FMCG SECTOR DEMAND
FMCG sector expected to see 7-9 pc revenue growth in FY25, helped by a recovery in rural markets: Crisil
FMCG sector revenue is projected to grow 7-9% this fiscal, driven by rural revival, urban demand, and rising disposable incomes. Crisil Ratings indicates premiumisation will boost margins by 50-75 basis points despite marketing expenses. Rabindra Verma highlights 8-9% F&B and home care growth, and 6-7% for personal care. FY25 will see low single-digit product realisation growth.
India's FMCG sector to see revenue growth of 7-9 pc in fiscal 2024: CRISIL
CRISIL forecasts 7-9% revenue growth for the FMCG sector in the current fiscal year, driven by increased volume and rural demand recovery. The report highlights stable product prices in personal care and home care, while food and beverages face modest raw material cost increases. Rural growth is bolstered by better monsoons and government initiatives, while urban demand remains robust due to rising incomes and premium product preferences
Rise in value-seeking customers, key FMCG sectors face tampering of growth: Report
The report highlighted a significant shift in consumer spending patterns with a rise in value-seeking buyers, which is evident across consumer businesses. While the consumer may increase their spending on leisure activities, suggesting a good performance for the aviation and hotel industries in FY2024-25, it added.
Not AI, IT hiring not picking up because of global slowdown in IT spend: Ramani Dathi, Teamlease Services
Ramani Dathi says there is no major uptick as far as demand for IT pros is concerned. There are a few set of clients, especially the GCCs and to some extent, who are able to maintain the current run rate of revenues and headcounts for Teamlease, but to show a massive growth or a double-digit growth, the IT services hiring has to be back on track.
Market poised for uptrend with phases of consolidation: Sudip Bandyopadhyay
So, once the tractor volume starts picking up, we will see further upside in M&M. The company has done fantastic early well as far as the SUV business is concerned. They have done well in other smaller segments as well, including farm equipments. But performance in tractors was promising and that will be icing on the cake as and when it happens.
Anshul Saigal on sectors where investors can deploy fresh money
You could find opportunities in banking space in the 5 to 10 times price to earnings rate. I would not call that expensive by any measure. So, there are reasonable opportunities in the market to take advantage of.
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Milind Karmarkar on two sectors that may outperform in Modi 3.0
Power utilities have already done well and possibly they will continue to do well because there is growth in that sector. So, many of these companies are putting in new power plants and things like that. So, there is definitely growth in that sector.
PM Modi shows rural bent, OKs ₹20kcr for PM Kisan Nidhi Scheme
The Prime Minister approved the 17th instalment of the PM Kisan Nidhi Scheme, benefiting 93 million farmers with around ₹20,000 crore. This move is seen as a boost to rural demand and consumer stocks. The new coalition government is expected to focus more on rural welfare, signaling a shift towards consumption-focused policies. Rural markets have shown growth, outpacing urban markets for the first time in five quarters, indicating a positive trend for the FMCG sector. The PM emphasized the government's commitment to farmer welfare and agriculture.
Modi 3.0: FMCG companies can cheer the new coalition government
In a symbolic move, Prime Minister Narendra Modi's first action after being sworn in for a third term was releasing the 17th PM-KISAN installment, providing financial relief to 9.3 crore farmers. With a weaker mandate, the government is expected to focus on rural welfare, potentially boosting FMCG sector growth and consumption.
Consumer sector in focus post-election results! D-Mart, Tata Consumer could give 12-18% in 1 year
We believe this rally in staple stocks is driven by not only its ‘defensive sector’ tag but also the underlying excitement, which was triggered by strong post-Q4 management commentary.
Should investors buy select IT and FMCG stocks? Anand Tandon answers
The crop output is likely to be better and perhaps with some support from the government we are likely to get better realisations as well. So, as a combination, I expect to see a significant increase in rural demand coming through and therefore, you are looking for direct farm plays as well as indirect ways of looking at where rural consumption can actually increase demand.
Data hints at bullish setup, Nifty headed for 23,560 & 23,890: Experts
Nifty's bullish setup is supported by strong technical indicators, with recommendations for specific stocks in FMCG, pharma, IT, auto, and power sectors for potential gains.
FPIs stay bullish on growth stocks, cut defensive bets a bit
Foreign portfolio investors have been selling Indian shares ahead of the elections, focusing on growth stocks over defensive ones. Data from NSDL shows a decline in FMCG and IT sector weightage in FPIs' equity folio.
Nifty 50 could scale new peak this week, believes Rajesh Palviya
There was uncertainty when the counting was happening. So, most of the bags moved to the defensive sector and in the defensive sector FMCG, pharma, these two pockets were majorly focused by the market participants.
Are fears and panic around PSUs overblown? Sandip Sabharwal answers
Ideally, they should not be able to because like you rightly said, it is more commoditised. In fact, you look at the reason why did HDFC merge into HDFC Bank, because they realised that the margins are going to get squeezed and if they do not have a low-cost deposit franchise which supports the margin squeeze, that will become tougher.So, many of these housing finance companies sustain higher margins to develop financing, loan against property, etc, which are higher margin, but then also carry higher risk.
There can be both time wise and value wise correction in PSU stocks: Sandip Sabharwal
Consumer stocks are under-owned at this point of time. They have not given any returns for the last four-five years, leave aside something like a Godrej Consumer or a Tata Consumer which have been outliers and some stocks like Titan and all which have their own dynamics.
Rural demand theme blooms
Investor money is shifting to defensive shares like FMCG, healthcare, and information technology following the lower-than-anticipated seats for the BJP in recent elections. Marico, Godrej Consumer, Nestle India, ITC, Britannia, HUL, and Dabur saw significant gains. The Nifty and NSE FMCG Index also rose.
White collar hiring improving as demand from Oil & Gas, Banking, FMCG sectors rises: Report
White collar hiring in major sectors like Oil and Gas, Banking, and FMCG showed steady improvement, with a 6% increase in May compared to April, driven by Healthcare and Travel and Hospitality. However, overall white-collar hiring was down by 2 per cent year-on-year, with declines in IT, BPO, and Education sectors. Smaller cities outperformed major metropolitan areas, with strong demand for senior professionals contributing to a healthy growth in opportunities.
India remains best market for long term alpha generation: Vikas Pershad
In some areas we were taking some profits. Defence was one of them. And we were adding to some of our other holdings, some in hospitals, healthcare broadly defined. Sanjiv mentioned a good point about IT services. There has not been a broad-based recovery in earnings in that sector yet. But I think investors are making a mistake by overlooking that sector.
In Focus: Scrips that like a cloud on the horizon
Companies such as Hindustan Unilever (HUL), Britannia, Dabur, Hero Motocorp, Westlife Foodworld, Shoppers Stop and others have already indicated in their commentary a gradual demand recovery if the monsoon forecast turns out to be accurate.
What are the three pockets of opportunities going forward? V Srivatsa explains
V Srivatsa, Fund Manager and Executive V-P at UTI AMC, sees opportunities in private banks, healthcare, and FMCG sectors amidst market volatility and election outcome uncertainties. Srivatsa also says that he is quite positive on is commodities because that has seen a very sharp run-up in the prices which will start reflecting in the coming quarters.
Sudip Bandyopadhyay on strategies to navigate Nifty's pre-election volatility
Financial expert Sudip Bandyopadhyay provided insights into the current market trends and future expectations. He emphasized that market volatility will persist until the election results are announced on June 4th, but he remains optimistic about the market's upward trajectory post-election. He talked about the strong performance of Nifty Metal, attributing it to global factors like potential US Fed interest rate cuts and China's fiscal stimulus. He also discussed the positive outlook for the FMCG sector due to expected improvements in rural demand, driven by a favorable monsoon forecast.
FMCG demand most in five southern states: Discretionary or essential, sales go north in south
South India leads post-Covid demand recovery with increased FMCG sales, higher consumer spending, and more shopping trips in 2023, a Kantar report shows. Retail sales growth in the peninsula region outperforms the rest of India. The region's rapid recovery is fueled by a young workforce, new-age sectors, and robust manufacturing investment.
A heavy monsoon season is great news for these Indian stocks
Stocks of Indian firms reliant on rural demand are rising with optimistic monsoon forecasts. Motorcycle, farm-equipment, and FMCG companies are seeing improved sales in rural areas. Nifty FMCG Index is up, Hindustan Unilever and Dabur India expect demand growth.
FMCG companies to see muted demand in June quarter, recovery likely in H2
Overall volumes, which indicate the number of products consumers bought, expanded 5.2% in the March quarter, unchanged from the three months to December. Sales volumes in rural markets climbed 5.8%, and in cities by 4.7%, from a year earlier, data from Kantar showed. Kantar monitors branded and unorganised products, including unpackaged voluminous commodities. Nielsen, on the other hand, tracks primarily branded retail sales.
Thinking to bet on FMCG? Look at these sectors instead, says Ajay Bagga
“The resurgence in certain sectors remains uncertain—possibly defensive moves rather than re-rating. Monsoon's impact, expected by October, will clarify. Domestic cyclicals like auto, infra, and financials seem preferable to FMCG, though valuation and monsoon effects will drive investor behavior.”
FMCG, auto companies break the jinx as rural growth rises above urban
Rural FMCG demand outpaced urban markets in Jan-Mar 2024. Car companies reported higher rural sales. NielsenIQ noted 7.6% rural growth. Factors include robust rabi crop and government measures. Maruti Suzuki saw record rural sales.
White-collar hiring falls 3% in April, shows Naukri JobSpeak Index
Despite a 3% year-on-year and 1% month-on-month decline in white-collar hiring, various sectors experienced job growth. Notably, demand surged for specific roles like drilling engineers, brand managers, and IT professionals in different cities.
Rural FMCG sales outgrew urban for the first time in 5 quarters in Q1: NielsenIQ
In the January-March ’24 quarter, rural markets surpassed urban consumption for packaged consumer goods for the first time in five quarters, with rural growth at 7.6% while urban demand declined by 5.7%. Overall FMCG sector value grew by 6.6% driven by consumption, with flat price growth at 0.1%. NielsenIQ highlighted the growth in the FMCG industry being driven by consumption trends, with rural areas leading the growth. By volume, the sector grew by 6.5% nationally, with non-food sector sales growing at 11% compared to 4.8% for food. Home and personal care categories outperformed food categories, with larger pack sizes driving growth.
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