sort of recommended because our sense is that this one PSU AAA rated can deliver 30% kind of AUM growth while valuations are on a higher side, but we like the opportunity size.
ETMarkets Smart Talk: India's economy poised for strong growth in second half of 2024, market outlook cautious: Vipul Bhowar
India's economy is expected to experience strong growth in the second half of 2024. This growth will be fuelled by robust public investment and resilient private consumption, supported by strong domestic factors, decreasing inflation, and favourable fiscal and monetary policies.
Japan's main stock indexes at record closing highs as banks, autos and techs rise
Japan's Topix and Nikkei hit record highs, led by gains in automakers, banks, and tech firms like Toyota, Honda, Mitsubishi UFJ, Advantest, and SoftBank. Yugo Tsuboi cited interest rates, a weak yen, and economic improvement. The TSE’s prime market saw 59% of stocks rise, with a positive corporate outlook expected, according to Daiwa Securities.
Nifty bull case target at 27K, says Axis Securities; bets on HDFC Bank, Bharti Airtel, others
Axis Securities expects reduced volatility and a smooth US market landing, targeting Nifty at 27,000 for March 2025 (bull case) and 24,600 (base case). They recommend stocks like HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Coal India, Nestle India, SBI, HCL Tech, Federal Bank, Varun Beverages, TVS Motors, Bharti Airtel, among others.
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Buy the dip in Titagarh Rail as share price can touch Rs 2,000 in near term: Kunal Shah
"The Nifty index experienced a strong momentum rally over the past 3-4 days, followed by some profit booking at higher levels. The immediate resistance stands at 24,200, and a sustained move above this level will confirm the continuation of the ongoing uptrend."
Nifty charts projecting 25,200 by December, says ICICI Securities. Top 94 stock picks
ICICI Securities' technical analysis forecasts Nifty reaching 25,200 by December 2024, supported strongly at 22,200. Midcaps and smallcaps indices are in a structural uptrend, expected to gain over 16% by year-end.
Sandip Sabharwal on 4 bank stocks that may outperform the market
There is not much change in what I thought could do well. So, I think as the only basket where people can reconsider potentially is on the consumption side where if there are normal monsoons and there are some tax sops, so that is where some sort of recovery could play out.
Sentiment is changing, FIIs could push market rally further, says Chandan Taparia of Motilal Oswal
FIIs covering short positions in the Indian market may drive a potential rally, supported by DIIs and SIP. Amidst profit booking in FMCG stocks, focusing on rural demand and monsoon impact could offer buying opportunities. Private banks and financial companies show promising trends, while Nifty Auto and telecom sectors present favorable trading prospects.
RVNL, Suzlon among top 3 stock ideas of the week from Rupak De
Nifty has been favouring non-directional trades for the last few days. But the FII long-short ratio suggests that the FII short percentage in index futures has come down from 87% at the start of the series to 43% in the previous session. This trend hints at a significant short unwinding, says Rupak De.
Can private bank stocks lead from the front now?
Bank Nifty reached a new high of 51,957 due to improved operational efficiencies, implementation of the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code, and cautious lending practices by PSU banks. This sparked a rally in share prices, shifting the spotlight from private banks.
Nifty in a narrow range between 23,300-23,500. How to trade this week
"For Nifty Bank, one should wait for a breakout confirmation above the 50,200 mark. If the index breaks above 50,200, it will open the path to 51,000 on the upside, with strong support at 49,800."
5 stocks Sandip Sabharwal is bullish on from infra sector
I would be quite bullish on the sugar stock, especially those which have a sugar plus ethanol story going for them. And the other companies which also have a power story, but not to a very great extent. So main issue ethanol and the government statements post elections and government formation have been extremely constructive from the ethanol side.
Chakri Lokapriya's top midcap stock picks for near term
I think defence, semiconductor, industrial, infra are easy reforms for the current government in the current shape to continue because even the allies, for instance, Naidu is a very reform-oriented person.
Should investors buy select IT and FMCG stocks? Anand Tandon answers
The crop output is likely to be better and perhaps with some support from the government we are likely to get better realisations as well. So, as a combination, I expect to see a significant increase in rural demand coming through and therefore, you are looking for direct farm plays as well as indirect ways of looking at where rural consumption can actually increase demand.
Nifty 50 could scale new peak this week, believes Rajesh Palviya
There was uncertainty when the counting was happening. So, most of the bags moved to the defensive sector and in the defensive sector FMCG, pharma, these two pockets were majorly focused by the market participants.
3 stocks Viral Shah is bullish on from NBFC sector
I think a lot of analysts and investors have kind of built this in in their numbers and the impact is going to be actually gradual. Given that these are two-three years fixed rate loans, so the impact is always on an incremental basis. So, it will take two to three years for it to play out fully in terms of the financials. And the quantum of it also would vary. If it is a 50 or 100 base points kind of a rate cut, in the kind of the construct of the ROAs that MFIs make, it should be easily digestible.
Valuations in PSU capital goods, infra & defence remain expensive: Pratik Gupta
The macro environment is extremely stable, whether it is the fiscal deficit, the current account deficit, inflation, forex reserves, so that is really one of the big attractions for both global as well as domestic investors.
F&O Talk | India VIX may surge to 29 level ahead of election outcome: Sudeep Shah of SBI Securities
Nifty and Bank Nifty anticipate volatility amid election outcomes, with Nifty forming a bearish trend. Sudeep Shah of SBI Securities advises cautious trading, emphasizing risk management and hedging strategies. Certain sectors like Automobiles and Pharma may shine, while IT stocks might underperform.
OTM indicates 19% chance of Nifty closing above 24K by June 6, says Sudeep Shah of SBI Securities
With the ongoing buzz around the Lok Sabha election results, markets are still witnessing strong volatility. India vix stood above 21 as of May 24.
Will Nifty Bank hit 50,000 next week? Rupak De of LKP Securities reads the charts
“Nifty witnessed a clean breakout above its prolonged consolidation on the daily timeframe, suggesting a surge of renewed optimism,” says the senior technical analyst
Valuations of large private banks oblivious to improved earnings outlook: Santanu Chakrabarti, BNP Paribas
Analyst Santanu Chakrabarti from BNP Paribas highlights undervaluation in large private banks despite positive surprises. Despite a strong FY24, largecap private bank stock price performances were mostly muted. The FY26 look-through on earnings growth is expected to be rosier. HDFC Bank is recommended with a target price of Rs 2,470.
Fund Manager Talk | Chances of downside surprise in Nifty higher after elections: Viraj Gandhi, SAMCO Mutual Fund
CEO Viraj Gandhi of SAMCO Mutual Fund provides insights on market impact, sector preferences, and future trends including the renewable energy sector's growth in FY25.
F&O Talk: Sudeep Shah of SBI Securities shares notes from his Nifty, Nifty Bank playbook
Currently, the index is trading above its short and long-term moving averages. The daily RSI has given a breakout of a falling wedge pattern and is about to cross the 60 mark, indicating strengthening momentum. Additionally, all the other indicators and oscillators indicate strength, and hence, we expect the current positive momentum to continue.
What to do with Tata Motors, Mamearth and 4 other stocks? Religare Broking's Ravi Singh decodes
Dr Ravi Singh predicts Nifty testing highs at 22,800 levels amidst positive sentiment. Investors advised on stop losses in volatile markets and quality stock selection in the banking sector. Traders recommended actions on top gaining stocks like Hindustan Zinc and Tata Motors.
Fund Manager Talk: Why Mahesh Patil isn’t the one to time election outcome
The March quarter has seen a slowdown in the topline growth across sectors as the nominal growth has moderated on the high base of last year and cooling off of inflation.
ETMarkets Fund Manager Talk: Valuation of PSU stocks isn't as attractive, says Franklin Templeton’s Akhil Kalluri
Akhil Kalluri, VP at Franklin Templeton, discusses PSU stocks, retail liquidity impact, and broader market valuation risks. He also comments on tech stocks, consumption names, and industrial sectors' performance in the March quarter. Kalluri points out that the aggregate topline & EBITDA growth for Nifty 50 names in 4QFY24 so far are relatively muted, in high single digits.
Stay light & keep some cash handy; buy only after the event is over: Anand Tandon
Anand Tandon provides insights on market dynamics, banking sector performance, consumer trends, and investment strategies amidst evolving economic landscapes and global uncertainties, suggesting cautious optimism and strategic planning for future opportunities.
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