FITCH DOWNGRADES US RATING
Debt ceiling standoff could trigger US rating downgrade, TD's Goldberg says
Gennadiy Goldberg, head of U.S. rates strategy at TD Securities, warns of a potential severe debt ceiling standoff in the U.S. in 2025, similar to the 2011 crisis, which could lead to another sovereign credit rating downgrade. Despite Congress suspending the debt ceiling until 2025, concerns over rising U.S. debt persist following forecasts by the Congressional Budget Office of significant deficits for fiscal years 2024 and 2025.
Fitch raises India's FY25 growth forecast but isn't that optimistic about global growth
Fitch Ratings has increased India's growth forecast for the current financial year to 7.2% from 7%, driven by rapid investment expansion. The Indian economy grew 7.8% in the last quarter of FY24 and 8.2% for the entire fiscal year. Fitch predicts sustained investment growth under Prime Minister Modi, a recovery in consumer spending, and declining inflation rates. The RBI is expected to make only a modest rate cut this year.
Dollar calm ahead of inflation test, Fed decision
The dollar steadied after reaching a four-week high against peer currencies as markets awaited key U.S. inflation data and the Federal Reserve's updated interest rate projections. China's economy showed signs of improvement with steady consumer inflation and narrowing producer price declines.
S&P downgrades French credit rating in blow to Macron
Ratings agency Standard & Poor's downgraded France's credit score on Friday citing a deterioration in the country's budgetary position, a blow to Emmanuel Macron's government days before EU parliamentary elections. France's general government debt will increase to about 112 percent of GDP by 2027, up from around 109 percent in 2023, "contrary to our previous expectations", the agency added.
Oyo posts maiden annual net profit of Rs 100 crore in FY24: founder Ritesh Agarwal
Oyo reported its first profitable fiscal year in 2023-24 with a net earning of nearly Rs 100 crore. Founder Ritesh Agarwal highlighted growth prospects in key markets like Nordics, South East Asia, US, and UK. Fitch Ratings upgraded Oyo's credit rating, acknowledging its strong performance.
US economic growth last quarter is revised down from 1.6% rate to 1.3%, but consumers kept spending
The US economy grew less than initially estimated in the first quarter of this year, the government reported Thursday, due to weaker consumer spending. Overall, GDP growth in the first quarter was supported by consumer spending, business investment and government spending.
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We had our maiden net profitable financial year at nearly Rs 100 cr: Oyo founder Ritesh Agarwal
Agarwal had shared with employees in February that it has doubled its profit after tax (PAT) sequentially in quarter three of financial year 2024 to Rs 30 crore. The company had marked its maiden profitable quarter with a PAT of over Rs 16 crore in quarter two of fiscal year 2024.
Sovereign ratings is for state; at the margins for markets
Sovereign ratings, a product of the pre-depression era when analysts were a rarity and communication was expensive, are turning into dinner-table conversations rather than driving investment decisions.
Wall Street ends lower amid rate concerns, higher bond yields
Stocks declined following the Beige Book release, showing U.S. economic expansion and reduced rate cut expectations, per CME FedWatch Tool.
Dow slips nearly 1%, Nasdaq below 17,000 as rate worries push bond yields higher
Megacaps Microsoft, Alphabet and Meta dipped between 0.3% and 0.6% as U.S. bond yields across the board rose to near four-week highs after Tuesday's unexpectedly strong consumer confidence data. The Dow led declines, falling to its lowest in nearly one month, and all major S&P 500 subsectors were in the red in early trading.
Hot Stocks: Brokerage view on Phoenix Mills, Anupam Rasayan; CLSA downgrades Delhivery
CLSA downgraded Delhivery to underperform, Jefferies raised Zydus Life target, and Anupam Rasayan had balance sheet concerns. Citigroup recommended buying Phonix Mills.
Sensex, Nifty edge lower as HDFC Bank drags; US inflation data looms
IT stocks presented a muted show as investors turn cautious ahead of key US data that will determine future interest rate trends. Sensex dipped 118 points to settle at 72,987. Nifty shed 17 points to end at 22,200.
Fitch sees rupee rebounding to 82 per dollar on bond inflows
The rupee is expected to appreciate to 82 per dollar by the year-end, from about 83.50 currently, Jeremy Zook, a director at Fitch in Hong Kong, said in an interview last week. The Reserve Bank of India may continue to prevent any sharp swings in the currency by absorbing inflows, he said.
Boeing credit outlook gets gloomier as Fitch also turns negative
Boeing said it burned through $3.9 billion of cash in the first quarter as it slowed 737 Max production in the wake of a near-disaster involving one of the planes in January. The company predicted another "sizable" use of cash this quarter.
RIL gets thumbs-up from S&P, Fitch as strong earnings keep leverage in check
"Reliance Industries Ltd's (RIL) strong earnings will keep leverage in check as the company continues to pursue growth ambitions. We expect the company's debt-to-EBITDA ratio to remain commensurate with the rating (BBB+/Stable/--)," S&P said in a note.
Israel's long-term credit rating is downgraded by S&P, 2nd major US agency to do so, citing conflict
Israel's credit rating downgraded by S&P due to Iran conflict. Drone attack near Isfahan. Moody's also downgraded over Hamas. Hezbollah confrontation ongoing. Gaza Strip tensions remain high. S&P's negative outlook, May 10 review pending."}
China set to post slowing growth on housing, consumption woes
China's economy is expected to have slowed in the first quarter due to challenges in the property sector and weak consumer activity. Despite setting a growth target of around five percent for the year, analysts view this goal as ambitious. While industrial production has increased, consumption remains sluggish. The property market continues to be a concern, with falling home prices and challenges for developers. Policymakers have introduced measures to boost infrastructure spending and consumption, but more stimulus may be needed.
Fitch downgrades outlook on China to negative on economic growth risks
Fitch downgraded China's sovereign credit rating outlook to negative, expressing concerns over fiscal risks amidst economic uncertainties during its transition to new growth models. Fitch predicted a rise in the general government deficit to 7.1% of GDP in 2024.
Fitch raises India’s FY25 growth forecast to 7%
Fitch Ratings raised India's FY25 growth forecast to 7%, driven by robust domestic demand and investment. India's economy showed over 8% growth in the first three quarters of the year. Fitch projects FY24 growth at 7.8% and expects inflation to cool to 4% by the end of FY25, prompting potential rate cuts by RBI.
Fitch revises India FY24, FY25 GDP forecast upwards, expects economy to continue 'strong expansion'
Fitch Ratings revised India's GDP growth forecast upwards for FY24 to 7.8% and for FY25 to 7.0%, citing strong economic expansion driven by domestic demand, particularly investment. Meanwhile, it downgraded China's 2024 forecast to 4.5%, attributing it to property sector challenges and deflationary pressures, despite increased fiscal support.
As of now, the risk of a major EPS downgrade for hospital stocks looks minimal: Elara Capital
The Supreme Court has asked the government to regulate hospital charges, but the implementation of CGHS rates is uncertain. Private healthcare delivery in India is unlikely to be severely disrupted, and hospital stocks are not considered a major risk at present. Pathiparampil says: "As of now, the risk of a major EPS downgrade for the stocks looks pretty minimal to me."
Moody's downgrades China's bad banks
Moody's action is the latest alarm sounded over the property sector ills' spillover across the economy, despite Beijing's pledges for support policies. It also resembles a sector-wide downgrade by Fitch Ratings earlier this year.
Fitch warns it may downgrade many US banks, including JPMorgan
Fitch Ratings has warned that US banks, including JPMorgan Chase, could be downgraded if the agency further cuts its assessment of the operating environment for the industry. If Fitch were to lower its score to A+ from AA-, it would be forced to re-evaluate ratings on more than 70 US banks. This news follows Moody's downgrading 10 mid-sized US banks earlier this month and warning that it may cut ratings of several others.
Fitch Ratings downgrade: Is panic warranted in the markets?
As an investor in Indian equity markets, you must not fret over the US downgrade by Fitch and focus on stocks that you own in your portfolio over anything else. Make sure that they are fundamentally sound and hold them with patience.
Fitch’s US downgrade is stoking the very fight it warned against
Fitch Ratings' decision to downgrade US government debt has been seized upon by rival political factions as a new weapon of combat in their never-ending war, and finger pointing has already commenced. Although President Biden has yet to publicly comment on the ratings cut, aides claim he was initially irritated about the news. The House Freedom Caucus, a group of Republican lawmakers, is demanding lower spending levels during the looming shutdown fight, while Biden’s team has blamed Donald Trump for the reduction.
Dollar shrugs off Fitch's US downgrade, advances on strong jobs data
Private payrolls rose by 324,000 jobs last month, the ADP National Employment report showed, more than an increase of 189,000 that economists polled by Reuters had forecast.
Fitch cites need for 'long-term' fix after US downgrade
The comments by Richard Francis on CNBC came a day after Fitch took the United States' top-tier AAA rating down a notch to AA+, drawing fiery pushback from the White House and Treasury Department.
Fitch cuts US credit rating to AA+; Treasury calls it 'arbitrary'
With the downgrade, it becomes the second major rating agency after Standard & Poor's to strip the United States of its triple-A rating. The dollar fell across a range of currencies, stock futures ticked down and Treasury futures rose after the announcement. But several investors and analysts said they expected the impact of the downgrade to be limited.
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