CAPITAL FLOWS
US market would like a not-too-strong mandate for either Democrats or Republicans: Arvind Sanger
If there is a continued easing in the US labour market, then what Chairman Powell said at this central bankers meeting in Europe a couple of days ago would hold true, that the Fed is headed towards easing and the consensus seems to be thinking that it might happen by September, says Arvind Sanger.
Tough to sustain GDP growth above 7.5%; time-wise correction in market likely: Neelkanth Mishra
As mutual funds are sitting with Rs 1 lakh crore of cash, whenever there is a 4-5% drop from the peak, there is a spate of buying. So equities as an asset class are not seeing sharp drawdowns and in the short term make it safer to invest in and attract more funds. That is the cycle we are in, says Neelkanth Mishra.
China's yuan slumps to seven-month low on weaker guidance
Markets react to the Federal Reserve's uncertain policy outlook as the dollar's index strengthens. JOLTS job openings data release creates anticipation in the market, impacting offshore yuan's trading, marking a volatile market sentiment.
Potential for huge NRI money coming into India via GIFT city: Bhavin Shah
“We have investments in large private sector banks, some regional private sector banks, NBFCs, MFI, microfinance, wealth management, life insurance, so pretty much across the board. We continue to find a large number of stocks that are still reasonably valued. We also are overweight on aviation,” says Bhavin Shah
Stars aligning to create a pathway for corporate India to borrow cheaper: Lakshmi Iyer
No, clearly, if you are looking at the current scenario, whether it is on the fiscal front, whether it is on the inflation front, or whether it is on the flow front, in terms of creating another additional demand lever, the stars seem to be aligned to ensure that the confluence of all of these factors are set to drive interest rates lower further. Of course, we need to have the icing on the cake, which is the policymaking from the central banker, which obviously is impending and may not really manifest itself in a big hurry.
Bharti Airtel, Jio target share price pricing in 15-20% tariff hike: Gaurav Malhotra
In terms of valuations, telecom stocks have moved up and are trading a little bit ahead of their long-term averages, says Gaurav Malhotra. He says the Street is quite positively viewing this whole tariff increase. Do note that the last major increase happened in 2021, so it has almost been three years since the last increase happened.
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3 themes to bet on now for pre-Budget plays: Gurmeet Chadha
Gurmeet Chadha says that the market is trying to position on the pre-Budget period. But there are very few pockets which give a lot of valuation comfort. So, we have to be very selective in terms of what we buy and ensure that we do not end up paying very unreasonable valuations in those pockets.
Ajay Bagga on where to look for next market trigger and pockets to avoid now
Ajay Bagga says railways and defence sectors have already run up much and multi-year order books have been factored in. Now it is the execution challenge. So, have the investors already eaten the pie for railways and defence? Not fully, but right now there might be one more move up like we saw in railway stocks today.
How mutual fund flows are making Dalal Street Aatmanirbhar
FIIs impact Indian capital markets, with mutual funds gaining prominence. SEBI's actions on P-Notes and rise of SIPs stabilize market. Prof Ghalke and Aditya Bharambe contribute to market insights.
Axis Bank hikes stake in Max Life for Rs 336 cr
Axis Bank and its two subsidiaries - Axis Capital Ltd and Axis Securities Ltd - were allowed to collectively own about 20 per cent in Max Life Insurance by the Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority of India (IRDAI).
India can achieve a growth rate of 8-9% by 2031: KV Kamath
Today, capital growth happens through cash accruals, through equity raising as required, and access to capital markets, so that part is probably going to be so in the future also, except for infrastructure. So, where will financial services then, as we understand, go? Basically, it will need to drive the aspirations of the people. The retail at large and this is so everywhere in the world.
Balancing Act: With greater capex comes lower dividend
The dividend payout ratio is the proportion of a company's earnings paid to shareholders as dividends. This payout tends to be lower in times when companies spend more on expansion. Companies with a high cash flow in mature industries tend to have higher dividend payout ratios.
What can be the risk to the India bull case scenario? Jonathan Garner answers
There has been unprecedented heat in SoutheastAsia also over the last couple of months. So, I would highlight that as really quite a pressing issue at the moment. I think some of the traditional issues around, let us say, oil import bill and that sort of thing or vulnerability to Fed cycles, they have been much diminished now that the current and capital account situation in India is so much stronger.
India has been expensive market post COVID for last three years: Gautam Trivedi
China currently is still at about 9 to 9.5 times calendar 25 PE, we are at 21, 21.5 times, so still a huge premium to China. So, I said, over the past three years, India has been expensive post COVID. You have still put money. In fact, last year, they put cumulative $21 billion of net FPI flows into India. So, year-to-date why are you selling? And they said, finally, we do have an alternative.
FIIs bought stocks from these 4 sectors ahead of election results
In May, FIIs were net sellers, yet invested over Rs 11,000 crore in 4 sectors: capital goods, consumer services, realty, and telecom, ahead of Lok Sabha election results. NSDL data reveals top buys in capital goods at Rs 6,024 crore, followed by consumer services, realty, and telecom. Financial services and IT bore the brunt of FII outflows.
Learn with ETMarkets: How inflation impacts INR & what currency traders should do?
The Indian Rupee (INR) is influenced by global economic trends, inflation, recession fears, and geopolitical tensions. Traders should monitor inflation, anticipate capital flows, and use hedging strategies in the forex market.
Any further correction in India can spur FII flows: Chris Wood
A lot of the recovery has been the high end of the market. So, the key issue for this real estate market right now is that will the recovery broaden out and the other issue is will there be policy measures to promote the more affordable end of the housing market, that seems to me a possibility.
Surprised by today's market rebound; expect near term caution in capex-led themes: Chris Wood
I think it is a bit premature to assume that because you have still got the horse trading. I mean, clearly the base case is that the current government remains in power with coalition partners and that is not a disaster. But the reality is the great virtue of the last 10 years has been clear government, consistent policies, and not having to worry about horse trading between parties, which is always a feature of coalition governments.
Markets can gain another 10% by year end: Samir Arora
But the bottom line is that this is a big event and the FIIs who have been selling for the last few months are not going to sell like this anymore and therefore you will be in a sweet spot where domestic guys are buying and foreigners are trying to build back their positions.
Railway, power to remain mega themes for next decade: Gautam Duggad
Last two, two-and-a-half years we have been significantly overweight on PSU banks in our model portfolio. In fact if you look at our model portfolio, the highest overweight across sectors stands at PSU bank and that has worked very well for us.
Bonds poised for a major bull run in next five years: Maneesh Dangi
I will tell you, first from a, let us say, asset classes point of view, we talked about equity, but a few people realise that return of Modi actually is absolutely loved by bonds because it sort of assures that this small risk of high fiscal deficit and potentially very high inflation has gone.
Adani portfolio delivers record 45% EBITDA growth in FY24
Adani Group companies posted a record 45 per cent rise in pre-tax profit (EBITDA) to Rs 82,917 crore (about USD 10 billion) in FY24 as the apples-to-airport conglomerate made a massive comeback, the group said on Sunday.
Adani portfolio delivers record 45% EBITDA growth in FY24
Adani Group companies saw a record 45% rise in pre-tax profit (EBITDA) to Rs 82,917 crore (about USD 10 billion) in FY24, marking a massive comeback for the apples-to-airport conglomerate. The group focused on containing debt, reducing founder share pledge, and consolidating the business in core competencies. The five-year compound annual growth rate for profit growth was 54%.
ETMarkets PMS Talk: We will see a strong build up for India as a single-country destination for FII flows: Tridib Pathak
India’s growth gap over the rest of the world is widening and India will be the fastest-growing major economy in the world over the next 5 years at least.
It’s three steps forward and two steps back for FII flows in Indian, Asian markets, says Manishi Raychaudhuri
Manishi Raychaudhuri emphasizes the importance of political and policy continuity for economic growth and market stability. He says discretionaries, particularly those discretionaries catering to affluent India are relatively safe, not just now but even over the next five to ten years. As income brackets continue to move higher, not only would the consumption package of Indians change, but how they consume that would also change.
Strong FII flows may come back into India post elections: Ashi Anand
If you just go over the last six months, one year, two years, three, five, it is very consistent that India and the US, these are the only two parts of the world which actually have growth and you have momentum in the markets.
We are positive on financial, pharma & auto; cautious on FMCG: Mukul Kochhar
Mukul Kochhar of Investec Capital Services discusses market reactions to potential election outcomes, emphasizing severe possible impacts and strong business momentum. He covers various sectors like financials, pharma, automobiles, FMCG, and non-ferrous metals, offering insights into each. Kochchar says he is optimistic because of the nascent shoots in the private capex cycle.
Will Mr Market get it right this election also? Is nervousness about range of BJP victory justified?
Nitin Raheja discusses market reactions to past elections, current nervousness, and potential investment strategies in various sectors amidst election uncertainties and market corrections.
Expect a capital call from IDFC First Bank in FY25: V Vaidyanathan
IDFC First Bank, led by V Vaidyanathan, plans to raise capital in FY25 to support growth. The bank's strong market performance, deposit growth, and focus on loan quality position it for continued success in the financial sector. Vaidyanathan also says that he expects income to grow faster than and by a meaningful number and maybe by 400-500 basis points. That will open up the jaw of profitability.
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