CURRENT EXPORT POLICY
India's high input tariffs stifle smartphone export growth, industry calls for reductions & policy changes in Budget 2024
Union Budget: India's efforts to increase smartphone exports through the production-linked incentive (PLI) scheme face challenges due to high tariffs on input parts and barriers for global firms entering its value chains. Despite the PLI scheme's success in boosting smartphone production beyond domestic demand, these tariffs, averaging 7.4%, are significantly higher than in competitor countries like China's bonded zones where tariffs are 0%.
India’s trade dependence on China, EU rose in Q1 of 2024, says UNCTAD
The UNCTAD nowcast predicts a stronger positive trend for the second quarter of 2024, projecting an approximate 2% increase for the first half of 2024. This increase is expected to add around $250 billion to goods trade and about $100 billion to services trade in the first half of 2024 compared to the second half of 2023.
Rafale’s India operations get a strategic push; Dassault establishes maintenance facility near Jewar Airport
Dassault Aviation is advancing plans to establish a Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul (MRO) facility near Jewar International Airport for India’s Mirage 2000 and Rafale fighters. This move supports India's aspiration to locally manufacture the latest Rafale versions under the "Make in India" initiative. Engine maker Safran SA also intends to set up an MRO facility for Rafale engines in Hyderabad, aiming for operations by 2025 and potential local production of M-88 engines. These developments are crucial as India seeks to bolster its defense capabilities amidst regional security challenges, including from China's expanding military presence.
Indian economy poised for potentially stable high growth phase, says RBI's monetary policy panel member
RBI's monetary policy committee member Shashanka Bhide highlighted India's potential for stable high growth amidst significant risks, citing strong domestic demand, investment spending, and positive monsoon forecasts. He emphasised the importance of maintaining inflation aligned with targets to support growth, with the RBI projecting retail inflation at 4.5% for FY25. The MPC recently kept the repo rate unchanged at 6.5%, focusing on sustaining economic momentum.
India's entry into JPMorgan Bond Index set to benefit real estate & manufacturing: Abhishek Banerjee
Analyzing India's economic shifts from surplus to GDP growth projections, Abhishek Banerjee says the focus lies on potential impacts on export sectors and bond markets, indicating promising growth opportunities in the economy. While India's increased production and exports are positive, the shift necessitates careful sector allocation in the near term to manage potential impacts on export-oriented industries.
India's weekly vegetable spending up in the past few weeks, says survey
Rising vegetable prices due to various factors like the heatwave and monsoon challenges have led to increased consumer spending. Authorities are urged to step in to address the situation and stabilize prices for households across the country.
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What should be your investment strategy after elections?
Market volatility post Indian election triggered short-term turbulence, yet history shows eventual alignment with economic fundamentals. Resilient corporate earnings, infrastructure development and vigilant sector monitoring are emphasized for long-term strategic investments amidst fluctuating market conditions.
What would Japanese intervention to boost a weak yen look like?
Amid market uncertainties and political pressures, Prime Minister Fumio Kishida considers intervening to stabilize the yen ahead of the ruling party leadership race. The effectiveness of intervention in addressing public concerns over the weak yen and rising living costs remains uncertain.
It's going to be good after it gets quieter
Companies no longer have the pricing power they had in the immediate aftermath of the pandemic when consumption demand was roaring. That has now played out in manufacturing and services. The growth from here on should be more sedate, building on the economy's post-Covid revival. The markets are yet to price in this moderation, and some froth may be removed once the volatility around the election results settles.
Fund Manager Talk | PSU stocks in 3 sectors offer value for long-term investors: Charanjit Singh, DSP Mutual Fund
We expect the Government to remain focussed on infra investment even during the third term. Since FY21, the government has focussed on building infrastructure with central government expenditure rising from 1.7% of GDP in FY21 to 3.3% of GDP in FY24.
High costs of orphan drugs: Patients pay the price for policy hurdles in India
India manufactures APIs for over 400 FDA-approved orphan drugs, but patients face high costs due to Indian pharmaceutical companies' reluctance to develop these drugs domestically.
DGFT, Revenue dept working on dedicated hubs to boost e-commerce exports
India's e-commerce exports are set to receive a boost with the establishment of designated e-commerce hubs by DGFT and the Department of Revenue to streamline the export process.
Union Budget 2024: Key facts and insights you need to know
Union Budget 2024: India's inaugural Budget was announced in pre-independent India on April 7, 1860, by Scottish economist and politician James Wilson of the East India Company, presenting it to the British Crown. Following Independence, India's first post-independence budget was presented on November 26, 1947, by then Finance Minister R K Shanmukham Chetty.
How the Gulf became integral part of India's 'extended neighbourhood' under PM Modi
Earlier, the relationship was focused only on energy, trade and Indian expatriates. That relationship has now evolved into a new framework encompassing political relations, investment, and defence and security cooperation.
A study reveals how India can achieve $5 billion defence export goal
A recent study by Nexgen Exhibitions highlights the importance of streamlining foreign direct investment (FDI), enhancing Research & Development (R&D), and boosting manufacturing capabilities to help India achieve its USD 5 billion defence export goal by 2024-25. The study, involving over 130 national and international arms, ammunition, and security equipment manufacturers, emphasizes the need for strategic partnerships, advanced technologies, and a robust skill development ecosystem. The findings aim to propel India's homeland security and defence sector towards becoming a global manufacturing hub.
Modi 3.0 takes aim: Blueprint to make the Indian armed forces future ready
India faces growing security challenges from China and Pakistan, prompting calls for a robust and integrated defence strategy. This includes bolstering nuclear deterrence, enhancing military capabilities, and pushing for systemic reforms in defence production and organization. The new government must prioritize these measures to ensure national security and strategic autonomy in the coming years.
SIP strategy best for current market conditions: Ajay Tyagi
The negative obviously is what the media has been discussing and debating, which is that it is never too easy to run a coalition government. There will be pulls and pressures from different parties. We will see how it plays out. The nucleus, which is the BJP, is certainly stronger than what many of the previous coalition governments have witnessed prior to 2014, so that is also incrementally positive.
Global demand revival: How is India poised?
As the global demand sees some revival, India must get its act together to make the most out of it.
India's forex reserves at record $651 billion
India's foreign exchange reserves reached a record $651.5 billion as of May 31, 2024, bolstered by robust services exports and strong remittances. RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das highlighted the resilience of India's external sector. The rise in global capability centers and consistent foreign portfolio investments have also strengthened the economy's external financing position.
RBI MPC Meeting 2024 at a glance: Here's a one-stop guide to all key decisions
The Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has decided to maintain the current interest rate at 6.5%, following a 4:2 majority decision. The panel projected real GDP growth for FY25 to be 7.2%, up from 7%. The MPC is also maintaining the Standing Deposit Facility rate at 6.25% and the Marginal Standing Facility bank rate at 6.75%.
Has India’s toy story started to falter?
After hitting a high of $177 million in the financial year 2022, India’s toy exports are seeing a fall. To add to the pain, imports are also rising.
Oil falls as Fed policymakers look to maintain rate cuts, gasoline stocks rise
Oil prices fell on Friday due to concerns over inflation risks, U.S. crude inventories, and OPEC+ negotiations to extend oil production cuts.
Oil flat as firming US gasoline demand offsets rate jitters
Oil market cautious ahead of OPEC+ meeting on June 1 to discuss extending 2.2M bpd output cuts. U.S. fuel demand and Fed's inflation concerns impact prices.
Non-life insurance companies post 13% rise in premium collection at Rs 2.89 lakh cr in FY24
In the fiscal year 2023-24, 42 general insurance companies collectively earned a premium income of Rs 2,89,738 crore, marking a 13% increase from the previous year's Rs 2,56,894 crore, as reported by the General Insurance Council. Among these, 35 general insurance firms saw a 14% rise in premium income to Rs 2,45,433 crore from Rs 2,14,833 crore in the preceding year. Additionally, five standalone health insurers witnessed a 26% growth in premium income, reaching Rs 33,116 crore compared to Rs 26,244 crore in the previous year.
Indian wheat was poised to feed the world. It now grapples to replenish reserves
India's wheat policy requires a comprehensive review to ensure the production and procurement balance is maintained.
Services exports may rise to $800 bn by 2030: Goldman Sachs report
Goldman Sachs predicts that India's services exports will rise to $800 billion by 2030, up from $340 billion in 2023. This growth is expected to make India's external sector more resilient to supply-side shocks and reduce rupee volatility. The country's foreign trade policy aims to achieve $1 trillion in service exports by 2030. The report also suggests that India's high-value services will drive top-end discretionary consumption and demand in commercial and residential real estate.
Morgan Stanley forecasts strong Indian GDP growth amid robust domestic demand
Morgan Stanley is optimistic about India's economic growth due to strong domestic demand. The firm forecasts GDP growth of 6.8% in 2024-25 and 6.5% in 2025-26. It predicts inflation to be around 5% in the second quarter, easing to 4.1% in the second half of 2024. The current account deficit is expected to remain within 1-1.5% of GDP in 2025-26. The Reserve Bank of India is likely to maintain the policy rate at 6.5% given global factors and domestic improvements. Despite inflation concerns, India's growth prospects remain robust.
Government imposes port restrictions for exporting essential commodities to Maldives
The Directorate General of Foreign Trade has imposed port restrictions on exporting essential commodities to the Maldives due to tensions between India and the Maldives. The move, under the Foreign Trade (Development & Regulation) Act, 1992, restricts exports to four designated Customs Stations, including Mundra Sea Port, Tuticorin Sea Port, Nhava Sheva Sea Port (JNPT), and ICD Tughlakabad.
China will be in Modi's crosshairs if he wins a third term
The Modi government aims to make India the world's third biggest economy and a competitive rival to China. It focuses on boosting domestic manufacturing, merchandise exports, and reducing import duties. India plans to emerge as a global semiconductor manufacturing powerhouse. The pandemic and geopolitical factors have forced the Western world to move supply chains away from China which has been their factory for a long time, supplying a large number of manufactured goods.
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