CAPITAL EXPENDITURE PUSH
ETMarkets Smart Talk: India's economy poised for strong growth in second half of 2024, market outlook cautious: Vipul Bhowar
India's economy is expected to experience strong growth in the second half of 2024. This growth will be fuelled by robust public investment and resilient private consumption, supported by strong domestic factors, decreasing inflation, and favourable fiscal and monetary policies.
ETMarkets Smart Talk: There might be a renewed focus on social expenditure in final Budget 2024: Arun Kumar Poddar
While we strive to reduce our reliance on FIIs, our Systematic Investment Plan (SIP) contributions are reaching record highs, reflecting growing confidence in the Indian markets.
Airtel, Jio, Vodafone Idea push long-term plans at old rates to retain users
After announcing telecom pack price hikes of up to 25% effective July 3-4, telcos are urging subscribers to recharge long-term plans at old prices to reduce customer attrition. Bharti Airtel, Reliance Jio, and Vodafone Idea (Vi) are promoting 365-day plans priced between Rs 2,545 and Rs 3,099 through in-app promotions.
Economists bat for capex push, fiscal prudence and more jobs at pre-Budget meet
Budget 2024: The focus on the quality of spending, sans mindless freebies, and steps to further curb inflationary pressure should continue, some of the economists told finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman at the customary pre-budget consultation, advising against reckless giveaways. Successful tackling of inflation, they said, would be the biggest pro-poor move.
ETMarkets Smart Talk: Agri, consumer durable & insurance could be dark horse of FY25: Kush Gupta
Elections in the past have always led to sharp movements pre and post-event, but history has shown that the markets finally stabilize one to six months post-event.
VinFast pushes ahead with Asia expansion, expects to open India plant ahead of schedule
VinFast in January signed an agreement with the Indian state of Tamil Nadu to invest as much as $2 billion in the country as it seeks to break into one of the world’s biggest auto markets. Work on the plant started in February, with an initial investment of $500 million.
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Modi 3.0: Growth sequel starring jobs, investment
The full budget, likely to be presented early in July, will detail specific measures toward this end. "The focus would be to promote labour-intensive growth that will create jobs, with continued emphasis on macroeconomic stability," a top government official aware of the details told ET. A host of measures on startups and taxation - including inverted duty structure correction, along with GST rate rationalisation - is under discussion, said the person cited above.
View: Bye, Bye PSUs, Capex Plays
State-owned companies' valuations, capital expenditure beneficiaries, and Aatmanirbhar supporters face a downturn post electoral results, impacting markets. Midcap and smallcap indices plummet over 10% amid fears of excessive valuations. The market's euphoria pre-elections led to inflated valuations, especially in the defense sector.
First among equals: 5 PSU stocks which have benefited the most due to government policy push, spending & may continue their journey
Right from perennial under-performers like oil marketing and refining companies to PSU banks. Literally every stock which has the tag of “PSU” stock has seen a re-rating in the last two years. Now that the exit polls are predicting what the street has been looking for, that is continuity in the policy making framework, there is a high probability that there will be another round of re-rating of PSU stocks. So, continued policy and continued re-rating. Like the earlier re-rating, this time also, some sectors and stocks in the PSU space will outperform others. A company which is going to be providing finance for the expansion of the solar energy network which is the next focus area of the government. The overall demand runway for some of the sectors is longer. This essentially means that while every PSU is likely to see a push, there are a select few which are likely to see more tailwinds of business growth and valuation expansion.
Asia stocks gain, dollar drifts as inflation tests await
Asian stocks rose for the fourth month, while the dollar drifted lower. Investors await inflation readings from Europe and the U.S. for interest rate guidance.
Dalal St is likely pricing in a Modi 3.0 but election winners already have a bitter household burden
India's stock market hit an all-time high last week, as investors anticipate a third term for Prime Minister Narendra Modi will boost corporate profits. However, consumer debt poses a significant risk. Slow wage growth, high interest rates, and heavy borrowing have strained spending for over 300 million families. Despite this, investors expect post-election growth in private capital expenditure and infrastructure projects
FY25 capital expenditure outlay may be hiked by 10%
India may increase FY25 capital expenditure by 8-10% from the ₹11.11 lakh crore vote on account allocation, boosted by better tax revenue and a record RBI surplus transfer. The full budget, awaited post-election results on June 4, could see a surge in spending, as per a senior official.
Candidates of strong directional move on 4th June: 5 PSU stocks which have benefited the most due to government policy push and spending
In the last two years, it is a well known fact that every PSU stock has been re-rated by the street, right from perennial under-performers like oil marketing and refining oil companies to PSU banks. But if one looks a bit deeper there are some which have been re-rated more than others. The reason, these are PSUs which are from the sectors where the government has clearly decided are its priority areas and there has been a policy push for these sectors. A company which is going to be providing finance for the expansion of the solar energy network which is the next focus of the government. The overall demand runway for these sectors is longer which means overall growth will be higher when confirmation of policy continuity comes. Also they are in business where it would be difficult for the private sector to compete. Now because it is the policy push which matters, the continuity of tailwinds of higher government spending, will push them for another round of re-rating on the result day.
RBI's latest norms may derail Modi govt's flagship economy driver
RBI's draft guidelines propose increased provisioning for infrastructure projects under construction, potentially impacting India's capital expenditure momentum. Banks fear higher provisions could elevate interest rates, delay projects, and stress loans. This move could impede the Modi government's capex drive, which has invigorated private sector activity. Despite historical loan default trends, RBI's rationale for these stringent measures remains unclear
Robust govt capex, improvement in business confidence to push growth: Official
"The major reasons cited for India's growth prospects in FY25 include robust public investment/ capex push by the government, sustained growth in business and consumer confidence, and strong services sector, among others," industry body PHDCCI said in a statement quoting Sensarma.
Adani Green Energy seeks $400 million loan for capex push
In addition to this loan, Adani Green is planning to raise a $1.3 billion bond in the next two months, after the general elections. Last month, it became the first Adani Group company to raise funds through a dollar note sale after a year of the release of the US-based short seller Hindenburg Research's report alleging wrongdoings at the group, showing signs of investor confidence.
Big poll spends unlikely to lift rural demand
Economists suggest that rural consumption in India needs further government support and sustained capital expenditure to become broad-based in the coming quarters. The upcoming general election is unlikely to provide a significant boost to consumption. Instead, broader economic growth, easing inflation pressures, and government measures such as rationalizing GST rates and increasing allocations to rural schemes could support demand. Automakers also do not expect a huge sales boost from the elections, as historical data shows no real correlation between election years and sales.
Centre may save ₹45k cr on lower capex by states, subsidy payout
Central government plans to cut fiscal 2024 spending by ₹45,000 crore with savings from subsidy bill reductions, states' under-utilisation, and improved tax collections. Softening fertiliser prices and revised expenditure estimates also contribute to the savings.
Adani Green hydrogen unit aims to get up to $3 billion in loans
Adani New Industries plans to raise $3 billion for capital expenditure through offshore loans. It aims to become a major player in India's green hydrogen push and produce clean fuel in Gujarat. The company will invest $50 billion over 10 years to achieve net zero emissions by 2070. Adani New Industries plans to begin production of the clean fuel from 2027 in the western state of Gujarat, and could invest as much as $50 billion over 10 years, according to the company. Proceeds from the fundraising could be used to support this plan, the people said.
Divestment not a tool for fiscal consolidation, says Finance Secretary TV Somanathan
The government is confident of meeting the targets in the interim budget presented on Thursday. Finance Secretary TV Somanathan stated that the government capital expenditure continues to be high and expressed confidence in achieving the 5.1% fiscal deficit target in 2024-2025, with estimated revenue growth of 11.5% against GDP growth of 10.5%. The nature of public expenditure is unpredictable, but barring unforeseen events, the aggregate public expenditure is projected to remain unchanged, he added.
Five key Budget 2024 proposals that pack a punch
The Vote on Account presented by finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman, aligns perfectly with Prime Minister Narendra Modi's vision of fostering a resilient, inclusive, innovative, and green India. The focus on fiscal prudence, green growth, capex push, and skilling is encouraging for sustainable development. The budget outlines a strategy for the next five years with a focus on Amrit Kaal and initiatives for upliftment of the poor, women, youth, and farmers. The important areas in the budget include fiscal deficit reduction, increased capital expenditure, attracting foreign investment, promoting green growth, and enhancing skill development.
View: Budget gets bigger picture right on walking the fiscal tightrope
The biggest positive in the interim budget was the fiscal discipline displayed by capping the fiscal deficit for 2024-25 at 5.1%. The fact that the government has not curtailed capital expenditure and has, in fact, enhanced it to ₹11.11 lakh crore only builds on the foundation laid in the previous years and takes it forward. This is a budget that seeks to balance growth with fiscal prudence.
Budget 2024: Capex, fiscal deficit & more; here's a look at all the key numbers you need to know
Union Budget 2024: Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman presented the 'Vote on Account' budget for FY25, focusing on women, youth, farmers, and the poor. The budget aims to address financial needs until a new government is formed after elections. The government has raised the capital expenditure target by 11.1% to Rs. 11.11 lakh crore, representing 3.4% of the GDP.
Unveiling India's Rs 6.21 lakh crore Defence budget with a dual focus on self-reliance and export boost
Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman has unveiled a staggering allocation of Rs 6.21 lakh crore for the Ministry of Defence during the Interim Budget presentation. This marks a 4.3% increase from the previous year, constituting 13.04% of the Union Budget. A key feature is the introduction of the DeepTech Initiative, focusing on cutting-edge technologies for defense. The budget breakdown includes allocations for capital expenditure, defense pensions, and defense services, with a strategic emphasis on digitization, modernization, and self-sufficiency in defense.
Modi govt's capex thrust key during Budget as pvt investment is still weak: Ex-NITI VC Kumar
Former NITI Aayog vice chairman Rajiv Kumar emphasized the Indian government's need to prioritize capital expenditure in the upcoming interim budget to bridge the infrastructure gap and boost the economy. He expects continued focus on investment and fiscal consolidation in the budget, with the government achieving its targets through improved tax-to-GDP ratios and rising capital expenditure.
Railways reports highest ever 9-month capital spend
Indian Railways has reported its highest capital expenditure in the first nine months of the financial year, spending Rs 1.96 lakh crores till December 2023. This is 75% of the total capex of the railways during this financial year. The investment is primarily focused on infrastructure projects like new lines, gauge conversion, and passenger amenities.
Govt may prune FY25 fiscal gap target to 5.3-5.4% on slower capex
India's fiscal deficit target for FY25 is expected to decrease significantly in line with post-Covid consolidation plans, potentially dropping to a range of 5.3-5.4% of GDP from the current year's 5.9%. Despite a slowdown in capital asset investments, gross market borrowing is anticipated to remain high, with estimates for FY25 around ₹15.3 lakh crore. The reduction in the fiscal deficit target is attributed to a slower pace of capital expenditure, providing room for consolidation. The government is committed to lowering the fiscal deficit to below 4.5% of GDP by FY26.
India’s infra push to put UltraTech on road to growth
In the post-earnings conference call, the UltraTech management said it expects capacity utilisation to improve close to 80-85% in the three months to March, from about 77% in the December 2023 quarter.
At third meeting of chief secretaries, Centre cautions against 'freebies'
The Centre has advised state chief secretaries to avoid "freebies" and instead focus on increasing capital expenditure. The advice comes as India heads into a major election year, with five states presenting election promises that could qualify as "freebies." The Centre also emphasized the importance of raising capital expenditure in states to boost economic growth and address social concerns better.
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