CYCLICAL STOCKS
Fund Manager Talk | Worried about valuations in bull market? Nippon CIO on what to buy
Over the last few years, we have witnessed multiple policy enablers across areas like manufacturing, formalization, taxation, etc which has created a sound platform for future growth. In the upcoming budget we expect continuity in terms of policy measures and fiscal prudence.
Better placed than many for all market conditions: 8 non cyclical consumer stocks including unexpected ones with upside potential of up to 38%
But there is a high probability of the second one being true. There are many businesses where the argument of disposable income has been cited, but if one looks at long term trends, they have been finally able to do better, whether slower or faster growth. We take a look at such stocks which are non cyclical in nature which one must keep on watch list.
Q1 result season begins: 30 companies may report over 100% growth in profit
Nifty may report 4% Q1 earnings growth driven by BFSI, auto, metals, healthcare, and real estate, with Trent and Zomato showing significant consumption sector growth. Pharmaceuticals Glenmark Pharma and Laurus Labs have high growth, private and PSU banks lower. Motilal Oswal and Kotak predict 30 companies may report over 100% profit growth.
India is still a stock pickers' paradise, says Porinju Veliyath, lauds Raymond for full value unlocking
Porinju Veliyath stresses market correction readiness, noting Raymond’s stock's rise from Rs 300 in 2021 to Rs 3,100. Raymond's lifestyle, real estate, engineering segments, Maini Precision ties, and the Rs 7,000 crore demerger on the 11th are key. Promoter attitudes, stock picking fundamentals, valuation comparisons, and a bulk deal in related stocks are also discussed.
Should investors take a fresh bet on railway stocks just ahead of Budget? Gurmeet Chadha answers
I think you have to be selective here and probably differentiate between life and non-life insurers. If you see the June data, there are some green shoots. Even LIC has had 30% APE growth. APE is your annualized premium equivalent because a lot of policies are also sold as single premium or where the premiums are upfronted. HDFC Life reported a decent set of numbers.
Should investors bet on large-cap pharma stocks? Alok Agarwal answers
So, I remain upbeat and positive about the changes. Yes, at the same time, there are increasingly green shoots visible in the lower end of most consumer products, and this change is coming at the right time, possibly indicating better growth ahead of us.
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Ajay Bagga on Trump's influence and sectoral performance in Indian markets
The Chairman of Elyments Platforms highlights the slowdown in the US economy, noting softer labor markets and slowing wage growth. Despite market expectations of rate cuts in September and December, Fed officials remain cautious, waiting for more data. Bagga also discusses the potential impact of a likely Trump victory in the upcoming elections on global markets, emphasizing increased borrowing costs, lower taxes, and tighter immigration policies.
Monsoon is a cyclical headwind, but infra push and M&A are bigger tailwinds for long term investors: 5 cement stocks with upside potential of up to 44%
Cement is a sector which has probably seen maximum mergers and acquisition in the last three years. Right from the second biggest player witnessing a change in ownership, to small players being taken over. With the monsoon coming, there is always a cyclical pressure on cement stocks, with the narrative being that in monsoon construction activity slows down. Even this week it played on the street, with cement stock witnessing a decline. But the question is whether this correction in stock price gives an opportunity to investors to get into a sector which is witnessing a fundamental shift in terms of how the demand curve pans out. Probably the answer is tilted toward yes for at least some players.
Market can only go up now irrespective of Budget. Here's why
The Street has discounted the defence manufacturing stocks too much into the future. Even the earning visibility has been discounted. It is a fast-moving train; it does not make sense to get onto that train at this point. There are many choices when it comes to rural play – two-wheelers, fertilisers, pesticides and M&M, says Dipan Mehta.
Look for stocks with less downward volatility and stable earnings prospects: Anand Tandon
A good content pipeline increases the likelihood of hits, and with people coming to the cinema, local F&B sales will also rise. From a tactical perspective, PVR's business outlook should improve significantly over the next 12 months. However, each month must be evaluated separately based on incoming content and audience reactions.
Fund Manager Talk | Higher interest rates for longer periods can upset bull market: Mihir Vora
Over the short to medium term ie: next 1-2 years, the markets would focus on earnings delivery as there is limited upside from valuations. Retail investors continue to invest regularly providing long-term support to the markets. We believe that his combination of fundamentals and liquidity will anchor a bull-market in stocks.
What should be your investment strategy after elections?
Market volatility post Indian election triggered short-term turbulence, yet history shows eventual alignment with economic fundamentals. Resilient corporate earnings, infrastructure development and vigilant sector monitoring are emphasized for long-term strategic investments amidst fluctuating market conditions.
Looking at 4 buckets in auto thematic fund; avoiding auto financiers: Tanmaya Desai, SBI MF
Fund manager Tanmaya Desai says that SBI MF is not looking at the auto financiers or the logistics companies. But at the same time, the fund does permit him to evaluate up to 20% in some of those stocks which can be a corollary to the auto opportunity in general.
What should investors do with cement stocks? Sanjay H Parekh answers
On consumption, we are underweight, in fact we do not own any FMCG stock right now and we have taken sectoral deviations to get the alpha. So, overall the very simple view was overweight domestic, global underweight.
Are FIIs getting into a big buy mode in India? Dipan Mehta answers
On days of positive FII flows largecap stocks will do exceptionally well because those are the ones that they really are targeting and if FII buying, even FII selling, stops in some of the largecap index stocks, local money will ensure that the stock prices move up, says Dipan Mehta
Expect 15% plus Nifty return; mid and smallcaps can deliver 5-7% higher earnings growth: Samit Vartak
It is always good to have FIIs at the lowest level of ownership. At the peak, we had 24% of the market owned by FIIs. Today, we are close to 16%. So, most of the remainder of investors probably are going to be long-term. They are unlikely to keep on selling more where this ownership is going to go lower, says Samit Vartak.
Good chance to generate a lot of alpha in this stock-pickers market: Samit Vartak
I am sure there will be few winners but those will be extremely handful but the entire segment going up I am not sure if most of them are going to be anywhere close to these kind of valuations when the correction comes in and 80-90% correction is a huge correction, I mean jumping from 90% correction is like 10x returns that you need to generate to just recover the kind of losses.
Outperformance of private sector banks may continue for next one year: Sandip Sabharwal
The smaller pharma companies I find it tough to evaluate, so many of them can potentially do well but I do not have the bandwidth to go molecule by molecule and evaluate those companies. But I think Sun Pharma is a decent business model, so we are just holding it for the long term.
Market Moves: Ashi Anand’s take on Indian IT and auto sectors
Ashi Anand, Founder and CEO of IME Capital, provides an in-depth analysis of the Indian IT and auto sectors. Anand highlighted the persistent strength in deal wins across IT companies despite weaker-than-expected revenue growth, attributing this to reduced discretionary spending.
Wall St Week Ahead: Rally in US big tech stocks may be getting stretched
The blistering rally in U.S. big tech stocks, particularly in the S&P 500, may be due for a breather amidst concerns of overheating, especially with Nvidia Corp's significant gains. Market segments like utilities are lagging behind tech stocks, prompting investors to consider value stocks as potential bargains.
Consolidation will drive cement stocks higher this year: Rakesh Arora
Logically, it makes sense, but the reality is that government is unlikely to do that change anytime soon. A lot of revenues earned from cement GST. Also, there is a feeling that the cement industry may not really pass on the benefit of lower GST to the consumer, so that is also one of the another challenges. So, while logically, it makes sense, meaning I am not really expecting it to happen anytime soon at least not in the next 12 months.
Election stocks to buy: Pick from a buffet of 50+ counters from 5 brokerages
Investors are adjusting portfolios for potential structural reforms under Modi's third term. Sectors like infrastructure, financials, and consumer discretionary are in focus. Brokerages recommend stocks across sectors including SBI, ICICI Bank, L&T, and ONGC for potential gains post-election.
2 top stock recommendations from Aditya Agarwala
I think that the euphoria will continue throughout the day and maybe if the results are in line with what we see on the exit polls, the euphoria might continue tomorrow as well. So, today and tomorrow you can see a continuation of this rally that we are seeing in trade today.
ETMarkets Fund Manager Talk: Q4 results in line with expectations, domestic cyclicals leading the way: Shibani Sircar Kurian
The March quarter earnings growth was driven by BFSI, Auto, technology, and oil and gas, with smallcaps rallying on retail liquidity. Shibani Sircar Kurian discussed the risk in the broader market for FY25. Nifty companies reported 13% earnings growth. PSUs are favored pre-elections. Capex in power, defence, and infrastructure is expected to continue.
SBI, Godrej Consumer top buys post Q4 results; could give 13-17% upside in 1 year
SBI and Godrej Consumer are top buys post Q4 results, led by BFSI and Auto sectors. Nifty stocks show growth, while Tier-1 IT companies face challenges. Business and credit growth outlook positive for SBI.
Bet on PSUs only if bullish on India growth story; never in the short-term: Anand Sharma
Anand Sharma discusses the extensive impact of public sector enterprises in various sectors under government control, emphasizing the wide theme of PSU equity with a focus on power, oil, financials, logistics, metals, and mining. Sharma says , PSU equity fund is a thematic fund and should be a smaller part of any investors investable corpus.
Q4 earnings: Domestic cyclicals in line or slightly better while defensives like IT & FMCG are underwhelming, says Vinod Karki
Vinod Karki, Equity Strategist at ICICI Securities, highlights market trends with a focus on domestic cyclicals, defensives, and FPI buying behavior. He anticipates a tapering down of earnings growth from a low base, emphasizing the importance of maintaining valuations in the market. Karki points out that DIIs and FIIs being an equal footing in terms of net buying is keeping our markets relatively expensive .
Gurmeet Chadha explains why his biggest largecap holdings are counter-cyclical in nature
Gurmeet Chadha discusses stock picks, including ITC, HDFC Bank, and HCL Tech. Favors Ganesha Ecosphere, Tata Consumer, and Sandhar Technology. He id bullish on Bharti Airtel, while remaining cautious on Vodafone FPO's equity dilution. Chadha also says that "In midcaps, we have added some capital market participants on corrections, including CAMS, CDSL, and market infrastructure services players."
ETMarkets Smart Talk: Have Rs 10 lakh to invest in FY25? Cyclicals, commodities & capex themes are looking promising: Somnath Mukherjee
Somnath Mukherjee of ASK Private Wealth predicts promising market segments like cyclicals, commodities, capex. He foresees strong FII flows post US rate cuts, emphasizing sectoral allocation for high-risk investors in FY25. Mukherjee says: "With consumption remaining anemic and public capex being the primary driver of the economy, broad-based earnings momentum is likely to be slower than in the last 2-3 years."
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